2026/27 NFL REGULAR SEASON: 6-4
MON: BUFFALO +3.5 vs. LA Rams
MON: OVER 47.5 Atlanta @ New Orleans = WIN
SUN: OVER 44.5 Arizona @ NY Giants = WIN
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NFL WEEK 5 RECAP: (Exc MNF)
HOME TEAMS: 4-8-1 SU & ATS
FAVS: 9-4-1 SU & 7-6-1 ATS
ROAD FAVS: 6-1 SU & 4-2-1 ATS
6pt FAVS: 4-0 SU & 2-1-1 ATS
10pt FAVS: 0-0
B/B RG: 3-0 SU & 2-1 ATS
O/U: 6-8
FAV/OVER: 3 FAV/UNDER: 5 FAV/PUSH: 1
DOG/OVER: 3 DOG/UNDER: 3

$$$
SEASON NUMBERS:
HOME TEAMS: 40-33-1 SU + 37-35-2 ATS (Not counting International gms)
FAVS: 49-28-1 SU + 37-39-2 ATS
ROAD FAVS: 18-11 SU + 12-16-1 ATS
6pt FAVS: 20-6 SU + 11-14-1 ATS
10pt FAVS: 3-0 SU & 2-1 ATS
B/B RG: 13-9 SU & 11-11 ATS
3 GM RG:
O/U: 37-41
FAV/OVER: 14 – FAV/UNDER: 20 – FAV/PUSH: 1
DOG/OVER: 23 – DOG/UNDER: 20
x x PUSH/UNDER: 1
$$$$$$
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WEEK #5
MONDAY NIGHT
3-1 BUFFALO @ 2-2 LA RAMS -2.5 53.5pts
BUF: Josh Allen 25-15 SU + 19-21 ATS in Night game
BUF: 26-2 when leading entering 4th Qtr.
BUF: Josh Allen 98 wins inc: 70 by 7+pts
BUF: 29-12 Team total OVER
BUF: When teams score 21+pts vs Bills: Buffalo 12-30 ATS since 2022
LAR: Sean McVay 25-6 SU as favorite vs AFC inc: 15-3 on road
LAR: 39-13 SU as favs vs 9-20 SU as Dogs
LAR: Matt Stafford 46-73 SU + 50-67-2 ATS vs. winning teams inc: 23-15 SU + 20-18 ATS w/LA
LAR: 21-9 SU + 20-10 ATS run
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WEEK #6
THURSDAY
3-2 SEATTLE -2.5 @ 3-2 DENVER 42.5pts

SUNDAY
HOUSTON vs. JACKSONVILLE -3 43.5 (England)

3-2 CHICAGO @ ATLANTA
ATL: 30-46-1 ATS vs. non-NFC South 2019
ATL: 1-14 ATS vs. AFC North
ATL: 64-88-1 ATS in regular season
ATL: 3-18 when trailing by 4+pts

3-1 BALTIMORE @ 3-2 CLEVELAND
BALT: 76-35 Lamar Jackson playing…7-12 WITHOUT him playing
BALT: 34-21 OVER Team total last 2 years

0-5 TENNESSEE @ 2-3 INDIANAPOLIS -7 44.5pts

2-3 NY JETS @ 3-2 NEW ENGLAND -7 44.5pts

1-4 NEW ORLEANS @ 3-2 NY GIANTS -1.5 45.5pts

2-3 CAROLINA @ 2-3 PHILADELPHIA -1.5 42.5pts

3-2 PITTSBURGH -3 @ 1-4 TAMPA BAY 40.5pts

1-4 ARIZONA @ 2-2 LA RAMS -12.5 52.5pts

0-5 LA CHARGERS @ 4-0 KANSAS CITY -8.5 43.5pts

3-1 BUFFALO -6 @ 3-2 LV RAIDERS 53.5pts

2-3 DALLAS @ 3-2 GREEN BAY -1.5 52.5pts

MONDAY NIGHT
1-3-1 WASHINGTON @ 5-0 SAN FRANCISCO -7.5 50.5pts
$$$$$$$$$$$$$$..

