2025/26 NFL REGULAR SEASON BETTING STATS
THRU WEEK #7
Home Tms: 60-42-1 SU & 52-51 ATS (Not counting International games)
FAVS: 76-309-1 SU & 58-49 ATS
Road Favs: 26-12 SU & 21-17 ATS
6pt Favs: 23-4-1 SU & 14-14 ATS
10pt Favs: 7-0 SU & 4-3 ATS
B/B RG: 7-14-1 SU & 11-11 ATS
3 Gm RT: 1-1 SU & 1-1 ATS
OVERS: 50-43
COMBOS:
FAV/OVER: 20…. FAV/UNDER: 32
DOG/OVER: 26…. DOG/UNDER: 15
$$$
WEEK 7
Home Tms: 9-5 SU & 9-5 ATS
FAVS: 13-1 SU & 10-4 ATS
RFavs: 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS
6pt Favs: 4-0 SU & 2-2 ATS
10pt Favs: 1-0 SU & 1-0 ATS
B/B RG: 2-0 SU & 2-0 ATS
3 ST RG: 1-0 SU & 1-0 ATS
O/U: 9-6
COMBOS: Fav/Over: 6
Fav/Under: 5
Dog/Over: 4
Dog/Under: 0
####
$
$
$
$
WEEK #8
NFC is 25-13 SU & 26-12 ATS vs. the AFC this season
(This week: Minn-L, Atlanta, Carolina, Chicago, San Fran, Dallas, Green Bay & Washington)

SUNDAY
1-6 MIAMI @ ATLANTA FALCONS
MIA: 12 turnovers lead NFL
MIA: Mike McDaniel 29-31 ATS
MIA: 10-17 ATS run
MIA: haven’t won a playoff game since 2000 – 3rd-longest in 4 major US sports.
MIA: haven’t won the AFC East in 16 seasons
MIA: 5-20 SU & 9-16 ATS vs..500/winning teams vs. 26-14 vs. losing teams
MIA: GM Chris Grier 9yrs + 0 months: longest tenured NFL GM w/out a playoff win in NFL history
MIA: When Tua faces an opposing offense averaging 21 PPG or less..19-4 SU last 23
MIA: Tua Tags 13-20-1 ATS RG + 24-12 ATS @ Hm
MIA: 3-22 SU as a road dog
MIA: Tua Tags 13-21 SU on road vs. 26-10 at home
MIA: Tua Tags 13-21 SU & 14-19-1 ATS on road inc: 2-15 SU & 5-11-1 ATS vs winning teams + 9-6 SU & 7-8 ATS vs. losing teams
ATL: 24-41-1 ATS vs. non-NFC South 2019
ATL: 55-81-1 ATS in regular season (worst-NFL)
ATL: UNDER 27-17
ATL: H/C Raheem Morris 14-25 ATS @ home inc: 8-12 ATS after a SU loss
$
0-7 NY JETS @ 3-4 CINCINNATI -5.5 44.5pts
CIN: 33-30-1 SU in non-divisional games (13-23 SU vs. AFC North)
CIN: H/C Zac Taylor 45-32-1 SU w/ Burrow BUT 9-26 SU w/ other QB
CIN: teams are 3-13 SU game after beating Pittsburgh, losing by 7.8 PPG last 2+ seasons
NYJ: 30-50-4 ATS on road since 2015
NYJ: Justin Fields 0-26 SU + 6-19-1 ATS when opponent scores 20+pts
NYJ: Justin Fields opponent scores 20 pts or less: 12-10 SU + 12-10 ATS
NYJ: Justin Fields 12-35 SU…20-29-1 ATS career
NYJ: 29-46-1 ATS
NYJ: 14 year playoff draught = tied with Buffalo Sabres (NHL) longest active playoff drought
NYJ: only winless team in NFL
NYJ: 0-4 SU or worse teams who play on the road: 57-35 ATS last 20 seasons
$
2-5 CLEVELAND @ 5-2 NEW ENGLAND -7.5 40.5pts
CLE: H/C Kevin Stefanski 28-31-1 ATS vs. non-AFC North teams
CLE: 7-19 ATS last 26 games
CLE: 19-5 Team Total under
CLE: Kevin Stefanski Dog: 13-37 SU & 20-28-1 ATS
CLE: lost 12 straight road games inc: 0-9 ATS run
CLE: 17-7 OVER RG run
CLE: 16-24 ATS after a SU win under Kevin Stefanski
NE: Since Brady left 38-55 SU & 41-49-3 ATS since 2020
NE: 4-31 SU + 6-28-1 ATS when trailing by 7+pts (Mike Vrabel 3-17 SU & 5-14-1 ATS w/ Titans)
NE: 1-16 when allowing 4+ sacks
NE: 14-32 SU & 16-28-2 ATS run inc: 3-5 as a favorite
NE: teams on 4+ game SU/ATS win streak who didn’t make the playoffs the year before: 1-14-1 ATS since 2022. (Pats & Bears)
$
2-5 NY GIANTS @ 5-2 PHILADELPHIA -6.5 43.5pts
NYG: Finished below .500 SU on the road in 13 straight seasons
NYG: 9-29 SU on the road = 3rd-worst win % in the NFL
NYG: UNDER 59-31-2 run—Best in NFL
NYG: Brian Daboll 21-38-1 SU
NYG: 3-16 SU & 6-13 ATS streak
NYG: 42-95 last 8+yrs = worst mark in NFL
NYG: last swept season series vs. Philly in 2007
PHI: 27-3 SU & 19-9-2 ATS when leading by 7+ as home fav.
PHI: Won 12 straight at home vs. NYG
PHI: Jalen Hurt 43-35-2 ATS career
PHI: Saquon Barkley rushed for less than 60 yards in 5 straight gms
PHI: 21-3 SU run
Series: 10-5 Under
$
4-2 BUFFALO -7.5 @ 4-3 CAROLINA 47.5pts
CAR: starting Andy Dalton over injured Bryce Young
BUF: Josh Allen: 9-1 SU & 6-3-1 ATS next game after 2 game losing streak
BUF: Allen 36-6 SU as a fav of 7+ overall
BUF: Josh Allen 87 wins inc: 63 by 7+pts
BUF: NFL-best 17-8 Team total OVER
BUF: When teams score 21+pts vs Bills: Buffalo 5-26 ATS since 2022
BUF: as 4+pt favs 14-23-1 ATS
BUF: 20-7 w/ Joe Brady as O/C scoring 30+pts in 14 of 25 games
BUF: won turnover battle 25-2-1 tie (0-2-1 last 3)
CAR: Bryce Young 7-10 @ Hm vs. 1-15 on road
CAR: 9-2 OVER HG run
CAR: 1-65 in games when trailing by 9 pts or more
CAR: Bryce Young is 10-25 SU
CAR: Bryce Young 12-23 ATS 1st half (Worst in NFL)
CAR: 6-1 vs 4th qtr spread
CAR: Over .500 1st time since Oct. 2021
CAR: First 9 games of season: 40-11-2 ATS 7+ home dogs since 2020
$
4-2 CHICAGO @ 1-5 BALTIMORE RAVENS -6.5 49.5pts
BAL: 74-32 including playoffs w/ Lamar Jackson (28ppg) vs. 4-12 w/out LJ (15ppg) since 2018
CHI: 1-20 road Sunday games
CHI: 6-22 last 28 road games inc: 2-0
CHI: Williams 2-9 1H ATS on the road
CHI: 3-28 when trailing entering the 4th qtr
CHI: 5-7 night games & 14-31 in day games since 2022
CHI: 6-0 OVER team total (only undefeated team in the NFL)
BALT: 19-6 Over inc: 5-1 TYr
BALT: 26-14 OVER Team total last 2 years (Best in NFL)
BALT: 4-12 SU & 9-7 ATS w/out Lamar Jackson starting
BALT: 24-7 SU & 21-10 ATS as a fav
$
SAN FRANCISCO @ HOUSTON TEXANS -1.5
HOU: Led @ half 18 last 23 gms (3-3 TYr)
HOU: 6-0 ATS 4th Qtr
HOU: 16-9 Under run
HOU: CJ Stroud 9-12 ATS as a fav + 11-9 as Dog
HOU: 19-9 UNDER at home
SF: Kyle Shanahan 30-23 SU/ATS w/ backup QB
SF: Games Christian McCaffrey starts 49ers 31-11 SU & 21-20 ATS
SF: 4-20 ATS 2nd half (worst in NFL)
SF: 6-18 against the 3rd qtr ATS inc: 0-7 3Q ATS this season**
SF: Under Kyle Shanahan 49ers 0-45 when trailing by 8+pts in the 4th qtr.
SF: Kyle Shanahan 3-42 when trailing by 3+pts entering the 4th qtr.
SF: 13-42 SU & ATS when trailing at the half under Kyle Shanahan.
SF: Since 2020 13 losses when leading by 10+pts = most in NFL
SF: 9-19 ATS inc: 5-11
SF: 0 INT’s this season
SF: after a win since Christmas of 2023, 1-13 ATS
SF: vs. a defense allowing 17 PPG or less: 1-8 ATS
$

