2025/26 NFL REGULAR SEASON BETTING STATS
THRU WEEK #13
Home Tms: 104-82-1 SU & 95-92 ATS (Not counting International games)
FAVS: 133-59-1 SU & 98-95 ATS
Road Favs: 49-24 SU & 37-36 ATS
6pt Favs: 50-11-1 SU & 31-31 ATS
10pt Favs: 15-2 SU & 9-8 ATS
B/B RG: 19-24-1 SU & 22-22 ATS
3 Gm RT: 2-1 SU & 2-1 ATS
OVERS: 89-89
COMBOS:
FAV/OVER: 41…. FAV/UNDER: 52
DOG/OVER: 44…. DOG/UNDER: 42
$$$
WEEK 11
Home Tms: SU & ATS
FAVS: SU & ATS
RFavs: SU & ATS
6pt Favs: SU & ATS
10pt Favs: SU & ATS
B/B RG: SU & ATS
3 ST RG: SU & ATS
O/U:
COMBOS:
Fav/Over: Fav/Under:
Dog/Over: Dog/Under:
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.WEEK #14
Favs 9-27-1 ATS in the 1pmET Sunday games since week 9
Sunday after Thanksgiving home teams 84-54 ATS inc: Over .500 in 11 straight seasons**
$$$$
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SUNDAY
SEATTLE -6.5 @ ATLANTA 44.5pts
SEA: NFC West 23-10 ATS vs teams outside their division
SEA: Sam Darnold 10-0 SU & 8-2 ATS fav. of 6 pts (Ryan Fitzpatrick)
SEA: won 7 straight 1:0pm ET start games
SEA: 18-8-2 ATS playing in EST since 2018
SEA: PST teams playing on East Coast since 2019: 62-35-4 ATS
SEA: 14-2 SU on road
SEA: 9-3 SU & 9-3 ATS
SEA: Darnold 3+pt Favs: 15-6 SU & 10-10-1 ATS
SEA: Sam Darnold 44-43 SU & 41-44-2 ATS (20-29 SU as a dog + 24-14 SU as fav)
SEA: H/C Mike Macdonald 17-10 SU & 13-13-1 ATS
SEA: 6-2 ATS vs. non NFC West teams
SEA: Jaxon Smith-Njigba ONLY 2/23yds last week
ATL: Kirk Cousins 1-7 ATS last 8 starts
ATL: H/C Raheem Morris 14-27 ATS @ Hm inc: 8-14 ATS after a loss
ATL: Kirk Cousins 14-23 ATS at home since 2020
ATL: 58-84-1 ATS in regular season (worst-NFL)
ATL: UNDER 29-21
ATL: Kirk Cousins 18-30 ATS indoors inc: 4-13 last 3 years
ATL: 1-14 when trailing by 4+pts
ATL: 26-43-1 ATS vs. non-NFC South 2019
$$$
CINCINNATI @ BUFFALO -5.5 53.5pts
BUF: Teams 4-16 SU game after beating Pittsburgh
CIN: AFC North 12-21-1 ATS vs teams outside its division (worst in NFL)
CIN: Joe Burrow 20-11 ATS as a dog inc: 10-10-1 SU & 18-3 ATS as 3+pt dog
BUF: 44-8 SU home games
BUF: 22-2 last 22 when leading entering 4th Qtr.
BUF: Josh Allen 91 wins inc: 67 by 7+pts
BUF: 21-10 Team total OVER
BUF: When teams score 21+pts vs Bills: Buffalo 7-28 ATS since 2022
BUF: 24-9 w/ Joe Brady as O/C
BUF: as 4+pt favs 16-25-1 ATS
$$$
TENNESSEE @ CLEVELAND -3.5 33.5pts
TENN: Teams after scoring 3ps or less: 87-62-5 ATS since 2014
TENN: 16-36-2 ATS inc: 6-19
TENN: As a dog: 29-51 SU & 37-42-1 ATS
TENN: 10-28-1 ATS last 2+ seasons inc: 5-7 TYr
CLE: AFC North 12-21-1 ATS vs teams outside its division (worst in NFL)
CLE: 1-5 ATS as favs (1-0 TYr)
CLE: 18-26 ATS as favs inc: 8-15 ATS vs losing teams w/ Kevin Stefanski
CLE: H/C Kevin Stefanski 29-34-1 ATS vs. non-AFC North teams
CLE: 9-22 ATS last 31 games
CLE: 22-7 Team Total under
CLE: 11-1 SU vs. AFC South
$$$
WASHINGTON @ MINNESOTA -1.5 42.5pts
WASH: Marcus Mariota 31-49-3 ATS 1st half
WASH: 19-14 OVER
MINN: Teams after getting shutout: 33-17-3 ATS since 2015 (3-0 this year)
MINN: Teams after scoring 3ps or less: 87-62-5 ATS since 2014
MINN: 4-8 ATS inc: 0-4 run
MINN: 1-6 SU & ATS run
MINN: After a loss under Kevin O’Connell 8-14-1 ATS
$
MIAMI @ NY JETS
MIA: Tua Tags 15-20-1 ATS RG
MIA: Tua 0-5 SU & 1-4 ATS w/ Temps as 40 or below
MIA: 11-30 SU as a franchise in 32° temperatures or colder inc: 0-11 run
MIA: 15-4 SU & 12-6-1 ATS since 2016 vs. NYJ
MIA: Tua Tags 13-22 SU & 15-19-1 ATS on road inc: 2-15 SU & 5-11-1 ATS vs winning teams + 9-6 SU & 7-8 ATS vs. losing teams
MIA: Mike McDaniel 32-33 ATS
MIA: 13-19 ATS run
MIA: haven’t won a playoff game since 2000 – 3rd-longest in 4 major US sports.