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NFL TRENDS
Sunday night non-division dogs of 6+pts are 63-39-1 ATS
7+pt Home dogs 23-5-2 ATS since 2022 first 9 games of the season*
Teams off OT games: 14-21 SU + 14-21 ATS (3-2 SU + ATS TYr)
ARI: 4-22 SU + 8-18 ATS vs NFC West teams last 5 years
ARI: 4-22 SU after facing 49ers
ATL: Tua Tags 14-23 SU +; 16-20-1 ATS on road inc: 2-16 SU + 5-12-1 ATS vs winning teams + 10-6 SU + 8-8 ATS vs. losing teams
ATL: Tua vs offense avg 21 PPG or less: 22-5 SU last 27
ATL: Tua Tags 13-6 SU vs SB winning head coaches
ATL: Tua Tags 16-21-1 ATS RG
ATL: Tua 0-6 SU + 1-5 ATS w/ Temps as 40 or below
ATL: Tua 1-9 SU as underdog in night primetime games
ATL: Tua Tags d/d favorite 6-1 SU & 4-3 ATS
ATL: Tua Tags 17-1 SU & 13-5 ATS as a 4+pt favorite
ATL: Tua Tags 27-12 SU & 23-16 ATS vs. losing teams
ATL: Tua Tags 28-11 @ Hm & 25-14 ATS
ATL: Kevin Stefanski never finished a season above .500 ATS on the road.
ATL: 103 head coaches have 50+ road games, Stefanski’s 21-33-1 ATS is the worst
ATL: 14-21 SU outdoors since 2020
ATL: H/C Kevin Stefanski off extended rest: 6-12 ATS = worst in NFL
ATL: 15-25-1 ATS after a win
BALT: Lamar Jackson as Playoff home Favs: 2-4 SU + ATS (5-1 UNDER)
BALT: UNDER 8-0-1 as home playoff favs since 1995
BALT: 21-9 ATS as an underdog
BALT: Lamar Jackson 8-12 ATS at home vs. AFC North teams
BALT: Lamar Jackson 3-6 SU + 2-7 ATS vs. Pitt
BALT: LJ 23-8 SU after a loss
BALT: 2-10 ATS as non Division 7+pt HF’s
BALT: Lamar Jackson 3pts favs or less or dog 27-11 ATS reg. season
BALT: Lamar Jackson 21-9 SU at night
BALT: Lamar Jackson 26-4 SU + 15-15 ATS vs. NFC teams*
BALT: Lamar Jackson fav by 3+pts: 28-40 ATS
BALT: Lamar Jackson 22-1 SU + 14-9 ATS as 9+pt fav
BALT: Lamar Jackson 7+pt fav: 37-9 SU
BALT: Lamar Jackson 39-17 SU + 23-33 ATS as home fav.
BALT: Lamar Jackson d/d fav: 18-1 SU + 11-8 ATS
BALT: 33-12 SU + 26-19 ATS as a fav
BUF: 20-7 ATS vs. winning teams
BUF: Josh Allen 6-9 ATS in post season
BUF: 1-9 RD Playoffs inc: 1-5 SU + ATS w/ Josh Allen**
BUF: 16-3 SU vs. Miami
BUF: Josh Allen has never won b/b games as an underdog (0-16)
BUF: As a home favorite of 7+p, Allen 27-3 SU
BUF: Josh Allen off d/d loss: 7-3 SU/ATS next game**
BUF: After losing as 7+pts favs 82-57-3 ATS since 2015 inc: 23-14 ATS last 3 seasons
BUF: Josh Allen: 29-4 SU as 8.5+pt fav
BUF: Allen 38-7 SU as 7+pt fav
BUF: as double-digit favs: 1-12 ATS
BUF: Josh Allen 26-7 SU + 25-7-1 ATS vs. D’s allowing 20pts or less
BUF: as 4+pt favs 18-29-1 ATS
BUF: 48-10 SU home games
CAR: 1-13 SU ATS as favorite
CAR: 7-19 SU + 8-18 ATS RG’s
CAR: Bryce Young 4-17 SU + 9-13 ATS on road (4-2 run)
CAR: Bryce Young 1-3 SU in PT games
CAR: Bryce Young 16-33 SU (5 vs Falcons)
CAR: Bryce Young 19-30 ATS 1st half
CAR: 2-71 games trailing by 9+pts (Won 2x in 2025)
CAR: 14-5 OVER HG run
CAR: 13-0 ATS after SU loss
CHI: 10-28 SU vs. NFC North inc: 4-10 w/ Caleb Williams
CHI: 2-10 SU + 4-7-1 ATS after facing GB
CHI: 6-34 trailing entering the 4th qtr
CHI: 17-7 OVER team total run
CHI: Ben Johnson 15-8-1 ATS
CHI: 13-6 as favs vs. NFC + 8-36 SU as Dogs
CIN: Joe Burrow 20-4 ATS as 3+pt dogs. (best in the Super Bowl era)
CIN: 23-16-2 ATS as dogs
CIN: Joe Burrow 14-19-1 SU & 22-12 ATS as dog inc: 11-12-1 SU & 20-4 ATS as 3+pt dog
CIN: Joe Burrow 8-1 ATS vs. Mahomes, Josh Allen + Tom Brady
CIN: 15-4 ATS vs. AFC West
CIN: Joe Burrow Dec. or later: 20-7 SU + 18-9 ATS
CIN: Joe Burrow 15-7-1 SU vs NFC inc: 13-2 run
CIN: 15-6 OVER @ Hm
CIN: Joe Burrow 9-6 SU + 5-9-1 ATS as 7+pt Favs
CIN: Joe Burrow 31-11 SU & 31-9-2 ATS run vs. non-divisional teams
CIN: Joe Burrow’s 20-11-2 ATS after a loss
CIN: 9-7 when scoring 30+pts. Rest of NFL 149-17**
CIN: 3-4 when scoring 35+pts. Rest of NFL 84-6**
CIN: Joe Burrow 49-33-2 ATS inc: 46-27-1 SU + 46-26-2 ATS gm 3 on
CLE: 3-17 SU + 4-16 ATS on road
CLE: 20-12 OVER RG run
CLE: 32-38-1 ATS vs. non-AFC North teams