5-2 TAMPA BAY -5.5 @ 1-6 NEW ORLEANS 48.5pts
TB: 25-18 SU & 26-17 ATS
TB: Todd Bowles 10-29 SU after scoring under 20 pts in a loss inc: 4-9 SU w/ TBay
TB: Baker Mayfield 26-18 ATS as a Buc inc: 10-9 as a Favs.
TB: 16-8 OVER
TB: Baker Mayfield 16-6 ATS on the road w/ TB (he’s 20-2 in 6pt teaser).
TB: Baker Mayfield 21-32-1 ATS as a fav
TB: Baker Mayfield Division games 5-12 ATS at home & 11-10 on the road
NO: 14-22 SU @ home last 3 seasons
NO: 26-39 ATS @ hm since 2018 (2nd-worst ATS mark @ hm ahead of Atlanta) (34-22-1 ATS away)
NO: 30-20 UNDER run
NO: Spencer Rattler 1-12 SU & 2-11 ATS
NO: 0-7 ATS 1st Qtr (outscored 68-16)
NO: 0-23 SU & 3-20 ATS entering the 4th qtr trailing since 2023
NO: as home underdog since 2020: 4-16 SU & 5-15 ATS (Worst in NFL)
$

3-3-1 DALLAS @ 5-2 DENVER -2.5 48.5pts
DAL: 6-13 ATS after winning by 20+pts inc: 3-12 ATS last 15
DAL: Dak Prescott 24-31-1 SU…21-35 ATS vs. winning teams
DAL: Dak Prescott 39-47-2 ATS vs. everyone but NFC East (30-13 ATS vs. NFC East)
DAL: 13-17 ATS run
DAL: No turnovers in 4 straight games, 1st time in franchise history**
DEN: UNDER 51-36-1 at home inc: 20-17 last 4 years
DEN: 15-14 ATS home games
DEN: 15-10 ATS
DEN: Bo Nix started 11-3 ATS…4-7 ATS since
DEN: Bo Nix 12-1 SU as a favorite
DEN: Bo Nix started 4 games w/ over/under 45+pts = 0-4 SU/ATS
DEN: Bo Nix Nix 23-2 in 6pt teasers
DEN: 8 straight home wins…longest active streak in NFL
$
1-6 TENNESSEE @ 6-1 INDIANAPOLIS -14.5 45.5pts
IND: 5-0 SU & ATS vs. Titans
IND: Daniel Jones UNDER 26-12-1 @ home
IND: Daniel Jones 26-43 SU + 34-35 ATS vs NFL (Except gms vs. Washington)
IND: 20-10 ATS in September, October & November under h/c Shane Steichen
TENN: As a dog: 29-46 SU & 34-40-1 ATS
TENN: 7-26-1 ATS last 2+ seasons inc: 2-5 TYr
TENN: Cam Ward sacked NFL high 30x
TENN: 2-12 ATS vs. their own division. (Worst in NFL)
$
SUNDAY NIGHT
4-1-1 GREEN BAY -3.5 @ 4-2 PITTSBURGH 43.5pts
SNF Unders 44-24 inc: 4-3 TYR
GB: H/C Matt LaFleur 62-48 ATS inc: 37-33 as a favorite
GB: Jordan Love 27-15 ATS 2nd half
GB: H/C Matt LaFleur 31-19 ATS vs. winning teams
PITT: 64-39-4 ATS Underdog under Tomlin
PITT: 40-17 SU & 38-19 ATS in one-score games since 2020…best in NFL
PITT: 34-24-1 ATS since Roethlisberger retired
PITT: 4-11 SU when averaging less than 5yds per rush…29-15 when they average at least 5 yards
PITT: 9-15 1st qtr spread
PITT: Aaron Rodgers can become the 5th QB to beat all 32 teams (Brett Favre, Peyton Manning, Tom Brady & Drew Brees)
Underdogs 13-10-1 SU & 16-8 ATS in night games
$
$
MONDAY
3-4 WASHINGTON @ 4-3 KANSAS CITY
WASH: Marcus Mariota 12-20-2 ATS as favorite
WASH: Marcus Mariota 29-46-3 ATS 1st half
WASH: 16-11 OVER
KC: Mahomes 29-7 SU & 19-16-1 ATS vs. NFC
KC: 67-8 when leading after 1st qtr inc: 32-1
KC: 20-6 SU & 11-14-1 ATS
KC: 30-17 UNDER
KC: 2nd-half under 32-15 BUT 6-3 Over run
KC: 4th quarter Unders 32-14
KC: 21-14 SU when trailing at half since 2020. No team has a win % above 40%
KC: Mahomes 52-13 SU at home
KC: Pat Mahomes 34-36-1 ATS & 31-11-1 Under at home
KC: Mahomes 45-50-2 ATS as 3.5+pts favs.
KC: Mahomes 45-49-2 ATS as favs 3.5+Pts. (Other games 25-8-1 ATS)
KC: Favs 6+pts 9-0 SU & 2-6-1 ATS
KC: Mahomes 24-32-3 ATS as favs 7+pts
KC: Since 2020, Mahomes 37-2 SU & 14-24-1 ATS as a 7.5+ Fav
KC: Favorite 10+pts, Mahomes 10-15 ATS
KC: Since 2019, 38-5 SU when they commit under 5 penalties (0 TO’s or penalties vs. Detroit)
$
$
$
$
$
OTHER TRENDS
Underdogs on Thursday 13-31 SU…BUT 3-1 last 4 weeks
Home favorites on a Thursday 100-82-3 ATS last 20 years.
International Games: Favs 39-14-1 SU & 34-20 ATS + 28-25 UNDER
UNDER is 24-12 total of 55+pts since 20189
Totals 37 or less = UNDER 33-17-1 since 2020
Teams after getting shutout: 32-15-3 ATS since 2015 (2-0 this year)
Teams after scoring 3ps or less: 87-62-5 ATS since 2014
Totals 37 or less = UNDER 33-15-1 since 2020
When both teams are off bye…fav 34-22 SU last 20yrs + 22-11 UNDER
When both teams are on 8+days rest, under 106-49-1 since 2018 inc: 0- TYr
PRIME TIME: Rookie QBs 25-58 SU road games in primetime since 1970
THANKSGIVING DAY TRENDS
FAVORITES: 51-9 SU & 40-20 ATS since 2004 inc: 9-1 ATS as 10+pt favs
7+pt favs: 30-5 SU & 25-10 ATS since 1990
Night game Favs: 14-4 ATS + 11-7 UNDER since they started the 3-games back in 2006
Coaches Fired System: Teams 18-24 SU & 23-19 ATS 1st game following firing since 2003 (0-1)
Underdogs in playoffs since 2017: 60-39 ATS
.
ARI: Kyler Murray 32-20-2 ATS as dog inc: 15-6-2 as 4+pt dogs + 22-7-2 on road
ARI: Kyler Murray 5-35 SU down 10+pts since 2021
ARI: Kyler Murray 7-26 ATS 1st half
ARI: 4-16 w/out Kyler Murray inc: 2-15 since 2022
ARI: 3 or 4 Sacks
ARI: 1-14 SU when allowing 4+ sacks + 2-24 SU allowing 3+ sacks since 2022
ARI: Kyler Murray 28-20 OVER at home
ARI: Lost 5 straight 4pts or less
ARI: Kyler Murray Under 28-13-1 on road (2nd-best of 280 QBs since 2003)
ARI: Kyler Murray 1-5 SU/ATS off a bye week
ARI: 13-4 ATS playing on East coast w/ Kyler Murray as QB
ARI: 2-13 SU after last 15 wins*
ARI: 4-20 SU after facing 49ers
ARI: Kyler Murray 2-10 SU & 3-9 ATS vs Seattle
ARI: Kyler Murray 8-24 SU & 12-19-2 ATS against NFC West
ARI: Kyler Murray 6-26 ATS 1st half inc: 1-16 vs. NFC West teams**
ARI: Kyler 9-15 ATS as Home Favs
ARI: Kyler Murray 14-21 ATS as a favorite
ATL: 11-23-1 ATS after a win
ATL: teams that won as home Dogs on MNF: 26-44 SU & 30-40 ATS next game
ATL: Kirk Cousins 17-30 ATS indoors inc: 3-13 ATS last 5 years
ATL: Cousins in primetime: 19-24-1 SU & 17-27 ATS inc: 14-20 SU & 14-20 ATS @ night
ATL: Kirk Cousins 14-23 ATS at home since 2020
ATL: Cousins 1-7 after a SU underdog win
ATL: Cousins as a dog in PT: 6-16-1 SU & 9-14 ATS
ATL: Kirk Cousins off back to back SU/ATS wins 9-13-1 ATS inc: 3-11-1 ATS since 2017
ATL: H/C Raheem Morris 21-18-1 ATS on road
BALT: 20-9 ATS as an underdog