MIA: haven’t won the AFC East in 16 seasons
MIA: 28-15 vs. losing teams (7-20 SU & 11-16 ATS vs..500/winning teams)
MIA: Tua vs offense avgg < 21 PPG: 21-4 SU last 25
MIA: Tua Tags 26-12 SU & 22-16 ATS vs. losing teams
NYJ: 6-20 SU & 10-16 ATS vs. AFC East
NYJ: Tyrod Taylor 37-21-4 ATS inc: 7-0-1 ATS run
NYJ: Tyrod Taylor 17-5-1 ATS on losing teams
NYJ: 34-46-1 ATS
NYJ: Home dog: 10-19 SU & 13-16 ATS
NYJ: 14 year playoff draught = tied with Buffalo Sabres (NHL) longest active playoff drought
MIA: Tua Tagovailoa 6-0 SU & 4-2 ATS vs. Jets
MIA: Tua Tags 16-8-1 ATS vs. AFC East
MIA: Tua Tags 15-21 SU & 16-19-1 ATS on road
MIA: 4-1 inc: 3-0
$$
NEW ORLEANS @ TAMPA BAY
NO: 15-6-1 ATS on road vs. NFC South inc: 8-0 ATS underdog since 2018**
NO: 8-0 Under run**
NO: 1-11 ATS 1st Qtr**
NO: Allowed less than 200yds passing last 3 games
NO: 11-18-2 ATS vs. NFC South
NO: 40-23 UNDER run inc: 8-0
NO: 1-11 ATS 1st Qtr** (outscored 92-19)
NO: 0-27 SU & 4-23 ATS entering the 4th qtr trailing since 2023
TB: Baker Mayfield 18-2 SU as a 6+pt favorite
TB: Baker Mayfield Division games 5-12 ATS at home & 12-10 on the road
TB: 26-22 SU & 28-20 ATS
TB: Baker Mayfield 28-21 ATS as a Buc
TB: 18-11 OVER
TB: 20+pts at home in 22 straight games
TB: Baker Mayfield 23-33-1 ATS as a fav
TB: 6-1 SU & 4-3 ATS vs. Saints BUT 0-7 ATS @ Hm**
TB: Baker Mayfield 22-34-1 ATS at hm (worst of 134 QBs**)
$$$
INDIANAPOLIS @ JACKSONVILLE
JACK: 16-3-1 ATS vs. Colts inc: 9-1 @ Hm/neutral site
IND: Favs 40-15-1 SU & 34-22 ATS
IND: Daniel Jones 28-44 SU + 35-37 ATS vs NFL (Except vs. Washington)
JACK: 28-14-2 ATS vs. Colts inc: 17-2-1 since 2015
JACK: 15-9 ATS vs Winning teams
JACK: Trevor Lawrence: 36-37 ATS inc: 10-5
JACK: Trevor Lawrence 40-33 UNDER
IND: Toughest schedule left: Jags, Seahawks, 49ers, Jags & Texans (67% win%)
IND: Daniel Jones 7-18-1 SU vs. teams allowing 22pts or less
$
PITTSBURGH @ BALTIMORE -5.5 43.5pts
Series: Dog 24-7-3 ATS inc: 23-5-3 w/ a line of 3+pts
BALT: Lamar Jackson scored 24+pts in all 3 HG vs. Pitt
BALT: Ravens won last 2 meetings by 14 & 17 pts (Previous 9 decided by 1 score)
BALT: Lamar Jackson 3-4 SU & 2-5 ATS vs. Pitt
BALT: LJ 21-6 SU after a loss
BALT: John Harbaugh: 23-13 ATS after an ATS loss last 5 seasons
BALT: Lamar Jackson favored by 3+pts: 27-34 ATS
BALT: 19-12 Over inc: 6-6 TYr
BALT: 28-18 OVER Team total last 2 years
BALT: 29-8 SU & 24-13 ATS as a fav
BALT: Lamar Jackson 38-15 SU & 23-30 ATS as home fav.
BALT: Allowed less than 20pts in 6 of last 7 games
BALT: 11-1 UNDER 1st half team total
BALT: Lamar Jackson 8-11 ATS at home vs. AFC North teams
PITT: Tomlin 44-34-1 ATS as road dogs & (35-43-2 ATS as RFavs)
PITT: Mike Tomlin Road Unders 90-71-1
PITT: 41-18 SU & 39-20 ATS in one-score games since 2020...best in NFL
PITT: 36-28-1 ATS since Roethlisberger retired
PITT: 11-19 1st qtr spread
PITT: Tomlin: 18 consecutive non-losing seasons
PITT: 65-43-4 ATS Underdog under Tomlin
PITT: Mike Tomlin as dog 62-50 ATS inc: 26-17 ATS off a loss
PITT: Mike Tomlin: 21-13 ATS after an ATS loss
PITT/BALT: Series: 45pts+ total UNDER is 8-3.
PITT/BALT: Mike Tomlin 21-17 SU & 19-16-3 ATS vs. John Harbaugh inc: 13-4-2 ATS as dogs
PITT/BALT: Dog of 4+pts vs. Ravens 8-2 ATS
PITT/BALT: 16 of last 20 meetings decided by 7pts or less
PITT/BALT: Dog 29-12-3 ATS inc: 16-4-1 since 2015
PITT/BALT: when line 3+ the underdog 23-6-3 ATS
PITT: Tomlin as a Division dog: 22-18 SU, 27-11-2 ATS
PITT: Rodgers 58-37 ATS in Division games
PITT: 11-1 OVER 4th Qtr
PITT: 10-4 ATS after scoring under 10 pts
$
DENVER @ LV RAIDERS
DEN: Trailed in all 12 games: 10-2 SU & 5-7 ATS (Most wins all time)
DEN: 3-0 vs. Raiders after 2-10 SU & 1-11 ATS run
DEN: Bo Nix 15-1 SU as favorite
DEN: 18-11 ATS
DEN: Bo Nix Nix 28-2 in 6pt teasers
DEN: Won 9 straight
DEN: trailed in all 12 games this year***
DEN: Punted the most this season of any team
DEN: Sean Payton 86-65-3 ATS on road inc: 36-21-1 ATS run
DEN: Nix 15-1 SU & 10-6 ATS as fav
DEN: Bo Nix 10-5 ATS as fav & 7-7 ATS as Dog
LV: Since moving to Vegas: Road: 18-31 SU + 20-29 ATS + Home 20-27 SU & 25-21-1 ATS
LV: Geno Smith 14-19-4 ATS as Fav vs. 26-27-3 ATS as Dog
LV: 10-5 SU & 12-3 ATS vs. Denver
LV: Geno Smith 6-15-1 ATS at home run
LV: 3-9 team total (worst in NFL)
LV: lost 10 straight division games
$
CHICAGO @ GREEN BAY
Series: first time since 2010-11 both teams have a win pct of 66+%
Series: GB 11-1 SU & 10-2 ATS
GB: 27-12 ATS vs Chicago
GB: Matt LaFluer 20-4 SU & 13-10-1 ATS in December games
GB: 1-5-1 ATS this season when favored by 4 pts
GB: Jordan Love 3-5 ATS @ Hm vs. NFC North
GB: 8-14-1 ATS as 7+pt favs inc: 1-4-1 ATS w/ Jordan Love
GB: H/C Matt LaFleur 35-23 ATS at home
GB: LaFleur 19-4 SU, 13-10 ATS in December games.