CLE: 19-27 ATS after a win
CLE: 15-26 ATS last 40 games
CLE: 26-13 Team Total under
CLE: 19-44 SU + 28-33-1 ATS
CLE: DeShaun Watson 13-12 SU as a Brown (28-25 as Texan)
CLE: Deshaun Watson 38-40-2 ATS (14-22-2 ATS as fav + 24-18 ATS as Dog)
CLE: Worst in NFL 144-267-1 since 2001 (could go undefeated for 7 seasons—and be under .500)
CLE: 3-21 in the 2nd of b/b road games* (1-0 TYr)
CLE: DeShaun Watson 1-9 SU + 6-4 ATS as 6pts+ dogs*
CLE: Browns traveled to MST or PST 5-23 SU inc: 0-9 SU since 2019…2-20 SU last 22
CLE: 2-9 ATS last 10 AFC North road games
CLE: 18-27 ATS as favs inc: 8-16 ATS vs losing teams w/ Kevin Stefanski
CLE: Lost 22 straight games in Pittsburgh. (Last win Oct/2003 w/ Tim Couch)**
CLE: 15-22 ATS vs. AFC North
CLE: 7-1 @ Hm vs. Pitt (Lost 22 straight @ Pitt)
CLE: 14-7 SU @ Hm vs. winning teams since 2020 (5-18 on road)
DAL: Dak Prescott 21-1 SU & 17-5 ATS as a home favs vs. NFC East
DAL: Dak Prescott 12-3 ATS vs. Wash inc: 8-0 SU & 7-1 ATS at home
DAL: Dak Prescott: 23-2 SU + 19-6 ATS @ Hm vs. NFC East inc: 20 straight SU wins
DAL: 16-3 SU + 13-6 ATS vs. NYG
DAL: 3-19 SU as a dog of 7+pts
DAL: Home Dogs 43-50-4 ATS
DAL: Dak Prescott 26-34-1 SU + 23-38 ATS vs. winning teams
DAL: 19-9 Over at home
DAL: Dak Prescott 26-9 @ night inc: 12-6 as dog
DAL: Dak Prescott d/digit fav: 12-2 SU + 10-4 ATS.
DAL: Dak Prescott: 25-7 SU + 19-12-1 ATS as 6+pt HFav
DAL: Dak Prescott 37-11 SU +; 31-16-1 ATS as 6+pt fav
DAL: 19-25 ATS run
DAL: Dak Prescott 43-53-2 ATS vs. everyone but NFC East (31-14 ATS vs. NFCE)
DAL: 19-3 OVER 1st half**
DAL: Dak Prescott 35-22-1 SU & 32-25-1 ATS
DAL: Dak Prescott 43-17 SU, 36-22-2 ATS vs. losing teams
PRIME TIME: Rookie QBs 26-58 SU road games in primetime since 1970 (1-0 TYr)
DAL: 12-17 ATS run as dogs
DEN: Sean Payton 13-11 SU as home underdog his career
DEN: UNDER 56-41-1 @ Hm inc: 25-22 last 4 years
DEN: 23-16 ATS home games
DEN: 10-0 SU + 9-1 ATS after facing KC in regular season
DEN: 18-6 SU at home in Denver in the playoffs.
DEN: Playoff 4+pts HD’s: 9-1 ATS last 50 years
DEN: Sean Payton dog of +7pts: 10-5 ATS
DEN: Sean Payton 62-43-2 ATS as an underdog
DEN: Bo Nix 20-2 SU + 14-8 ATS as favs
DEN: Trailed in 22 of last 24 games
DEN: 25-15 ATS
DEN: Bo Nix Nix 36-4 in 6pt teasers
DEN: Bo Nix 14-7 ATS as fav + 9-9 ATS as Dog
DEN: Sean Payton 87-69-3 ATS on road inc: 37-25-1 ATS run
DET: Jared Goff 75-46-1 ATS
DET: 56-31-1 ATS run inc: 2-3 TYr
DET: Jared Goff ATS Indoor: 46-23-1 ATS vs. Outdoors: 44-39-2 ATS
DET: won 35 straight when leading entering the 4th Qtr**
DET: Dan Campbell w/ Ben Johnson: 36–15 w/out Ben Johnson: 15–23–1
DET: Jared Goff 32-19 ATS RG since 2020
DET: 24-8 ATS RG
DET: Games starting at 4pm or later: 19-6 SU under Dan Campbell
DET: 19-5 ATS on road after a home game last 5 seasons
DET: Jared Goff 32-24 ATS at home since 2020
DET: 22-9 Over @ hm w/ O/U less than 50pts
DET: Goff/Campbell 21-13-1 SU + 25-10 ATS off a SU loss inc: 17-1 SU + 16-2 ATS
DET: 22-8-1 ATS game after failing to cover inc: 1-1 Tyr
DET: 5-17 SU + 8-14 ATS last 22 on Thanksgiving
DET: Goff as d/d fav: 12-2 SU + 8-6 ATS
DET: Since 2018, Goff 28-15-1 ATS vs. division teams
DET: Jared Goff 7-2 SU + 8-1 ATS vs. Minny as a Lion
DET: Jared Goff: 19-37 SU + 32-25 ATS as a dog
DET: 20-6 ATS as an underdog of 4+ under Dam Campbell
GB: 14-8-1 ATS after allowing 30+pts under Matt LaFleur
GB: 8-14-1 ATS as 7+pt favs inc: 1-4-1 ATS w/ Jordan Love
GB: 5-12-1 ATS vs. Detroit
GB: 31-10 SU + 24-17 ATS @ Hm vs. non NFC North teams
GB: Matt LaFluer 21-7 SU + 14-13-1 ATS in December games
GB: H/C Matt LaFleur 19-7-1 ATS 3pt or more dog
GB: 4-13-1 ATS after a loss w/ Jordan Love
GB: 2-10-1 ATS on the road since the start of last season
GB: 3-12 ATS as 3+pt road favs last 5 seasons
GB: H/C Matt LaFleur 19-3 SU + 10-11-1 ATS vs a backup QB
GB: H/C Matt LaFleur 66-57-1 ATS inc: 40-40-1 as a fav