BALT: Lamar Jackson 37-14 SU & 23-28 ATS as home fav.
BALT: Lamar Jackson favored by 3+pts: 24-32 ATS
BALT: Lamar Jackson 7+pt fav: 33-7 SU
BALT: John Harbaugh/Ravens: 17-6 ATS on MNF
BALT: Lamar Jackson 24-3 SU & 14-13 ATS vs. NFC teams
BALT: Lamar Jackson 20-7 SU at night
BALT: Lamar Jackson as Playoff home Favs: 2-4 SU & ATS (5-1 UNDER)
BALT: UNDER 8-0-1 as home playoff favs since 1995
BALT: 2-7 ATS as non Division 7+pt HF’s
BALT: Lamar Jackson 3-4 SU & 2-5 ATS vs. Pitt
BALT: Lamar Jackson 8-10 ATS at home vs. AFC North teams
BALT: Lamar Jackson d/d fav: 16-1 SU & 11-6 ATS
BALT: Lamar one of 11 QB’s to win 2+ MVP’s…he’s the only one NOT to play in a Super Bowl
BALT: Lamar Jackson 20-7 ATS road games on turf
BALT: Lamar Jackson 3pts favs or less or dog 26-10 ATS reg. season vs. favored by 3+pts: 22-31 ATS**
BALT: LJ 21-6 SU after a loss
BUF: Josh Allen has never won b/b games as an underdog (0-16)
BUF: as double-digit favs: 1-11 ATS
BUF: As a home favorite of 7+p, Allen 27-3 SU
BUF: Josh Allen: 28-3 SU as 8.5+pt fav

BUF: 42-8 SU home games

CAR: 10-4 ATS vs. AFC West teams

CAR: 1-10 SU ATS as favorite
CAR: Bryce Young 2-15 SU & 6-11 ATS on road
CAR: 4-17 SU & 5-16 ATS on the road

CHI: 1-8 SU & 2-6-1 ATS after facing GBay
CHI: 7-25 SU vs. NFC North (only Jets w/ fewer wins vs. own division)
CHI: 4-18 SU vs. winning teams***
CHI: 10-3 as favs vs. NFC teams (6-33 SU as underdogs)
CIN: Joe Burrow 8-1 ATS vs. Mahomes, Josh Allen & Tom Brady
CIN: Joe Burrow 11-18-1 SU & 19-11 ATS as a dog inc: 14-7 ATS on road
CIN: Joe Burrow 3+pt Dog: 9-9-1 SU & 17-3 ATS**
CIN: 15-4 ATS vs. AFC West
CIN: Joe Burrow UNDER 34-32-1
CIN: Joe Burrow 27-10 SU & 28-8-1 ATS run vs. non-divisional teams
CIN: Joe Burrow 46-29-1 ATS inc: 42-23-1 SU + 43-22-1 ATS game 3 on
CIN: Joe Burrow 13-7-1 SU vs NFC inc: 11-2 SU last 13
CIN: Joe Burrow’s 19-9-1 ATS after a loss
CIN: Joe Burrow fav-6 or higher: 7-8 ATS
CIN: Joe Burrow in December or later games: 18-5 SU & 16-7 ATS
CIN: 7+ Home dogs: 18-2-2 ATS first 9 games of season since 2022 + 37-11-2 ATS since 2020
CIN: 21-12-2 ATS as dogs
CLE: 11-1 SU vs. AFC South
CLE: DeShaun Watson 10-10 SU as a Brown (28-25 as a Texan)
CLE: Deshaun Watson 35-38-2 ATS inc: 14-22-2 ATS as a favorite & 21-16 ATS as an underdog
CLE: Night home games under Kevin Stefanski: 6-2 SU & ATS
CLE: Browns traveled to MST or PST 5-23 SU inc: 0-9 SU since 2019…2-20 SU last 22
CLE: 7+pt HD first 9 games of season 38-10-2 ATS since 2020 + 19-1-2 ATS last 3 years**
CLE: 13-5 SU @ Hm vs. winning teams since 2020
CLE: Flacco SU/ATS w/ Cleveland…12-5 SU…11-4-2 ATS
CLE: Flacco last 15 starts = 9-6 OVER
CLE: Flacco as Dog of 4+pts 3-23 SU since 2014**
CLE: 11-22 ATS vs. AFC North w/ Kevin Stefanski inc: 8-8 at home (3-14 ATS on road)
CLE: 1-9 ATS last 10 AFC North road games
CLE: Lost 22 straight games in Pittsburgh. (Last win Oct/2003 w/ Tim Couch)**
DAL: Dak Prescott double-digit fav: 12-2 SU & 10-4 ATS.