GB: 11-1 SU & 10-2 ATS vs. Bears...16-2 SU vs. Chicago
GB: Favored to beat Chicago 29 of 33 games going 30-14-1 ATS last 45 meetings
GB: H/C Matt LaFleur 65-50-1 ATS inc: 39-35-1 as a fav
GB: H/C Matt LaFleur 33-20 ATS vs. winning teams
CHI: 11-3 as favs vs. NFC teams vs 7-33 SU as Dogs
CHI: 8-25 SU vs. NFC North inc: 2-7 w/ Caleb Williams
CHI: Best TO differential
CHI: 2-27 when trailing by 10+pts*
CHI: 4-29 when trailing entering the 4th qtr
CHI: 9-3 OVER team total
CHI: 6-18 SU vs. winning teams***
CHI: 9-3 Team Total OVER
CHI: Won 5 straight by single digits
CHI: 9-17-1 ATS vs. NFC North (worst in NFL vs. own division)
CHI: +17 in TO margin (Best in NFL)
$
LA RAMS -7.5 @ ARIZONA 47.5pts
ARI: 5-20 w/out Kyler Murray inc: 2-18 since 2022
ARI: Scored 21+pts in 7 of last 8 games
ARI: 1-5 SU & ATS w/out Kyler Murray vs. Rams
LAR: Sean McVay 26-11 SU & 25-11-1 ATS in December, winning 8 straight
LAR: 12-4-1 ATS vs. Arizona
LAR: Teams off a loss as 7+pt fav 83-58 ATS
LAR: 20-1 SU after a SU loss as 4+pt RFav
LAR: Sean McVay 31-21-1 ATS vs. NFC West
$
7-5 HOUSTON @ 6-6 KANSAS CITY -3.5 41.5pts
SNF Unders 46-28 inc: 7-6 TYr.
HOU: Teams off road game before playing @ KC: 2-21 SU vs. Chiefs
HOU: 10-2 ATS 4th Qtr
HOU: 21-10 Under run
HOU: CJ Stroud 10-13 ATS as a fav + 12-9 as Dog
KC: 5-0 SU & 3-2 ATS vs. Houston
KC: 1-3 SU & 0-4 ATS worst stretch w/ Pat Mahomes
KC: 9-15 ATS (least profitable for QB/Mahomes in NFL since last November)
KC: 1-6 SU one score games this season
KC: 21-11 4th Qtr ATS inc: 9-3 TYr
KC: 67-9 when leading after 1st qtr inc: 32-2
KC: 22-9 SU & 12-18-1 ATS
KC: 35-18 UNDER
KC: 4th quarter Unders 34-17
KC: 22-16 SU when trailing at half since 2020. No team has a win % above 40%
KC: Mahomes 46-50-2 ATS as favs 3.5+Pts. (Other games 25-8-1 ATS)
KC: only 2 teams have ever made the SB starting 5-5
KC: 14-5 Under w/ total 50+pts**
KC: 11-5 SU & 7-8-1 ATS vs. Playoff teams
KC: Mahomes after a loss: 22-6 SU, 13-14-1 ATS
KC: UNDER 27-10 AFC games
KC: Pat Mahomes 35-37-1 ATS & 33-11-1 Under at home
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MONDAY NIGHT
8-4 PHILADELPHIA @ 8-4 LA CHARGERS
Night game Favs: 14-5 ATS + 12-7 UNDER since they started the 3-games back in 2006
LAC: 38-53-3 ATS at home
LAC: Justin Herbert: 20-27-1 ATS in games 3pt or less spread
LAC: 28-18 UNDER
LAC: Jim Harbaugh: 65-34-1 SU & 57-40-3 ATS
LAC: Herbert 36-23 UNDER
LAC: 2-11 SU in games decided by 3pts or fewer
LAC: Justin Herbert: Underdog: 15-11-1 ATS & Fav: 32-30-1 ATS
LAC: Justin Herbert 47-45 SU & 48-42-2 ATS (22-22 ATS @ Hm + 26-20 ATS Rd)
LAC: Justin Herbert: 24pts
When his defense allows 24 pts or LESS: 40-12 SU & 38-12-2 ATS
When his defense allows 24 pts or MORE: 8-32 SU & 10-30 ATS
PHI: 8-15 ATS off a loss...3-5 ATS off 2 straight loses
PHI: 13-3 SU & ATS vs. playoff teams
PHI: Jalen Hurts Road: 27-15 SU & 19-21-1 ATS + 26-16 UNDER on road
PHI: Jalen Hurt 45-37-2 ATS career
PHI: 23-5 SU run
PHI: 120-62-1 SU when OL Lane Johnson plays + 15-26 SU when he doesn’t
LAC: Jim Harbaugh coached 102 NFL games: had 3 QBs: Justin Herbert, Colin Kaepernick & Alex Smith**
LAC: Justin Herbert 14-23 SU vs. winning teams
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BYE: New England, NY Giants, San Fran,
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$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
OTHER TRENDS
THANKSGIVING DAY TRENDS
FAVORITES: 51-12 SU & 40-23 ATS since 2004 inc: 0-3 SU & ATS in 2025
RF’s on Thanksgiving: 25-2 SU & 20-7 ATS since 2004**
Night game Favs: 14-5 ATS + 12-7 UNDER since they started the 3-games back in 2006
$$$$
Home teams on Thursday: 55-66-1 ATS since 2019 inc: 34-44-1 ATS as favs
Coaches Fired System: 10-14 SU & 11-12-1 ATS next game
D/D fav in night games: 51-70-3 ATS last 20yrs
UNDER: 24-12 55+pts totals since 20189
Totals 37 or less = UNDER 33-17-1 since 2020
PRIME TIME: Rookie QBs 25-58 SU road games in primetime since 1970
Coaches Fired System: Teams 18-24 SU & 23-19 ATS 1st game following firing since 2003 (0-1)
Underdogs in playoffs since 2017: 60-39 ATS
.