GB: 38-17-1 SU vs. losing teams
GB: H/C Matt LaFleur 35-24 ATS vs. winning teams
GB: 13-3 SU + 12-4 ATS vs. Chicago
GB: 29-14 ATS vs Chicago
GB: Favored to beat Chicago 30 of 35 games
GB: H/C LaFleur 22-21 SU +; 27-16-1 ATS as a dog.
GB: H/C Matt LaFleur 37-26 ATS at home
HOU: 23-14 UNDER at home
HOU: 18-8 Under vs AFC South teams
HOU: 27-15 Under run
HOU: 19-3 Under off ATS loss last 3yrs inc: 3-1 TYr
HOU: CJ Stroud 1-11 ATS first 4 games of season
HOU: CJ Stroud Under 35-21-1
HOU: CJ Stroud 13-17 ATS as fav + 14-11 ATS as Dog
IND: Daniel Jones UNDER 28-14-1 @ home
IND: 6-0 SU + ATS vs. Titans
IND: 13-5 ATS as home dogs of 6+ last 30 years
IND: 12-2-1 ATS @ Houston**
IND: Daniel Jones 1-17 SU + 7-11 ATS at night
IND: 25-16 ATS in Sept, Oct + Nov under h/c Shane Steichen
International Games Favs 44-15-1 SU + 36-24 ATS
JACK: 19-9 ATS vs Winning teams
JACK: Trevor Lawrence 16-25 SU + 20-21 ATS on road
JACK: Trevor Lawrence 13-20 ATS vs. losing teams
JACK: 30-14-2 ATS vs. Colts inc: 18-3-1
JACK: 7-7 SU + ATS in International Games
JACK: 5-13 SU + 5-13 ATS playing on West coast
JACK: Hasn’t allowed a 75+yd rusher 22 straight games
JACK: Trevor Lawrence: 44-40 ATS inc: 18-8
JACK: Trevor Lawrence 45-39 UNDER
JACK: 15-8 Over Team Total
JACK: Trevor Lawrence: 20-12 SU as a favorite
KC: 11-7 SU + 7-10-1 ATS vs. Playoff teams
KC: Mahomes d/digit RF: 6-0 SU + 1-4-1 ATS + 5-0 UNDER
KC: Mahomes 26-32-3 ATS as favs 7+pts
KC: Since 2020, Mahomes 39-2 SU + 16-24-1 ATS as a 7.5+ Fav
KC: Favorite 10+pts Mahomes 12-15 ATS
KC: Mahomes 26-3 SU on the road as a 5+pt favorite
KC: Mahomes after a loss: 22-8 SU, 13-16-1 ATS
KC: Mahomes 30-8 SU + 20-17-1 ATS vs. NFC
KC: Mahomes 18-2 vs. non winning NFC teams on road
KC: Patrick Mahomes 12-5 SU + 13-3-1 ATS as a Dog
KC: Patrick Mahomes 1-2 SU NFL + 1-7 SU college as a home Dog.
KC: 20-6-1 ATS as an underdog
KC: H/C Andy Reid d/d underdog 6 times: 2-5 SU & 6-1 ATS since 2007
KC: Pat Mahomes 8-1 SU + ATS when a dog or favorite of less than 3pts in Post season
KC: Pat Mahomes 17-4 SU + 15-6 ATS in Playoffs
KC: Andy Reid 26-17 SU + 25-18 ATS in playoffs
KC: H/C Andy Reid 33-8 SU + 25-16 ATS with an extra week of rest
KC: Pat Mahomes 36-40-1 ATS + 36-12-1 Under at home
KC: Mahomes 47-54-2 ATS as favs 3.5+Pts. (Other games 25-8-1 ATS)
KC: Mahomes Since 2018, 38 $$-line wins w/ ATS loss
KC: Favs 6+pts 12-0 SU + 4-7-1 ATS
KC: UNDER 31-12 AFC games
KC: Mahomes: 17-2 SU
KC: 12-21 ATS
KC: 69-9 when leading after 1st qtr inc: 34-2
KC: 26-14 SU + 15-24-1 ATS
KC: 42-20 UNDER
KC: 4th qtr Unders 42-18
KC: 23-18 SU when trailing at half since 2020. No team has a win % above 40%
KC: 14-5 Under w/ total 50+pts**
KC: Mahomes 53-18 SU + 40-29-2 ATS RG
KC: Mahomes 18-3 SU + 11-10 ATS AFC West road games
KC: 20-4 SU vs. Raiders
LAC: Herbert 7+pt Fav: 10-3 SU + 8-5 ATS
LAC: PST teams playing on East Coast since 2019: 60-36-4 ATS
LAC: Justin Herbert 14-9 ATS games played in EST
LAC: Justin Herbert 29-23 ATS on road
LAC: 39-57-3 ATS at home
LAC: 10-3-1 ATS vs. AFC West (0-2 TYr)
LAC: Justin Herbert 22-10-1 ATS vs. AFC West
LAC: Justin Herbert: 22-28-1 ATS in games 3pt or less spread
LAC: Lost 8 straight
LAC: Justin Herbert 3.5+pt dog 4-15 SU + 13-5-1 ATS
LAC: Jim Harbaugh after loss: 18-17 SU + 16-17-2 ATS
LAC: Justin Herbert 15-29 SU vs. winning teams
LAC: Jim Harbaugh: 68-42-1 SU + 61-47-3 ATS
LAC: Herbert 44-25 UNDER
LAC: 3-11 SU in games decided by 3pts or fewer
LAC: Justin Herbert: Underdog: 18-14-1 ATS & Fav: 33-33-1 ATS
LAC: Justin Herbert 50-52 SU + 52-48-2 ATS (23-26 ATS @ Hm + 29-22 ATS Rd)
LAC: Justin Herbert: 24pts
When his defense allows 24 pts or LESS: 43-14 SU & 41-14-2 ATS
When his defense allows 24 pts or MORE: 8-37 SU & 11-34 ATS
LAR: Sean McVay 13-7 ATS vs. Seattle
LAR: 20-9-2 SU + 20-11 ATS on East Coast
LAR: 15-3 SU + 14-4-1 ATS vs. Arizona
LAR: Sean McVay 12-6 ATS vs. Seattle inc: 11-3 ATS since 2019