DAL: 3-19 SU as a dog of 7+pts
DAL: Dak Prescott: 25-5 SU + 19-10-1 ATS as 6+pt HFav
DAL: Dak Prescott 37-9 SU & 31-14-1 ATS as 6+pt fav
DAL: 16-1 SU & 12-5 ATS vs. NYG inc: 9-0
DAL: Dak Prescott 40-13 SU, 33-18-2 ATS vs. losing teams
DAL: Dak Prescott 11-3 ATS vs. Washington inc: 7-0 SU & 6-1 ATS at home
DAL: 8-16 ATS run as dogs
DAL: Home Dogs 41-50-4 ATS
DEN: Sean Payton 58-40-2 ATS as an underdog
DEN: 9-0 SU & 8-1 ATS after facing KC in regular season
DEN: Sean Payton 7-11 ATS in the playoffs
DEN: Sean Payton dog of +7pts: 10-5 ATS
DEN: Sean Payton 85-64-3 ATS on road inc: 35-20-1 ATS run
DET: 20-4 ATS as an underdog of 4+ under Dam Campbell
DET: Jared Goff 8-0 ATS vs. Minnesota as a Lion
DET: 9-0 ATS after a loss since November, 2022
DET: Goff as double-digit fav: 11-2 SU & 8-5 ATS
DET: 10-1 SU as favs in PT…Games starting at 4pm or later: 15-2 SU under Dan Campbell
DET: 24-7 ATS after a 6+pt win
DET: Jared Goff 29-16 ATS RG since 2020
DET: Jared Goff: 18-35 SU & 31-23 ATS as a dog
DET: 21-6 ATS RG inc: 13-2 as Road Favs
DET: Jared Goff 30-19 ATS at home since 2020
DET: Jared Goff 20-9 ATS off a loss w/ the Lions
DET: Since 2018 w/ the Lions & Rams, Goff 27-13-1 ATS vs. division teams
DET: 11-0 SU & ATS after their last 11 loses
DET: Jared Goff 70-38-1 ATS
DET: 51-23-1 ATS run
DET: Jared Goff ATS Indoor: 44-18-1 ATS vs. Outdoors: 41-36-2 ATS
GB: 17-2 SU & 10-9 ATS facing a backup QB under Matt LaFleur
GB: LaFleur 19-4 SU, 13-10 ATS in December games.
GB: 11-1 SU & 10-2 ATS vs. Bears…16-2 SU vs. Chicago
GB: Favored to beat Chicago 29 of 33 games going 30-14-1 ATS last 45 meetings
GB: H/C Matt LaFleur 34-21 ATS at home
GB: 4-9 ATS after a loss w/ Jordan Love
IND: 11-1-1 ATS @ Houston
IND: 13-3 ATS as home dogs of 6+ last 30 years
IND: Anthony Richardson: 8-5 ATS
IND: Daniel Jones 1-16 SU & 6-11 ATS at night
JACK: 28-14-2 ATS vs. Colts inc: 17-2-1 since 2015
JACK: Trevor Lawrence 10-17 ATS vs. losing teams
JACK: 3-13 SU & 4-12 ATS playing on West coast
JACK: Trevor Lawrence: 12-12 SU as a favorite
JACK: Trevor Lawrence: 33-35 ATS inc: 7-3
JACK: Trevor Lawrence 39-29 UNDER
JACK: 14-9 ATS vs Winning teams
JACK: Trevor Lawrence 10-23 SU + 15-18 ATS on road (least profitable QB since ’21)
JACK: 7-7 SU & ATS in International Games
KC: 11-3 SU & 7-6-1 ATS vs. Playoff teams