ARI: 2-14 SU after last 16 wins*
ARI: 13-4 ATS playing on East coast w/ Kyler Murray as QB
ARI: Kyler Murray Under 28-13-1 on road (2nd-best of 280 QBs since 2003)
ARI: Kyler Murray 1-5 SU/ATS off a bye week
ARI: Kyler Murray 32-20-2 ATS as dog inc: 15-6-2 as 4+pt dogs + 22-7-2 on road
ARI: Kyler Murray 5-35 SU down 10+pts since 2021
ARI: Kyler Murray 7-26 ATS 1st half
ARI: Kyler Murray 28-20 OVER at home
ARI: Kyler Murray 8-24 SU & 12-19-2 ATS against NFC West
ARI: Kyler Murray 6-26 ATS 1st half inc: 1-16 vs. NFC West teams**
ARI: Kyler 9-15 ATS as Home Favs
ARI: Kyler Murray 14-21 ATS as a favorite
ARI: 4-21 SU after facing 49ers
ATL: Cousins in primetime: 19-24-1 SU & 17-27 ATS inc: 14-20 SU & 14-20 ATS @ night
ATL: Cousins 1-7 after a SU underdog win
ATL: Cousins as a dog in PT: 6-16-1 SU & 9-14 ATS
ATL: Kirk Cousins off back to back SU/ATS wins 9-13-1 ATS inc: 3-11-1 ATS since 2017
ATL: H/C Raheem Morris 23-20-1 ATS on road
ATL: 11-20 SU outdoors since 2020 inc: 0-4 SU & 1-3 ATS this year
ATL: 11-24-1 ATS after a win
BALT: 20-9 ATS as an underdog
BALT: John Harbaugh/Ravens: 17-6 ATS on MNF
BALT: Lamar Jackson as Playoff home Favs: 2-4 SU & ATS (5-1 UNDER)
BALT: UNDER 8-0-1 as home playoff favs since 1995
BALT: Lamar Jackson 3pts favs or less or dog 26-10 ATS reg. season vs. favored by 3+pts: 22-31 ATS**
BALT: Lamar Jackson 25-3 SU & 15-13 ATS vs. NFC teams
BALT: 2-8 ATS as non Division 7+pt HF’s
BALT: Lamar Jackson d/d fav: 17-1 SU & 11-7 ATS
BALT: Lamar Jackson 7+pt fav: 36-8 SU
BALT: Lamar Jackson 21-8 SU at night
BAL: 77-32 w/ Lamar Jackson (28ppg) vs. 5-12 w/out LJ (15ppg) since 2018
BUF: Josh Allen 25-6 SU, 24-6-1 ATS vs. defenses allowing 20pts or less
BUF: Josh Allen 24-15 SU & 18-21 ATS in Night games
BUF: Josh Allen: 28-4 SU as 8.5+pt fav
BUF: Allen 37-7 SU as 7+pt fav
BUF: 16-3 SU vs. Miami
BUF: Josh Allen has never won b/b games as an underdog (0-16)
BUF: as double-digit favs: 1-11 ATS
BUF: As a home favorite of 7+p, Allen 27-3 SU
BUF: Josh Allen off d/d loss: 7-3 SU/ATS next game**
BUF: After losing as 7+pts favs 82-57-3 ATS since 2015 inc: 23-14 ATS last 3 seasons
CAR: 6-18 SU & 7-17 ATS on the road
CAR: 10-4 ATS vs. AFC West teams
CAR: 0-11 SU ATS as favorite
CAR: Bryce Young 14-26 ATS 1st half (Worst in NFL)
CAR: 7-6 despite being a dog in 12 of 13 games
CAR: 2-68 in games trailing by 9 pts or more (Won 2x this season)
CAR: Bryce Young 13-27 SU
CAR: Bryce Young 4-16 SU & 8-12 ATS on road (3-1 run)
CAR: 11-3 OVER HG run
CHI: 1-8 SU & 2-6-1 ATS after facing GBay
CIN: Joe Burrow 8-1 ATS vs. Mahomes, Josh Allen & Tom Brady
CIN: 15-4 ATS vs. AFC West
CIN: Joe Burrow 27-10 SU & 28-8-1 ATS run vs. non-divisional teams
CIN: Joe Burrow 13-7-1 SU vs NFC inc: 11-2 SU last 13
CIN: Joe Burrow’s 19-9-1 ATS after a loss
CIN: Joe Burrow fav-6 or higher: 7-8 ATS
CIN: Joe Burrow in December or later games: 18-5 SU & 16-7 ATS
CIN: 7+ Home dogs: 18-2-2 ATS first 9 games of season since 2022 + 37-11-2 ATS since 2020
CIN: 34-31-1 SU in non-divisional games (13-23 SU vs. AFC North)
CIN: 14-2 OVER at home inc: 5-0 TYr**
CIN: 6-6 when scoring 30+pts. Rest of NFL 149-17**
CIN: 2-4 when scoring 35+pts. Rest of NFL 84-6**
CIN: 22-15-2 ATS as dogs
CINC: 12-5 OVER after an Under game inc: 0-2
CIN: H/C Zac Taylor 46-32-1 SU w/ Burrow BUT 9-30 SU w/ other QB
CIN: Joe Burrow 12-18-1 SU & 20-11 ATS as a dog inc: 15-7 ATS on road
CIN: Joe Burrow 3+pt Dog: 10-9-1 SU & 18-3 ATS**
CIN: Joe Burrow UNDER 35-32-1
CIN: Joe Burrow 47-29-1 ATS inc: 43-23-1 SU + 44-22-1 ATS game 3 on
CLE: Kevin Stefanski Dog: 14-40 SU & 22-30-1 ATS
CLE: 13-6 SU @ Hm vs. winning teams since 2020 (5-18 on road)
CLE: 16-26 ATS after a SU win under Kevin Stefanski
CLE: 1-14 SU & 2-13 ATS on road
CLE: 18-9 OVER RG run
CLE: 12-22 ATS vs. AFC North w/ Kevin Stefanski inc: 9-8 @ Hm (3-14 ATS on road)
CLE: H/C Kevin Stefanski off extended rest: 6-12 ATS = worst in NFL
CLE: DeShaun Watson 10-10 SU as a Brown (28-25 as a Texan)
CLE: Deshaun Watson 35-38-2 ATS inc: 14-22-2 ATS as a favorite & 21-16 ATS as an underdog
CLE: Night home games under Kevin Stefanski: 6-2 SU & ATS
CLE: Browns traveled to MST or PST 5-23 SU inc: 0-9 SU since 2019…2-20 SU last 22
CLE: Flacco as Dog of 4+pts 3-25 SU since 2014**
CLE: 1-9 ATS last 10 AFC North road games
CLE: Lost 22 straight games in Pittsburgh. (Last win Oct/2003 w/ Tim Couch)**
DAL: Dak Prescott 41-14 SU, 34-19-2 ATS vs. losing teams
DAL: Dak Prescott double-digit fav: 12-2 SU & 10-4 ATS.