LAR: 21-1 SU after a SU loss as 4+pt RFav
LAR: Sean McVay 28-12 SU + 27-12-1 ATS in Dec.
LAR: 4+RF’s 21-2 SU + 12-11 ATS (19-3-1 in 6pt teaser)
LAR: Sean McVay 33-22-1 ATS vs. NFC West
LAR: RF’s 40-11 SU + 29-22 ATS
LV: PST teams playing on East Coast since 2019: 64-37-4 ATS
LV: Since Vegas: Road 20-33 SU + 23-30 ATS + Home 22-30 SU + 29-22-1 ATS
LV: 3-13 SU + 4-10-2 ATS after facing KC
LV: Kirk Cousins 18-24 ATS at home since 2020
LV: 2-12 vs AFC West (1-` TYr)
LV: 10-6 SU + 13-3 ATS vs. Denver
LV: 7-18 ATS last 21 years as 4+pt Fav
LV: Cousins primetime: 21-24-1 SU + 19-27 ATS
LV: Cousins as dog in PT: 8-16-1 SU + 11-14 ATS
NE: Mike Vrabel 16-6 SU as RFavs w/ Pats + Titans
NE: Mike Vrabel as Dog: 33-34 SU + 37-28-2 ATS
NE: Mike Vrabel as 3+pt dog: 26-25 SU + 31-18-2 ATS
MIA: 2-14 RG w/ a back up QB
MIA: 16-26 ATS w/ spread of 4 or less
MIA: 11-32 SU as a franchise in 32° temperatures inc: 0-14
MIA: 8-3 SU + 9-2 ATS vs. Pats streak** inc: 7-1 SU & ATS by Tua Tags
MIA: 0-5 SU + 1-4 ATS on Thursday’s under McDaniel
MIA: 16-4 SU + 13-6-1 ATS since 2016 vs. NYJ
MIA: 7-25 SU + 12-20 ATS vs. winning teams (29-15 vs. losing teams)
MIA: 4-27 SU as road dog
MIA: haven’t won the AFC East in 17 seasons
MIA: 47-32-4 ATS since 2016 at home
MIA: haven’t won playoff game since 2000 – 3rd-longest 4 major US sports.
MIA: Outscored in 3rd Qtr: 41-23 (140-27 LYr)
MINN: Kyler Murray 15-7 ATS vs. teams avg. less than 20PPG
MINN: Kyler 10-16 ATS as Home Favs
MINN: After a loss under Kevin O’Connell 9-14-1 ATS
MINN: Kyler Murray 1-5 SU/ATS off a bye week
MINN: Kyler Murray 32-20-2 ATS as dog inc: 15-6-2 as 4+pt dogs + 22-7-2 on road
MINN: Kyler Murray 5-36 SU down 10+pts since 2021
MINN: Kyler Murray 9-27 ATS 1st half
MINN: Kyler Murray 17-22 ATS as a favorite
MIN: 32-13 SU one-score games under Kevin O’Connell
NYG: 3-25 SU non Sunday games since 2017
NYG: 8-4 Over w/ Jaxson Dart @ QB
NYG: 4-20 SU night games inc: 1-11 at home
NYG: John Harbaugh: 26-14 ATS after ATS loss last 5 seasons
NYG: Jameis Winston 9-20-1 ATS as fav (worst mark of 62 QBs since 2015)
NYG: 32-16-1 UNDER at home
NYG: Finished below .500 SU on the road in 13 straight seasons
NYG: 10-34-1 SU on road = 3rd-worst win % in the NFL
NYG: allowed 20+pts 15 of 16 road games
NYG: UNDER 63-40-2 run BUT 14-8 OVER run
NYG: 8-24-1 SU + 14-18-1 ATS streak
NYG: 47-103-1 last 8+yrs = worst mark in NFL
NYJ: 1-12 SU vs winning teams (Beat Browns)
NYJ: Geno Smith 9-16-1 ATS at home run
NYJ: Geno Smith 15-20-4 ATS as Fav vs. 29-27-3 ATS as Dog
NYJ: 37-53-1 ATS
NYJ: 15 years longest active playoff drought
NYJ 1 INTs last 22 games
NYJ: 0 Playoff appearances since 2010
NYJ: 4 defensive turnovers in 2025 vs. 5 this season
NYJ: Home dog: 11-21 SU + 14-18 ATS
NYJ: Geno Smith 7-19 SU as a home Dog inc: 1-11
NYJ: 1-21 SU + 3-19 ATS in game after facing Bills
NYJ: 2-16 SU @ night since 2019
NYJ: 1-15 SU on the road vs. AFC East
NYJ: 6-23 SU + 10-19 ATS vs. AFC East
NYJ: Geno Smith in primetime 4-15 SU inc: 3-14 SU as Dog
NYJ: Geno Smith -5 or higher 6 times = 7-1 SU
NYJ: Geno Smith as a favorite of 3+pts: 18-6 SU
NYJ: Geno Smith 14-19-4 ATS after a win
NYJ: 34-53-4 ATS on road since 2015
NE: Pats/Maye 14-1 SU + 11-4 ATS as favs
NE: 7-34 SU + 8-32-1 ATS when trailing by 7+pts
NE: 20-6 SU + 17-7 ATS
NE: OVER 23-14 w/ Drake Maye @ QB
NE: 22-4 1st Half ATS
NE: 18-8 ATS 3rd qtr inc: 4-1 this season
NE: 25-31 SU + 25-29-2 ATS vs. winning teams
NE: 26-4 SU v Jets + 12-4 ATS since 2018
NE: d/d favs vs. NYJ: 15-1 SU + 9-7 ATS since 1980
NE: H/C Mike Vrabel 38-11 SU + 31-17-1 ATS vs. losing teams
NE: 14-38 SU as an underdog since 2021
NE: 9-1 SU + 7-3 ATS on road
NO: Spencer Rattler 1-13 SU + 2-12 ATS
NO: 12-23-2 ATS off a win
NO: 4-18 SU + 5-17 ATS as HD since ’20 (Worst in NFL)
NO: 15-27 SU @ home last 3 seasons
NO: 27-45 ATS @ hm since 2018 (34-22-1 ATS away)
NO: 0-3 ATS run
NO: 6-8 SU + 9-5 ATS Tyler Shough starts