KC: Mahomes after a SU loss: 21-5 SU, 13-12-1 ATS
KC: Mahomes 51-15 SU & 39-25-2 ATS RG (50-13 SU at home)
KC: Patrick Mahomes: 13-1 SU & 7-7 ATS vs. Broncos
KC: Chiefs won AFC West 9 straight seasons = longest active streak of 4 major sports
KC: Patrick Mahomes 12-5 SU & 13-3-1 ATS as a Dog
KC: Patrick Mahomes 1-2 SU NFL + 1-7 SU college as a home Dog.
KC: 20-6-1 ATS as an underdog
KC: H/C Andy Reid d/d underdog 6 times: 2-5 SU & 6-1 ATS since 2007
KC: Pat Mahomes 8-1 SU & ATS when a dog or favorite of less than 3pts in Post season
KC: Pat Mahomes 17-4 SU & 15-6 ATS in Playoffs
KC: Andy Reid 26-17 SU & 25-18 ATS in playoffs
KC: H/C Andy Reid 33-7 SU & 25-15 ATS with an extra week of prep**
KC: Mahomes 17-2 SU & 11-8 ATS AFC West road games
KC: Mahomes 18-1 vs. non winning NFC teams on road
KC: Mahomes 25-3 SU on the road as a 5+pt favorite
KC: UNDER 24-10 AFC games
LAC: Jim Harbaugh after a loss: 18-11 SU & 15-12-2 ATS
LAC: 36-53-3 ATS at home
LAC: Justin Herbert: 19-26-1 ATS in games 3pt or less spread
LAC: 26-16 UNDER
LAC: Jim Harbaugh: 62-33-1 SU & 55-38-3 ATS
LAC: Herbert 34-21 UNDER
LAC: 2-11 SU in games decided by 3pts or fewer
LAC: Justin Herbert: Underdog: 15-11-1 ATS Fav: 30-28-1 ATS
LAC: Justin Herbert 44-44 SU & 46-40-2 ATS (20-22 ATS @ Hm + 26-18 ATS Rd)
LAC: Justin Herbert: 24pts
When his defense allows 24 pts or LESS: 37-12 SU & 36-11-2 ATS
When his defense allows 24 pts or MORE: 8-31 SU & 10-29 ATS
LAC: Herbert 7+pt Fav: 8-1 SU & 7-2 ATS
LAC: Justin Herbert 20-9-1 ATS vs. AFC West
LAC: PST teams playing on East Coast since 2019: 59-36-4 ATS
LAC: Justin Herbert 13-7 ATS games played in EST
LAC: Justin Herbert 26-19 ATS on road inc: 14-12 as RF’s
LAR: 4-pt road favs: 17-0 SU & 10-7 ATS under Sean McVay**
LAR: Sean McVay 15-0 SU as 6+pt RF….19-0 SU 4+pt RFav
LAR: 26-19 UNDER at home game run
LAR: H/C Sean McVay 30-20-1 ATS vs. NFC West
LAR: 14-3 SU vs. Arizona
LAR: 7-2 last 9 vs. Seattle inc: 5-1 @ Seattle
LAR: Sean McVay 12-5 ATS vs. Seattle inc: 11-2 ATS since 2019
LAR: 19-9-2 SU & 20-10 ATS on East Coast
LAR: 11-4 SU & 12-3 ATS run
LAR: Sean McVay 25-5 SU as favorite vs AFC inc: 15-2 on road
LAR: 31-9 SU as favs vs 9-19 SU as Dogs
LAR: Matt Stafford 38-72 SU & 45-63-2 ATS vs. winning teams inc: 15-14 SU & 15-14 ATS w/LA
LV: Geno Smith 13-19-4 ATS after a win
LV: Since moving to Vegas: Road: 18-29 SU + 19-27 ATS + Home 20-24 SU & 24-19-1 ATS
LV: trailed by d/d in 18 of 23 games (4-3 TYr)
LV: 10-3 SU vs. Denver + 12-3 ATS last 15 vs Denver
LV: 3-11 SU & 3-9-2 ATS after facing KC since 2017**
LV: Geno Smith 3-12 SU as an underdog in primetime
LV: Geno Smith 13-18-4 ATS as Fav vs. 25-25-3 ATS as Dog
LV: 7-18 ATS last 21 years as 4+pt Fav
LV: Geno Smith -5 or higher 6 times = 7-1 SU
LV: Geno Smith as a favorite of 3+pts: 18-6 SU
LV: Geno Smith 5-13-1 ATS at home run
MIA: 11-17 4Qtr ATS at home inc: 1-2 Tyr
MIA: 45-28-3 ATS since 2016 at home
MIA: Tua Tags d/d favorite 6-1 SU & 4-3 ATS
MIA: Tua Tags 13-4 SU vs SB winning head coaches
MIA: Mike McDaniel playing on West Coast after week 1 = 2-4 SU & 1-5 ATS failing to cover the spread by 10+ppg
MIA: Tua 0-5 SU & 1-4 ATS w/ Temps as 40 or below
MIA: Tua Tags 16-1 SU & 13-4 ATS as a 4+pt favorite
MIA: 2-14 RG w/ a back up QB
MIA: Mike McDaniel 3-8 SU & 4-7 ATS w/out Tua Tags @ QB
MIA: 11-30 SU as a franchise in 32° temperatures or colder inc: 0-11 run
MIA: 8-2 SU & 9-1 ATS vs. Pats streak** inc: 7-1 SU & ATS by Tua Tags
MIA: Tua Tags 2-15 SU & 5-11-1 ATS on road vs. winning teams