DAL: Dak Prescott: 25-5 SU + 19-10-1 ATS as 6+pt HFav
DAL: Dak Prescott 37-9 SU & 31-14-1 ATS as 6+pt fav
DAL: 16-1 SU & 12-5 ATS vs. NYG inc: 9-0
DAL: Dak Prescott 11-3 ATS vs. Washington inc: 7-0 SU & 6-1 ATS at home
DAL: Dak Prescott 31-13 ATS vs. NFC East
DAL: Dak Prescott: 22-2 SU & 18-6 ATS @ Hm vs. NFC East inc: 19 straight SU wins
DAL: 3-19 SU as a dog of 7+pts
DAL: 16-8 Over at home
DAL: Home Dogs 43-50-4 ATS
DAL: Dak Prescott 26-7 @ night inc: 12-6 as dog
DAL: Dak Prescott 32-17-1 SU & 29-20-1 ATS inc: 5-2 ATS TYr
DAL: 16-20 ATS run
DAL: 10-17 ATS run as dogs
DAL: Dak Prescott 26-33-1 SU & 23-37 ATS vs. winning teams
DAL: Dak Prescott 41-50-2 ATS vs. everyone but NFC East (30-13 ATS vs. NFCE)
DEN: Sean Payton 60-40-2 ATS as an underdog
DEN: UNDER 53-37-1 @ Hm inc: 22-18 last 4 years
DEN: 18-14 ATS home games
DEN: 11 straight home wins…longest active streak in NFL
DEN: 9-0 SU & 8-1 ATS after facing KC in regular season
DEN: Sean Payton 7-11 ATS in the playoffs
DEN: Sean Payton dog of +7pts: 10-5 ATS
DET: Jared Goff 72-41-1 ATS
DET: 53-26-1 ATS run
DET: Jared Goff ATS Indoor: 45-21-1 ATS vs. Outdoors: 42-36-2 ATS
DET: won 31 straight when leading entering the 4th Qtr**
DET: Jared Goff 31-22 ATS at home since 2020
DET: 20-6-1 ATS game after failing to cover inc: 1-2 run
DET: Games starting at 4pm or later: 17-2 SU under Dan Campbell
DET: Jared Goff 22-10 ATS off a loss w/ the Lions
DET: 15-0 SU & 14-1 ATS after last 15 loses**
DET: 5-17 SU & 8-14 ATS last 22 on Thanksgiving
DET: 24-9 ATS after a 6+pt win
DET: Since 2018, Goff 27-15-1 ATS vs. division teams
DET: Goff as d/d fav: 12-2 SU & 8-6 ATS
DET: Jared Goff 30-16 ATS RG since 2020
DET: 22-6 ATS RG inc: 14-2 as Road Favs
DET: Jared Goff 7-2 SU & 8-1 ATS vs. Minny as a Lion
DET: 20-4 ATS as an underdog of 4+ under Dam Campbell
DET: Jared Goff: 18-35 SU & 31-23 ATS as a dog
DET: 20-9 Over @ hm w/ O/U less than 50pts
GB: H/C Matt LaFleur 18-2 SU & 10-9-1 ATS vs a backup QB
GB: 4-10-1 ATS after a loss w/ Jordan Love
GB: 31-8 SU & 24-15 ATS @ Hm vs. non NFC North teams
GB: H/C LaFleur 21-18 SU & 26-13-1 ATS as a dog.
GB: H/C Matt LaFleur 19-6-1 ATS 3pt or more dog
GB: LaFleur only coach in Super Bowl era with a winning record as a dog
GB: 5-12-1 ATS vs. Detroit
HOU: 22-10 UNDER at home
IND: 13-3 ATS as home dogs of 6+ last 30 years
IND: Anthony Richardson: 8-5 ATS
IND: Daniel Jones 1-16 SU & 6-11 ATS at night
IND: 6-0 SU & ATS vs. Titans
IND: Favs 40-15-1 SU & 34-22 ATS inc: 30-10-1 SU & 24-17 ATS as 3+pt favs.
IND: Daniel Jones UNDER 27-13-1 @ home
IND: 22-13 ATS in September, October & November under h/c Shane Steichen
IND: 11-2-1 ATS @ Houston**
JACK: 7-7 SU & ATS in International Games
JACK: 5-13 SU & 5-13 ATS playing on West coast
JACK: Trevor Lawrence 12-19 ATS vs. losing teams
JACK: Trevor Lawrence 13-24 SU + 17-20 ATS on road
JACK: Trevor Lawrence: 15-12 SU as a favorite
KC: Mahomes 51-18 SU & 39-28-2 ATS RG
KC: Mahomes 30-8 SU & 20-17-1 ATS vs. NFC
KC: Mahomes 18-2 vs. non winning NFC teams on road
KC: Favs 6+pts 10-0 SU & 3-6-1 ATS
KC: Mahomes 25-32-3 ATS as favs 7+pts
KC: Since 2020, Mahomes 38-2 SU & 15-24-1 ATS as a 7.5+ Fav
KC: Favorite 10+pts, Mahomes 11-15 ATS
KC: Patrick Mahomes 12-5 SU & 13-3-1 ATS as a Dog
KC: Patrick Mahomes 1-2 SU NFL + 1-7 SU college as a home Dog.