NO: 45-28 UNDER run inc: 13-5
NO: 3-20 ATS 1st Qtr
NO: 15-7 ATS 2nd half
NO: 3-31 SU trailing entering the 4th qtr
NO: 17-6-1 ATS on road vs. NFC South inc: 10-0 ATS dog since 2018
NO: 3-16-1 ATS in prime time inc: 0-10 at home*
NO: 14-19-2 ATS vs. NFC South
PHI: 12-0 SU + 11-1 ATS vs. Pitt at home**
PHI: 1-6 ATS as d/d favs
PHI: 15-5 SU + 10-8-2 ATS vs. Wash
PHI: Jalen Hurts 32-6 SU as HFav inc: 5-1 SU + 4-2 ATS playoffs
PHI: Jalen Hurts 15-20-1 ATS as Road Fav
PHI: 1-6 ATS run
PHI: Jalen Hurts Road: 30-18 SU + 22-23-1 ATS + 29-18 UNDER
PHI: 9-17 ATS off loss…4-6 ATS off 2 straight loses
PHI: Jalen Hurt 51-39-2 ATS career
PHI: 28-11 SU run
PHI: 123-63-1 SU OL Lane Johnson plays + 17-31 SU when he doesn’t
PITT: 46-20 SU + 43-22 ATS one-score games since 2020…best in NFL
PITT: 43-32-1 ATS since Roethlisberger retired
PITT: 16-25 1st qtr spread
PITT: 20-3 OVER 4th Qtr
PITT: 74 of last 75 games 7ps or less 1st Qtr
PITT: Lost 7 straight playoff games since 2016/17
PITT: Outscored 73-3 in 1st Qtr in those 7 playoff games
PITT: 4-15 SU + 8-10-1 ATS as an underdog of 7+pts
PITT: favorite of 4+pts: 15-27-1 ATS since 2017
PITT: 23-1 SU @ home MNF since 1992
PITT: 19-15-1 SU/ATS with a backup QB since 2015 (Mason Rudolph)
PITT: 13-2-2 ATS as home division Dog since 2000 inc: 7-0 run
PITT: 22-16 SU + 25-10-3 ATS as home dog
PITT: 27-12-1 ATS vs. Bengals (most profitable opponent ATS)
PITT: Division dog: 25-18 SU + 30-11-2 ATS
PITT: Road Under 92-74-1
PITT: 46-35-1 ATS as road dogs + 35-44-2 ATS as RFavs
PITT: 5-20 SU + 9-16 ATS on Thursdays inc: 3-17 SU and 5-15 ATS since 1980
PITT: 2-10 SU + 3-9 ATS on Thursday night road games
PITT: Rodgers 61-38 ATS in Division games
PITT: Rogers 10-4 SU/ATS game after his team scores under 10 pts
PITT/BALT: Series: 45pts+ total UNDER is 8-3.
PITT/BALT: 18 of 22 meetings decided by 7pts or less
PITT/BALT: Dog 31-12-3 ATS inc: 18-4-1 since 2015
PITT/BALT: when line 3+ the underdog 25-6-3 ATS
SEA: Sam Darnold 11-7 as a home dog
SEA: 28-14-2 ATS after a home loss last 20yrs
SEA: 14-3 at home in playoffs inc: 12 straight wins
SEA: 19-3 SU on road
SEA: 20-9-2 ATS playing in EST since 2018
SEA: 11-1 SU and 10-1-1 ATS vs. Arizona
SEA: Sam Darnold 15-0 SU + 12-3 ATS 6+pt favs.
SEA: Sam Darnold as fav: 4+ pts 18-1 SU + 14-5 ATS
SEA: Darnold 34-8 SU + 28-13-1 ATS
SEA: Sam Darnold 53-44 SU + 49-46-2 ATS (20-29 SU as a dog + 33-15 SU as fav)
SEA: 13-2 SU run
SEA: 19-5 SU + 17-7 ATS
SEA: H/C Mike Macdonald 27-12 SU + 21-17-1 ATS
SEA: 33 straight gms w/out allowing 100-yard rusher – (James Cook Week 8-2024)
SF: 11-14 SU + 8-17 ATS after a win
SF: Since 2020 13 losses when leading by 10+pts = most in NFL
SF: 14-26 ATS 2nd half (worst in NFL)
SF: 13-0 SU run when leading @ the half
SF: Kyle Shanahan 49ers 0-49 when trailing by 8+pts in the 4th qtr.
SF: Kyle Shanahan 5-46 when trailing by 3+pts entering the 4th qtr.
SF: 14-46 SU + ATS when trailing at the half under Kyle Shanahan
SF: 11-3 SU + ATS NFL West road games
SF: 8-3 SU + 7-4 ATS vs. Seahawks
SF: Brock Purdy 3-5 SU + ATS as a dog in his career
SF: vs. defense allowing 17 PPG or less: 1-10 ATS
SF: Brock Purdy 21-9 SU @ Hm
SF: 14-10 SU + 8-16 ATS home game run
SF: Kyle Shanahan teams: 16-1 SU + 9-7-1 ATS as D/D favs
SF: Kyle Shanahan 31-25 SU/ATS w/ backup QB
SF: 25-11-1 vs. Rams since 2008 inc: 10-4
SF: Brock Purdy 24-18 ATS when favored by 4+pts
SF: Shanahan 9-18-1 ATS @ hm vs. NFC West inc: 0-9 run*
TB: Baker Mayfield off a loss: 16-13 ATS
TB: Baker Mayfield 28-29 ATS as a Buc
TB: Baker Mayfield 128 turnovers (Most in NFL since 2018) inc: 5 TYr
TB: Baker Mayfield 22-39-1 ATS @ hm (worst of 134 QBs**)
TB: Todd Bowles 16-39 SU vs. winning teams (2nd-worst of 41 h/c since 2000..(Dick Jauron)
TB: Baker Mayfield Division gms 5-16 ATS @ hm & 12-12 RG
TB: Baker Mayfield 2-13 SU & 4-11 ATS @ Night
TB: Baker Mayfield 17-11 ATS on road w/ TB (he’s 22-6 in 6pt teaser)