MIA: 2-16 vs. Bills…(1-7 under Mike McDaniel)
MIA: 2-14 SU vs. Josh Allen/Bill
MIA: 15-4 SU & 12-6-1 ATS since 2016 vs. NYJ
MIA: Tua Tags 24-11 SU & 21-14 ATS vs. losing teams inc: 5-6 ATS on road
MINN: 28-11 SU one-score games under Kevin O’Connell inc: 11-3
NE: 24-4 SU vs. NY Jets
NE: 19-29 SU & 19-27-3 ATS vs. winning teams
NE: 12-36 SU as an underdog since 2021
NYG: 3-23 SU non Sunday games since 2017
NYG: Giants & Jets combined 5-33 SU @ night since 2019 (NYG 3-19 inc: 1-11 at home)
NYG: 30-11-1 UNDER at home
NYJ: 1-21 SU & 3-19 ATS in game after facing Bills
NYJ: 6-19 SU & 9-16 ATS vs. AFC East
NYJ: 1-13 SU on the road vs. AFC East
NYJ: 2-15 SU @ night since 2019
NYJ: Home dog: 8-19 SU…11-16 ATS
NYJ: International game with no rest: 15-11 SU & 13-13 ATS next game
NO: Saints 9-19-2 ATS off a win
NO: 10-17-2 ATS vs. NFC South
NO: 14-4-1 ATS as road dogs of 4+pts
PHI: 0-6 ATS as d/d favs
PHI: 12-0 SU & 11-1 ATS vs. Pitt at home**
PHI: 12-3 SU & ATS vs. playoff teams run
PHI: Jalen Hurts Road: 26-14 SU & 18-20-1 ATS
PHI: Jalen Hurts 14-17-1 ATS as Road Fav
PHI: Jalen Hurts 26-14 SU + 24-16 UNDER on road
PHI: Jalen Hurts 28-4 SU @ Hm as favorite vs. winning teams inc: 18-1
PITT: 22-1 SU @ home MNF since 1992
PITT: 3-15 SU & 7-10-1 ATS as an underdog of 7+pts inc: 1-9 SU as 8+pt dogs**
PITT: Tomlin 44-32-1 ATS as a road dogs & (35-43-2 ATS as RFavs)
PITT: Tomlin: 18 consecutive non-losing seasons.
PITT: Mike Tomlin vs rookie QB’s: 28-6 SU**
PITT: Lost SU & ATS last 6 playoff games
PITT/BALT: Series: 45pts+ total UNDER is 8-3.
PITT/BALT: Mike Tomlin 21-17 SU & 19-16-3 ATS vs. John Harbaugh inc: 13-4-2 ATS as dogs
PITT: Dog of 4+pts vs. Ravens 8-2 ATS
PITT/BALT: 16 of last 20 meetings decided by 7pts or less
PITT/BALT: Dog 29-12-3 ATS inc: 16-4-1 since 2015
PITT/BALT: when line 3+ the underdog 23-6-3 ATS
PITT: Tomlin as a Division dog: 22-18 SU, 27-11-2 ATS
PITT: 5-19 SU & 9-15 ATS on Thursdays inc: 3-16 SU and 5-14 ATS since 1980
PITT: road, divisional TNF game: 0-9 SU & 1-8 ATS
PITT: 2-9 SU & 3-8 ATS on Thursday night road games
PITT: Mike Tomlin Road Unders 89-70-1
PITT: Tomlin 25-12-1 ATS vs. Bengals (most profitable opponent ATS)
PITT: Rodgers 57-37 ATS in Division games
PITT: Mike Tomlin favorite of 4+pts: 13-27-1 ATS since 2017 = least profitable coach in the NFL**
SEA: Sam Darnold 11-7 as a home dog
SEA: 9-0 SU and 8-1 ATS vs. Arizona
SEA: PST teams playing on East Coast since 2019: 61-35-4 ATS
SEA: 16-8 ATS playing in EST since 2018
SEA: 28-14-2 ATS after a home loss last 20yrs
SEA: 12-1 SU on road
SEA: NFC 26-12 ATS vs. AFC this season
SEA: 15-23 ATS @ Hm
SEA: H/C Mike Macdonald 14-9 SU & 10-12-1 ATS – inc: 5-8 SU & 4-9 ATS at home
SEA: Darnold 3+pt Favs: 12-6 SU & 8-9-1 ATS
SEA: Sam Darnold 40-42 SU & 37-43-2 ATS (20-28 SU as a dog + 20-14 SU as fav) inc: 20-23 SU on Rd
SF: 7-1 SU & 6-2 ATS vs. Seattle
SF: On extended prep, Kyle Shanahan only 19-16 SU
SF: RFavs off a bye: 76-51-4 ATS since 2004
SF: Brock Purdy 19-17 ATS when favored by 4+pts
SF: Shanahan 9-15-1 ATS @ hm vs. NFC West
SF: 9-8 SU & 4-13 ATS home game run
SF: 9-3 SU & ATS last 12 NFL West road games
SF: 24-10-1 vs. Rams since 2008 inc: 10-3 last 5+yrs
TB: 20+pts at home in 20 straight games
TB: Baker Mayfield 18-2 SU as a 6+pt favorite
TENN: 0-10 ATS after a SU win
TENN: Coaches Fired System 10-13 SU & 11-12 ATS next game)
TENN: 3-18 ATS inc: 0-11 at home
TENN: 0-11 ATS home game run…longest streak since 1970
WASH: Under @ home: 25-19-1 since 2020
WASH: Jayden Daniels 14-10-1 ATS