KC: 20-6-1 ATS as an underdog
KC: H/C Andy Reid d/d underdog 6 times: 2-5 SU & 6-1 ATS since 2007
KC: Pat Mahomes 8-1 SU & ATS when a dog or favorite of less than 3pts in Post season
KC: Pat Mahomes 17-4 SU & 15-6 ATS in Playoffs
KC: Andy Reid 26-17 SU & 25-18 ATS in playoffs
KC: Mahomes 25-3 SU on the road as a 5+pt favorite
KC: Mahomes 17-3 SU & 11-9 ATS AFC West road games
KC: Patrick Mahomes: 13-2 SU & 7-8 ATS vs. Broncos
KC: Chiefs won AFC West 9 straight seasons = longest active streak of 4 major sports
KC: H/C Andy Reid 33-8 SU & 25-16 ATS with an extra week of rest
LAC: Jim Harbaugh after a loss: 18-11 SU & 15-12-2 ATS
LAC: PST teams playing on East Coast since 2019: 59-36-4 ATS
LAC: Justin Herbert 13-9 ATS games played in EST
LAC: Justin Herbert 26-21 ATS on road inc: 14-14 as RF’s
LAC: Justin Herbert 21-9-1 ATS vs. AFC West
LAC: Herbert 7+pt Fav: 10-1 SU & 8-3 ATS
LAR: 15-5 SU & 15-5 ATS run
LAR: 35-10 SU as favs vs 9-19 SU as Dogs
LAR: RF’s 37-9 SU & 28-18 ATS winning 15 of 16 outright
LAR: 4+RF’s 20-1 SU & 12-9 ATS (19-1-1 in 6pt teaser)
LAR: Sean McVay 15-1 SU as 6+pt RF….19-1 SU 4+pt RFav
LAR: 14-3 SU vs. Arizona
LAR: 19-9-2 SU & 20-10 ATS on East Coast
LAR: Sean McVay 25-5 SU as favorite vs AFC inc: 15-2 on road
LARAMS: 8-2 vs. Seattle
LARAMS: Sean McVay 12-6 ATS vs. Seattle inc: 11-3 ATS since 2019
LARAMS: Matt Stafford 41-72 SU & 47-64-2 ATS vs. winning teams inc: 18-14 SU & 17-15 ATS w/LA
LV: Geno Smith in primetime 4-15 SU inc: 3-14 SU as a Dog
LV: Geno Smith 13-19-4 ATS after a win
LV: 7-18 ATS last 21 years as 4+pt Fav
LV: Geno Smith -5 or higher 6 times = 7-1 SU
LV: Geno Smith as a favorite of 3+pts: 18-6 SU
LV: 3-12 SU & 4-9-2 ATS after facing KC since 2017**
MIA: Mike McDaniel 3-8 SU & 4-7 ATS w/out Tua Tags @ QB
MIA: Tua Tags d/d favorite 6-1 SU & 4-3 ATS
MIA: Mike McDaniel playing on West Coast after week 1 = 2-4 SU & 1-5 ATS failing to cover the spread by 10+ppg
MIA: 8-2 SU & 9-1 ATS vs. Pats streak** inc: 7-1 SU & ATS by Tua Tags
MIA: Tua Tags 2-15 SU & 5-11-1 ATS on road vs. winning teams
MIA: 4-22 SU as a road dog
MIA: 0-5 SU & 1-4 ATS on Thursday’s under McDaniel
MIA: 0-6 SU allowing 29.2 PPG on short rest
MIA: Tua 1-8 SU as underdog in night primetime games
MIA: Tua Tags 13-5 SU vs SB winning head coaches
MIA: 2-14 RG w/ a back up QB
MIA: Tua Tags 17-1 SU & 13-5 ATS as a 4+pt favorite
MIA: 46-30-3 ATS since 2016 at home
MIA: Tua Tags 28-11 @ Hm & 25-14 ATS
NYG: 30-13-1 UNDER at home
NYG: Jaxson Dart TD run in 5 straight games
NYG: 5-2 Team total Over w/ J.Dart
NYG: UNDER 60-36-2 run
NYG: 3-22 SU & 8-16-1 ATS streak
NYG: 42-101 last 8+yrs = worst mark in NFL
NYG: 2-5 SU this season when leading by 10+ pts
NYG: Finished below .500 SU on the road in 13 straight seasons
NYG: 9-33 SU on road = 3rd-worst win % in the NFL
NYG: allowed 20+pts in 13 straight road games
NYG: 3-24 SU non Sunday games since 2017
NYG: Giants & Jets combined 5-34 SU @ night since 2019 (NYG 3-20 inc: 1-11 at home)
NYJ: 1-21 SU & 3-19 ATS in game after facing Bills
NYJ: 1-14 SU on the road vs. AFC East
NYJ: 2-16 SU @ night since 2019
NYJ: 33-50-4 ATS on road since 2015
NYJ: Justin Fields 2-27 SU + 9-19-1 ATS when opponent scores 20+pts
NYJ: Justin Fields opponent scores less than 20pts: 12-10 SU + 12-10 ATS
NYJ: Justin Fields 14-36 SU…22-29-1 ATS career
NE: 25-4 SU vs. NY Jets
NE: 20-29 SU & 20-27-3 ATS vs. winning teams
NE: 13-36 SU as an underdog since 2021
NE: 10-0 SU & 8-2 ATS run
NE: 12-1 1st Half ATS
NE: 6-31 SU + 7-29-1 ATS when trailing by 7+pts (Mike Vrabel 3-17 SU & 5-14-1 ATS w/ Titans)
NO: Spencer Rattler 1-13 SU & 2-12 ATS
NO: as home dog since 2020: 4-17 SU & 5-16 ATS (Worst in NFL)
NO: 14-24 SU @ home last 3 seasons
NO: 26-41 ATS @ hm since 2018 (34-22-1 ATS away)
NO: Saints 9-21-2 ATS off a win
MINN: 29-13 SU one-score games under Kevin O’Connell inc: 12-5
PHI: 0-6 ATS as d/d favs
PHI: 12-0 SU & 11-1 ATS vs. Pitt at home**
PHI: Jalen Hurts 14-18-1 ATS as Road Fav
PITT: 22-1 SU @ home MNF since 1992
PITT: 3-15 SU & 7-10-1 ATS as an underdog of 7+pts inc: 1-9 SU as 8+pt dogs**
PITT: Mike Tomlin vs rookie QB’s: 28-6 SU**
PITT: Lost SU & ATS last 6 playoff games
PITT: 19-15-1 SU/ATS with a backup QB since 2015 (Mason Rudolph)
PITT: Mike Tomlin 20-15 SU & 23-9-3 ATS as home dog
PITT: 5-19 SU & 9-15 ATS on Thursdays inc: 3-16 SU and 5-14 ATS since 1980
PITT: 2-9 SU & 3-8 ATS on Thursday night road games
PITT: Tomlin 26-12-1 ATS vs. Bengals (most profitable opponent ATS)
PITT: Mike Tomlin favorite of 4+pts: 14-27-1 ATS since 2017
SEA: Sam Darnold 11-7 as a home dog
SEA: 28-14-2 ATS after a home loss last 20yrs
SEA: Road favs off bye week 80-55-4 ATS since 2004.