TB: Baker Mayfield 18-5 SU as a 6+pt fav
TB: Baker Mayfield 23-38-1 ATS as Fav
TB: 20+pts 25 straight home games…now 0-3
TB: 2-12 ATS run
TB: 22-17 OVER
TENN: 6-17-1 ATS vs AFC North since 2015
TENN: Cam Ward 3-19 SU
TENN: Robert Saleh 2-17-1 ATS 1st Half as Dog last 4 seasons
TENN: 20-42-2 ATS
TENN: 14-34-1 ATS run inc: 9-13
TENN: 2-14 ATS after an ATS win
TENN: Lost 10 straight vs. AFC South + 3-16 ATS vs. AFC South
TENN: 2-18 SU + 5-15 ATS at hm (Worst in NFL)
TENN: 0-12 ATS after a SU win
WASH: Dan Quinn 8-5 ATS as home dogs
WASH: Marcus Mariota 11-26-1 ATS after a SU win for his team, inc: 4-16 SU/ATS in road games
WASH: Marcus Mariota 12-21-2 ATS as favorite
WASH: 26-15 OVER
WASH: 10-2 OVER w/ back up QB starting since 2025
DAL/WASH: SERIES: last 13 meetings: 11 decided by 10+pt
WASH: Jayden Daniels lost 6 straight games
****
OTHER TRENDS
THANKSGIVING DAY TRENDS
FAVORITES: 51-12 SU & 40-23 ATS since 2004 inc: 0-3 SU & ATS in 2025
RF’s on Thanksgiving: 25-2 SU & 20-7 ATS since 2004**
Night game Favs: 14-5 ATS + 12-7 UNDER since they started the 3-games back in 2006
$$
Totals 37 or less = UNDER 35-17-1 since 2020
Teams off shut out loss: 36-17-3 ATS inc: 6-0 ATS this season.
Teams off scoring 3pts or less: 90-63-5 ATS since 2014
D/D fav in night games: 51-70-3 ATS last 20yrs
UNDER: 24-12 55+pts totals since 20189
Coaches Fired System: Teams 18-24 SU + 23-19 ATS 1st gm following firing since 2003 (0-1)
Eliminated teams vs teams alive final 2 weeks: 118-75-4 ATS since 1990 (8-6 in 2025)
2025/26 Regular season: 272 games…146 were one score games
Road teams Saturday regular season 70-46-6 ATS inc: 36-17-2 ATS in division gms
$$$$$
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.
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SUPER BOWL NOTES/TRENDS heading into 2026/27 season
Playoff Underdogs 66-45 ATS since 2017 (6-7 in 2025
Winner of Super Bowl: 51-7-2 ATS
Underdog 6-pt teasers last 24 Super Bowls: 21–4
Teams leading at half: 6-11 ATS 2nd half last 17 SBs
Sam Darnold 31-7 SU & 26-11-1 ATS (1st 6 yrs 21-35 SU & 22-33-1 ATS)
Sam Darnold as 4+pt fav 4+ pts 16-1 SU & 12-5 ATS
Team w/ better win %: 2-17 ATS last 19 SB’s
SEA: 18-2 SU on road
SEA: 9-2 SU & ATS vs. playoff teams
NE: 9-1 SU & 7-3 ATS on road
When spread is 3+, the underdog is 13-5 ATS since 2001-02
Underdogs: 18–7 ATS (75%) last 25 Super Bowls
SB Favs 37-23 SU & 28-30-2 ATS + Over 30-28-1 (No total in SB #1)
SB winners w/ 6pt spread or less: 32-1 ATS…4pt or less 25-0 ATS
18th straight SB Fav laying less than 7pts
Most common final margin is 3pts (9x) next 4pts (6 times)
Don’t fall behind: only 6 teams have overcome d/digit deficits to win
Teams that score 27+pts in SB: 33-5 SU & 30-7-1 ATS since 1980
Teams that score less than 20pts in SB: 2-26 SU & 4-23-1 ATS since 1980
Only 2 SB’s have gone to OT
$$$$
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2025/26 NFL REGULAR SEASON FINAL BETTING STATS
Home Tms: 146-125-1 SU & 133-132 ATS (Not counting International games)
FAVS: 178-93-1 SU & 131-138-3 ATS
Road Favs: 72-40-1 SU & 55-58 ATS
6pt Favs: 78-16-1 SU & 50-45 ATS
10pt Favs: 26-2 SU & 17-11 ATS
B/B RG: 32-38-1 SU & 38-33 ATS
3 Gm RT: 2-1 SU & 2-1 ATS
OVERS: 142-127-3
FAV/OVER: 68… FAV/UNDER: 65
DOG/OVER: 74…. DOG/UNDER: 62
$$$$$
2024/25 NFL REGULAR SEASON BETTING STATS
FAVS: 199-86 SU & 149-126-2 ATS
Home Teams: 136-127 SU & 144-126-4 ATS (Not counting International games)
Road Favs: 61-47-2 ATS
6pt Favs: 71-29 SU & 48-52 ATS
10pt Favs: 17-2 SU & 10-9 ATS
B/B RG: 34-37 SU & 33-38 ATS
3 Gm RT: 1-2 SU & 2-1 ATS
OVERS: 150-125-1
COMBOS:
FAV/OVER: 76 …. FAV/UNDER: 63 FAV/PUSH: 1
DOG/OVER: 65 …. DOG/UNDER: 55 PUSH/UNDER: 1
$$$$$
2023/24 NFL SEASON REGULAR SEASON TRENDS
FAVS SU: 185-83 ATS: 136-118-7
6pts Favs: 55-21 SU & 39-37-1 ATS
10pt Favs: 21-4 SU & 14-11 ATS
B/B RG: 28-43 SU & 36-32-3 ATS (Non Bye teams/situations)
3 gm RT: 1-2 SU & 1-2 ATS
OVERS: 109-133