DAL/WASH: SERIES: last 12 meetings: 10 decided by 10+pt

****
.
.
.
2024/25 NFL REGULAR SEASON BETTING STATS
FAVS: 199-86 SU & 149-126-2 ATS
Home Teams: 136-127 SU & 144-126-4 ATS (Not counting International games)
Road Favs: 61-47-2 ATS
6pt Favs: 71-29 SU & 48-52 ATS
10pt Favs: 17-2 SU & 10-9 ATS
B/B RG: 34-37 SU & 33-38 ATS
3 Gm RT: 1-2 SU & 2-1 ATS
OVERS: 150-125-1
COMBOS:
FAV/OVER: 76 …. FAV/UNDER: 63 FAV/PUSH: 1
DOG/OVER: 65 …. DOG/UNDER: 55 PUSH/UNDER: 1
$$$$$
2023/24 NFL SEASON REGULAR SEASON TRENDS
FAVS SU: 185-83 ATS: 136-118-7
6pts Favs: 55-21 SU & 39-37-1 ATS
10pt Favs: 21-4 SU & 14-11 ATS
B/B RG: 28-43 SU & 36-32-3 ATS (Non Bye teams/situations)
3 gm RT: 1-2 SU & 1-2 ATS
OVERS: 109-133

******
NFL 2022/23 REGULAR SEASON TRENDS
FAVS: 179-92-1 SU 124-144-4 ATS
6pts Favs: 71-18 SU 39-50 ATS
10pt Favs: 23-3 9-17 ATS
B/B RG: 28-43 SU 33-35-2 ATS
OVERS: 117-154-1
*************************
2023/24 FREE NFL: 24-26-1
2022/23 FREE NFL: 27-23-1
2021/22 FREE NFL: 35-24-3
2020/21 FREE NFL: 19-23-3
2019/20 FREE NFL: 25-26
2018/19 FREE NFL: 33-16-1
2017/18 FREE NFL: 29-18-5
2016/17 FREE NFL: 24-16-1
******
2021 NFL REGULAR SEASON TOTALS:
FAVS: 166-100-1 SU & 127-139-1 ATS (1 pick)
HM DOGS: 37-68 SU & 52-55 ATS
D/D Favs: 39-7 SU & 29-17-1 ATS
6pt Favs: 96-28-1 SU & 64-57-2 ATS
3pt Favs: 43-46 SU & 38-52 ATS
B/B Road Games: 34-35 SU & 36-33 ATS
3rd Straight RG: 3-1 SU & ATS
O/U: 126-139-2
Combo’s:
Favs/Over: 56 Dog/Over: 69
Favs/Under: 69 Dog/Under: 67
Favs/PUSH: 2 PUSH/UNDER: 1
******
SB PARLAY/REVERSE COMBOS
Favorite/Over: 15 times
Favorite/Under: 12 times
Underdog/Over: 10 times
Underdog/Under: 13 times
(4 games omitted: SB 1 didn’t have a total, three games pushed on either the game or total)
FAV/OVER has it only three times since 2000.
********************
BIG NFL FAVS DON’T LOSE
6+pt Favorites:
2018/19: 84-23 SU & 51-54-2 ATS
2017/18: 86-20 SU & 56-48-2 ATS
2016/17: 63-16-1 SU & 53-32-4 ATS
2015/16: 87-24-1 SU & 52-57-3 ATS
******
2020 NFL VEGAS SEASON AFTER WK #15
Home team: 109-94 SU & 84-113-6 ATS
Favs: 136-71-1 SU & 91-106-7 ATS
D/D favs: 29-6 SU & 14-20-1 ATS
6pts favs: 65-15 SU & 35-42-3 ATS
3pts favs: 37-30-1 SU & 32-32-4 ATS
B/B Road games: 23-21 SU & 25-18-1 ATS
3rd straight RG: 1-0 SU & ATS
HM DOGS: 23-48 SU & 29-39-4 ATS
Over/Unders: 99-107-1
Combos:
Favs/Over: 44 Favs/Under: 44
Favs/Push: 1 Dogs/Over: 51
Dogs/Under 59 Push/Under: 3
Push/Over: 4 Pk/OVER: 1
********************
2017/18 NFL VEGAS STATS REGULAR SEASON:
HOME TMS: 143-108 SU & 127-117-8 ATS (4 Lon/1 Mex)
FAVS: 181-74 SU & 134-102-9 ATS (1 game pick)
D/D FAVS: 27-4 SU & 16-17 ATS
6pt+ FAVS: 86-20 SU & 56-48-2 ATS
3pt/less FAVS: 70-39 SU & 50-42-6 ATS
2nd of B/B ROAD GMS: 33-38 SU & 34-34-3 ATS
HOME DOGS: 34-63 SU & 46-47-4 ATS
OVERS/UNDERS: 116-136-4
COMBINATIONS:
FAVS/OVERS: 53 FAVS/UNDERS: 78
DOGS/OVER: 54 DOGS/UNDER: 60
********************
NFL 2016/17 REGULAR SEASON:
HOME TMS: 151-100-1 SU & 119-122-11 ATS (4 gms N/A)
2nd of B/B ROAD GMS: 28-36-1 SU & 29-33-2 ATS
FAVS: 167-86-2 SU & 122-122-11 ATS (1gm Pick)
D/D FAVS: 11-0 SU & 7-4 ATS
6pt+ FAVS: 63-16-1 SU & 53-32-4 ATS
3pt/less FAVS: 59-38-2 SU & 52-43-4 ATS
HOME DOGS: 30-48 SU & 36-43-4 ATS
OVERS/UNDERS: 134-120-2
FAVS/OVERS: 65 FAVS/UNDERS: 62
DOGS/OVER: 62 DOGS/UNDER: 54
******
2015/16 REGULAR SEASON NFL
HOME TEAMS: 136-117 SU…117-130-6 ATS (3 gms London)
FAVORITES: 157-95 SU & 117-130-6 ATS (3 pickem)
10+PT FAVS: 15-5 SU & 9-11 ATS
3PT Favs or less: 46-47 SU & 38-49-6 ATS
HOME DOGS: 32-53 SU & 42-41-3 ATS
OVERS: 118
UNDERS: 131
PUSH: 4
******
2014/15 NFL REGULAR SEASON>
Home tms: 144-101-1 SU & 114-135-3 ATS (4 neutral)
Home dogs: 26-49 SU & 35-41-1 ATS
Favorites: 169-83-1 SU & 120-130-3 ATS (3 pickem games)
10pt Favs: 21-2 SU & 11-12 ATS
6pt+ Favs: 87-24-1 SU & 52-57-3 ATS
OVERS/UNDERS: 117-137-2
COMBOS
FAVS/OVERS: 54 FAVS/UNDERS: 64
DOGS/OVERS: 59 DOGS/UNDERS: 69
******
2013/14 REGULAR SEASON#’s
HOME TEAMS: 152-101-1 SU & 136-112-6 ATS
FAVORITES*: 179-75-1 SU & 132-115-8 ATS
10pts FAVS: 27-7 SU & 17-16-1 ATS
HOME DOGS: 32-61 SU & 44-47-2 ATS
OVERS/UNDERS: 134-118-4
GAMES DECIDED BY 7pts or less: 123 of 256
COMBOS
FAVS/OVER: 66 FAVS/UNDER: 64
UNDERDOGS/OVER: 61 UNDERDOGS/UNDER: 54
******
NFL 2012/13 regular season
Home Teams: 126-139-4 ATS
Home Dogs: 49-46-1 ATS
Home Favs: 77-88-1 ATS
********************
SUPER BOWL NOTES thru: 23/24
Team with most Total yards is 43-15
Team with most Rushing yards is 43-14 (1 game tied)
SU SB winner is 49-7-2 ATS
Score less than 20pts: 2-25 SU & 4-22-1 ATS
Score 27+pts 31-5 SU & 28-7-1 ATS
Only 16 of the 58 Super Bowls have been decided by 1 score.
***
SB tams that fail to score 21 pts in the SB are 2-22 SU & 4-19-1 ATS.
(Exception..Giants over the Patriots 17-14 in SBXLII & Pats in SB 53 13-3 over Rams)
Super Bowl teams scoring at least 27pts are 27-4 SU & 24-6-1 ATS.
(Exceptions Carolina (29) vs. Pats, SF (31) vs. Balt, Atl 28 vs. Pats, Pats vs. Eagles
********************
2018/19 NFL PLAYOFFS
PLAYING ONLY ONE: 4-1-1
$100 BEST BETS: 4-4-1
$50 OTHER PLAYS: 1-3
$25 IF YOU MUST: 3-1
OVER/UNDER PLAY OF THE DAY: 2-3
EVERY BET/EVERY PLAY: 9-6-1
$100 WIN REVERSE: 3-3 = +540
$100 PARLAYS: 3-3 = +392
$100 PROP PLAYS: 24-21-2 = +500
***************

Join Wetzel’s Newsletter!

Need an edge up? Join my newsletter to stay up-to-date with the latest contests, pools, free picks & more...

Listen to The Scott Wetzel Show

Start Listening to the Scott Wetzel show now!

Merchandise

Stock up on your favorite Opposite Picks Merch here!

Rants

Latest From Scott's Rants

Contact

Got a complaint for Wetzel? Need to rant? Unload here.