SEA: 10-1 SU and 9-1-1 ATS vs. Arizona
SEA: 17-23 ATS @ Hm
SF: Shanahan 9-16-1 ATS @ hm vs. NFC West
SF: Kyle Shanahan 31-25 SU/ATS w/ backup QB
SF: 24-11-1 vs. Rams since 2008 inc: 10-4
SF: vs. a defense allowing 17 PPG or less: 1-10 ATS
SF: 7-1 SU & 6-2 ATS vs. Seattle
SF: On extended prep, Kyle Shanahan only 19-16 SU
SF: RFavs off a bye: 76-51-4 ATS since 2004
SF: 10-3 SU & ATS NFL West road games
SF: 10-9 SU & 5-14 ATS home game run
SF: Christian McCaffrey 9-3 OVER receiving yards over
SF: 8-22 ATS 2nd half (worst in NFL)
SF: 9-21 3rd qtr ATS inc: 3-10 this season**
SF: Under Kyle Shanahan 49ers 0-47 when trailing by 8+pts in the 4th qtr.
SF: Kyle Shanahan 3-44 when trailing by 3+pts entering the 4th qtr.
SF: 13-44 SU & ATS when trailing at the half under Kyle Shanahan.
SF: Since 2020 13 losses when leading by 10+pts = most in NFL
SF: 13-21 ATS inc: 9-13
SF: Brock Purdy 22-17 ATS when favored by 4+pts
SF: 6-12 SU & 3-15 ATS after a win***
SF: NFC West 20-7 ATS vs. teams outside division (SF 5-3)r**
TB: Baker Mayfield 17-8 ATS on road w/ TB (he’s 21-4 in 6pt teaser).
TB: Baker Mayfield 2-12 SU & 4-10 ATS @ Night
TB: Baker Mayfield off a loss: 16-6 ATS
TENN: Lost 8 straight vs. AFC South + 3-14 ATS vs. AFC South
TENN: 3-12 ATS at home
TENN: 1-10 ATS after an ATS win
TENN: 0-10 ATS after a SU win
WASH: Marcus Mariota 12-21-2 ATS as favorite
WASH: Under @ home: 25-22-1 since 2020
DAL/WASH: SERIES: last 12 meetings: 10 decided by 10+pt
****
.
.
.
2024/25 NFL REGULAR SEASON BETTING STATS
FAVS: 199-86 SU & 149-126-2 ATS
Home Teams: 136-127 SU & 144-126-4 ATS (Not counting International games)
Road Favs: 61-47-2 ATS
6pt Favs: 71-29 SU & 48-52 ATS
10pt Favs: 17-2 SU & 10-9 ATS
B/B RG: 34-37 SU & 33-38 ATS
3 Gm RT: 1-2 SU & 2-1 ATS
OVERS: 150-125-1
COMBOS:
FAV/OVER: 76 …. FAV/UNDER: 63 FAV/PUSH: 1
DOG/OVER: 65 …. DOG/UNDER: 55 PUSH/UNDER: 1
$$$$$
2023/24 NFL SEASON REGULAR SEASON TRENDS
FAVS SU: 185-83 ATS: 136-118-7
6pts Favs: 55-21 SU & 39-37-1 ATS
10pt Favs: 21-4 SU & 14-11 ATS
B/B RG: 28-43 SU & 36-32-3 ATS (Non Bye teams/situations)
3 gm RT: 1-2 SU & 1-2 ATS
OVERS: 109-133
******
NFL 2022/23 REGULAR SEASON TRENDS
FAVS: 179-92-1 SU 124-144-4 ATS
6pts Favs: 71-18 SU 39-50 ATS
10pt Favs: 23-3 9-17 ATS
B/B RG: 28-43 SU 33-35-2 ATS
OVERS: 117-154-1
*************************
2023/24 FREE NFL: 24-26-1
2022/23 FREE NFL: 27-23-1
2021/22 FREE NFL: 35-24-3
2020/21 FREE NFL: 19-23-3
2019/20 FREE NFL: 25-26
2018/19 FREE NFL: 33-16-1
2017/18 FREE NFL: 29-18-5
2016/17 FREE NFL: 24-16-1
******
2021 NFL REGULAR SEASON TOTALS:
FAVS: 166-100-1 SU & 127-139-1 ATS (1 pick)
HM DOGS: 37-68 SU & 52-55 ATS
D/D Favs: 39-7 SU & 29-17-1 ATS
6pt Favs: 96-28-1 SU & 64-57-2 ATS
3pt Favs: 43-46 SU & 38-52 ATS
B/B Road Games: 34-35 SU & 36-33 ATS
3rd Straight RG: 3-1 SU & ATS
O/U: 126-139-2
Combo’s:
Favs/Over: 56 Dog/Over: 69
Favs/Under: 69 Dog/Under: 67
Favs/PUSH: 2 PUSH/UNDER: 1
******
SB PARLAY/REVERSE COMBOS
Favorite/Over: 15 times
Favorite/Under: 12 times
Underdog/Over: 10 times
Underdog/Under: 13 times
(4 games omitted: SB 1 didn’t have a total, three games pushed on either the game or total)
FAV/OVER has it only three times since 2000.