******
NFL 2022/23 REGULAR SEASON TRENDS
FAVS: 179-92-1 SU 124-144-4 ATS
6pts Favs: 71-18 SU 39-50 ATS
10pt Favs: 23-3 9-17 ATS
B/B RG: 28-43 SU 33-35-2 ATS
OVERS: 117-154-1
*************************
2023/24 FREE NFL: 24-26-1
2022/23 FREE NFL: 27-23-1
2021/22 FREE NFL: 35-24-3
2020/21 FREE NFL: 19-23-3
2019/20 FREE NFL: 25-26
2018/19 FREE NFL: 33-16-1
2017/18 FREE NFL: 29-18-5
2016/17 FREE NFL: 24-16-1
******
2021 NFL REGULAR SEASON TOTALS:
FAVS: 166-100-1 SU & 127-139-1 ATS (1 pick)
HM DOGS: 37-68 SU & 52-55 ATS
D/D Favs: 39-7 SU & 29-17-1 ATS
6pt Favs: 96-28-1 SU & 64-57-2 ATS
3pt Favs: 43-46 SU & 38-52 ATS
B/B Road Games: 34-35 SU & 36-33 ATS
3rd Straight RG: 3-1 SU & ATS
O/U: 126-139-2
Combo’s:
Favs/Over: 56 Dog/Over: 69
Favs/Under: 69 Dog/Under: 67
Favs/PUSH: 2 PUSH/UNDER: 1
******
SB PARLAY/REVERSE COMBOS
Favorite/Over: 15 times
Favorite/Under: 12 times
Underdog/Over: 10 times
Underdog/Under: 13 times
(4 games omitted: SB 1 didn’t have a total, three games pushed on either the game or total)
FAV/OVER has it only three times since 2000.
********************
BIG NFL FAVS DON’T LOSE
6+pt Favorites:
2018/19: 84-23 SU & 51-54-2 ATS
2017/18: 86-20 SU & 56-48-2 ATS
2016/17: 63-16-1 SU & 53-32-4 ATS
2015/16: 87-24-1 SU & 52-57-3 ATS
******
2020 NFL VEGAS SEASON AFTER WK #15
Home team: 109-94 SU & 84-113-6 ATS
Favs: 136-71-1 SU & 91-106-7 ATS
D/D favs: 29-6 SU & 14-20-1 ATS
6pts favs: 65-15 SU & 35-42-3 ATS
3pts favs: 37-30-1 SU & 32-32-4 ATS
B/B Road games: 23-21 SU & 25-18-1 ATS
3rd straight RG: 1-0 SU & ATS
HM DOGS: 23-48 SU & 29-39-4 ATS
Over/Unders: 99-107-1
Combos:
Favs/Over: 44 Favs/Under: 44
Favs/Push: 1 Dogs/Over: 51
Dogs/Under 59 Push/Under: 3
Push/Over: 4 Pk/OVER: 1
********************
2017/18 NFL VEGAS STATS REGULAR SEASON:
HOME TMS: 143-108 SU & 127-117-8 ATS (4 Lon/1 Mex)
FAVS: 181-74 SU & 134-102-9 ATS (1 game pick)
D/D FAVS: 27-4 SU & 16-17 ATS
6pt+ FAVS: 86-20 SU & 56-48-2 ATS
3pt/less FAVS: 70-39 SU & 50-42-6 ATS
2nd of B/B ROAD GMS: 33-38 SU & 34-34-3 ATS
HOME DOGS: 34-63 SU & 46-47-4 ATS
OVERS/UNDERS: 116-136-4
COMBINATIONS:
FAVS/OVERS: 53 FAVS/UNDERS: 78
DOGS/OVER: 54 DOGS/UNDER: 60
********************
NFL 2016/17 REGULAR SEASON:
HOME TMS: 151-100-1 SU & 119-122-11 ATS (4 gms N/A)
2nd of B/B ROAD GMS: 28-36-1 SU & 29-33-2 ATS
FAVS: 167-86-2 SU & 122-122-11 ATS (1gm Pick)
D/D FAVS: 11-0 SU & 7-4 ATS
6pt+ FAVS: 63-16-1 SU & 53-32-4 ATS
3pt/less FAVS: 59-38-2 SU & 52-43-4 ATS
HOME DOGS: 30-48 SU & 36-43-4 ATS
OVERS/UNDERS: 134-120-2
FAVS/OVERS: 65 FAVS/UNDERS: 62
DOGS/OVER: 62 DOGS/UNDER: 54
******
2015/16 REGULAR SEASON NFL
HOME TEAMS: 136-117 SU…117-130-6 ATS (3 gms London)
FAVORITES: 157-95 SU & 117-130-6 ATS (3 pickem)
10+PT FAVS: 15-5 SU & 9-11 ATS
3PT Favs or less: 46-47 SU & 38-49-6 ATS
HOME DOGS: 32-53 SU & 42-41-3 ATS
OVERS: 118
UNDERS: 131
PUSH: 4
******
2014/15 NFL REGULAR SEASON>
Home tms: 144-101-1 SU & 114-135-3 ATS (4 neutral)
Home dogs: 26-49 SU & 35-41-1 ATS
Favorites: 169-83-1 SU & 120-130-3 ATS (3 pickem games)
10pt Favs: 21-2 SU & 11-12 ATS
6pt+ Favs: 87-24-1 SU & 52-57-3 ATS
OVERS/UNDERS: 117-137-2
COMBOS
FAVS/OVERS: 54 FAVS/UNDERS: 64
DOGS/OVERS: 59 DOGS/UNDERS: 69
******
2013/14 REGULAR SEASON#’s
HOME TEAMS: 152-101-1 SU & 136-112-6 ATS
FAVORITES*: 179-75-1 SU & 132-115-8 ATS
10pts FAVS: 27-7 SU & 17-16-1 ATS
HOME DOGS: 32-61 SU & 44-47-2 ATS
OVERS/UNDERS: 134-118-4
GAMES DECIDED BY 7pts or less: 123 of 256
COMBOS
FAVS/OVER: 66 FAVS/UNDER: 64
UNDERDOGS/OVER: 61 UNDERDOGS/UNDER: 54
******
NFL 2012/13 regular season
Home Teams: 126-139-4 ATS
Home Dogs: 49-46-1 ATS
Home Favs: 77-88-1 ATS
********************
SUPER BOWL NOTES thru: 23/24
Team with most Total yards is 43-15
Team with most Rushing yards is 43-14 (1 game tied)
SU SB winner is 49-7-2 ATS
Score less than 20pts: 2-25 SU & 4-22-1 ATS
Score 27+pts 31-5 SU & 28-7-1 ATS
Only 16 of the 58 Super Bowls have been decided by 1 score.
***
SB tams that fail to score 21 pts in the SB are 2-22 SU & 4-19-1 ATS.
(Exception..Giants over the Patriots 17-14 in SBXLII & Pats in SB 53 13-3 over Rams)
Super Bowl teams scoring at least 27pts are 27-4 SU & 24-6-1 ATS.
(Exceptions Carolina (29) vs. Pats, SF (31) vs. Balt, Atl 28 vs. Pats, Pats vs. Eagles
********************
2018/19 NFL PLAYOFFS
PLAYING ONLY ONE: 4-1-1
$100 BEST BETS: 4-4-1
$50 OTHER PLAYS: 1-3
$25 IF YOU MUST: 3-1
OVER/UNDER PLAY OF THE DAY: 2-3
EVERY BET/EVERY PLAY: 9-6-1
$100 WIN REVERSE: 3-3 = +540
$100 PARLAYS: 3-3 = +392
$100 PROP PLAYS: 24-21-2 = +500
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