********************
BIG NFL FAVS DON’T LOSE
6+pt Favorites:
2018/19: 84-23 SU & 51-54-2 ATS
2017/18: 86-20 SU & 56-48-2 ATS
2016/17: 63-16-1 SU & 53-32-4 ATS
2015/16: 87-24-1 SU & 52-57-3 ATS
******
2020 NFL VEGAS SEASON AFTER WK #15
Home team: 109-94 SU & 84-113-6 ATS
Favs: 136-71-1 SU & 91-106-7 ATS
D/D favs: 29-6 SU & 14-20-1 ATS
6pts favs: 65-15 SU & 35-42-3 ATS
3pts favs: 37-30-1 SU & 32-32-4 ATS
B/B Road games: 23-21 SU & 25-18-1 ATS
3rd straight RG: 1-0 SU & ATS
HM DOGS: 23-48 SU & 29-39-4 ATS
Over/Unders: 99-107-1
Combos:
Favs/Over: 44 Favs/Under: 44
Favs/Push: 1 Dogs/Over: 51
Dogs/Under 59 Push/Under: 3
Push/Over: 4 Pk/OVER: 1
********************
2017/18 NFL VEGAS STATS REGULAR SEASON:
HOME TMS: 143-108 SU & 127-117-8 ATS (4 Lon/1 Mex)
FAVS: 181-74 SU & 134-102-9 ATS (1 game pick)
D/D FAVS: 27-4 SU & 16-17 ATS
6pt+ FAVS: 86-20 SU & 56-48-2 ATS
3pt/less FAVS: 70-39 SU & 50-42-6 ATS
2nd of B/B ROAD GMS: 33-38 SU & 34-34-3 ATS
HOME DOGS: 34-63 SU & 46-47-4 ATS
OVERS/UNDERS: 116-136-4
COMBINATIONS:
FAVS/OVERS: 53 FAVS/UNDERS: 78
DOGS/OVER: 54 DOGS/UNDER: 60
********************
NFL 2016/17 REGULAR SEASON:
HOME TMS: 151-100-1 SU & 119-122-11 ATS (4 gms N/A)
2nd of B/B ROAD GMS: 28-36-1 SU & 29-33-2 ATS
FAVS: 167-86-2 SU & 122-122-11 ATS (1gm Pick)
D/D FAVS: 11-0 SU & 7-4 ATS
6pt+ FAVS: 63-16-1 SU & 53-32-4 ATS
3pt/less FAVS: 59-38-2 SU & 52-43-4 ATS
HOME DOGS: 30-48 SU & 36-43-4 ATS
OVERS/UNDERS: 134-120-2
FAVS/OVERS: 65 FAVS/UNDERS: 62
DOGS/OVER: 62 DOGS/UNDER: 54
******
2015/16 REGULAR SEASON NFL
HOME TEAMS: 136-117 SU…117-130-6 ATS (3 gms London)
FAVORITES: 157-95 SU & 117-130-6 ATS (3 pickem)
10+PT FAVS: 15-5 SU & 9-11 ATS
3PT Favs or less: 46-47 SU & 38-49-6 ATS
HOME DOGS: 32-53 SU & 42-41-3 ATS
OVERS: 118
UNDERS: 131
PUSH: 4
******
2014/15 NFL REGULAR SEASON>
Home tms: 144-101-1 SU & 114-135-3 ATS (4 neutral)
Home dogs: 26-49 SU & 35-41-1 ATS
Favorites: 169-83-1 SU & 120-130-3 ATS (3 pickem games)
10pt Favs: 21-2 SU & 11-12 ATS
6pt+ Favs: 87-24-1 SU & 52-57-3 ATS
OVERS/UNDERS: 117-137-2
COMBOS
FAVS/OVERS: 54 FAVS/UNDERS: 64
DOGS/OVERS: 59 DOGS/UNDERS: 69
******
2013/14 REGULAR SEASON#’s
HOME TEAMS: 152-101-1 SU & 136-112-6 ATS
FAVORITES*: 179-75-1 SU & 132-115-8 ATS
10pts FAVS: 27-7 SU & 17-16-1 ATS
HOME DOGS: 32-61 SU & 44-47-2 ATS
OVERS/UNDERS: 134-118-4
GAMES DECIDED BY 7pts or less: 123 of 256
COMBOS
FAVS/OVER: 66 FAVS/UNDER: 64
UNDERDOGS/OVER: 61 UNDERDOGS/UNDER: 54
******
NFL 2012/13 regular season
Home Teams: 126-139-4 ATS
Home Dogs: 49-46-1 ATS
Home Favs: 77-88-1 ATS
********************
SUPER BOWL NOTES thru: 23/24
Team with most Total yards is 43-15
Team with most Rushing yards is 43-14 (1 game tied)
SU SB winner is 49-7-2 ATS
Score less than 20pts: 2-25 SU & 4-22-1 ATS
Score 27+pts 31-5 SU & 28-7-1 ATS
Only 16 of the 58 Super Bowls have been decided by 1 score.
***
SB tams that fail to score 21 pts in the SB are 2-22 SU & 4-19-1 ATS.
(Exception..Giants over the Patriots 17-14 in SBXLII & Pats in SB 53 13-3 over Rams)
Super Bowl teams scoring at least 27pts are 27-4 SU & 24-6-1 ATS.
(Exceptions Carolina (29) vs. Pats, SF (31) vs. Balt, Atl 28 vs. Pats, Pats vs. Eagles
********************
2018/19 NFL PLAYOFFS
PLAYING ONLY ONE: 4-1-1
$100 BEST BETS: 4-4-1
$50 OTHER PLAYS: 1-3
$25 IF YOU MUST: 3-1
OVER/UNDER PLAY OF THE DAY: 2-3
EVERY BET/EVERY PLAY: 9-6-1
$100 WIN REVERSE: 3-3 = +540
$100 PARLAYS: 3-3 = +392
$100 PROP PLAYS: 24-21-2 = +500
***************