2025/26 NFL REGULAR SEASON BETTING STATS
THRU WEEK #7
Home Tms: 60-42-1 SU & 52-51 ATS (Not counting International games)
FAVS: 76-309-1 SU & 58-49 ATS
Road Favs: 26-12 SU & 21-17 ATS
6pt Favs: 23-4-1 SU & 14-14 ATS
10pt Favs: 7-0 SU & 4-3 ATS
B/B RG: 7-14-1 SU & 11-11 ATS
3 Gm RT: 1-1 SU & 1-1 ATS
OVERS: 50-43
COMBOS:
FAV/OVER: 20…. FAV/UNDER: 32
DOG/OVER: 26…. DOG/UNDER: 15
$$$
WEEK 7
Home Tms: 9-5 SU & 9-5 ATS
FAVS: 13-1 SU & 10-4 ATS
RFavs: 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS
6pt Favs: 4-0 SU & 2-2 ATS
10pt Favs: 1-0 SU & 1-0 ATS
B/B RG: 2-0 SU & 2-0 ATS
3 ST RG: 1-0 SU & 1-0 ATS
O/U: 9-6
COMBOS: Fav/Over: 6
Fav/Under: 5
Dog/Over: 4
Dog/Under: 0
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WEEK #8
NFC is 25-13 SU & 26-12 ATS vs. the AFC this season
(This week: Minn-L, Atlanta, Carolina, Chicago, San Fran, Dallas, Green Bay & Washington)
SUNDAY
1-6 MIAMI @ ATLANTA FALCONS
MIA: 12 turnovers lead NFL
MIA: Mike McDaniel 29-31 ATS
MIA: 10-17 ATS run
MIA: haven’t won a playoff game since 2000 – 3rd-longest in 4 major US sports.
MIA: haven’t won the AFC East in 16 seasons
MIA: 5-20 SU & 9-16 ATS vs..500/winning teams vs. 26-14 vs. losing teams
MIA: GM Chris Grier 9yrs + 0 months: longest tenured NFL GM w/out a playoff win in NFL history
MIA: When Tua faces an opposing offense averaging 21 PPG or less..19-4 SU last 23
MIA: Tua Tags 13-20-1 ATS RG + 24-12 ATS @ Hm
MIA: 3-22 SU as a road dog
MIA: Tua Tags 13-21 SU on road vs. 26-10 at home
MIA: Tua Tags 13-21 SU & 14-19-1 ATS on road inc: 2-15 SU & 5-11-1 ATS vs winning teams + 9-6 SU & 7-8 ATS vs. losing teams
ATL: 24-41-1 ATS vs. non-NFC South 2019
ATL: 55-81-1 ATS in regular season (worst-NFL)
ATL: UNDER 27-17
ATL: H/C Raheem Morris 14-25 ATS @ home inc: 8-12 ATS after a SU loss
$
0-7 NY JETS @ 3-4 CINCINNATI -5.5 44.5pts
CIN: 33-30-1 SU in non-divisional games (13-23 SU vs. AFC North)
CIN: H/C Zac Taylor 45-32-1 SU w/ Burrow BUT 9-26 SU w/ other QB
CIN: teams are 3-13 SU game after beating Pittsburgh, losing by 7.8 PPG last 2+ seasons
NYJ: 30-50-4 ATS on road since 2015
NYJ: Justin Fields 0-26 SU + 6-19-1 ATS when opponent scores 20+pts
NYJ: Justin Fields opponent scores 20 pts or less: 12-10 SU + 12-10 ATS
NYJ: Justin Fields 12-35 SU…20-29-1 ATS career
NYJ: 29-46-1 ATS
NYJ: 14 year playoff draught = tied with Buffalo Sabres (NHL) longest active playoff drought
NYJ: only winless team in NFL
NYJ: 0-4 SU or worse teams who play on the road: 57-35 ATS last 20 seasons
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2-5 CLEVELAND @ 5-2 NEW ENGLAND -7.5 40.5pts
CLE: H/C Kevin Stefanski 28-31-1 ATS vs. non-AFC North teams
CLE: 7-19 ATS last 26 games
CLE: 19-5 Team Total under
CLE: Kevin Stefanski Dog: 13-37 SU & 20-28-1 ATS
CLE: lost 12 straight road games inc: 0-9 ATS run
CLE: 17-7 OVER RG run
CLE: 16-24 ATS after a SU win under Kevin Stefanski
NE: Since Brady left 38-55 SU & 41-49-3 ATS since 2020
NE: 4-31 SU + 6-28-1 ATS when trailing by 7+pts (Mike Vrabel 3-17 SU & 5-14-1 ATS w/ Titans)
NE: 1-16 when allowing 4+ sacks
NE: 14-32 SU & 16-28-2 ATS run inc: 3-5 as a favorite
NE: teams on 4+ game SU/ATS win streak who didn’t make the playoffs the year before: 1-14-1 ATS since 2022. (Pats & Bears)
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2-5 NY GIANTS @ 5-2 PHILADELPHIA -6.5 43.5pts
NYG: Finished below .500 SU on the road in 13 straight seasons
NYG: 9-29 SU on the road = 3rd-worst win % in the NFL
NYG: UNDER 59-31-2 run—Best in NFL
NYG: Brian Daboll 21-38-1 SU
NYG: 3-16 SU & 6-13 ATS streak
NYG: 42-95 last 8+yrs = worst mark in NFL
NYG: last swept season series vs. Philly in 2007
PHI: 27-3 SU & 19-9-2 ATS when leading by 7+ as home fav.
PHI: Won 12 straight at home vs. NYG
PHI: Jalen Hurt 43-35-2 ATS career
PHI: Saquon Barkley rushed for less than 60 yards in 5 straight gms
PHI: 21-3 SU run
Series: 10-5 Under
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4-2 BUFFALO -7.5 @ 4-3 CAROLINA 47.5pts
CAR: starting Andy Dalton over injured Bryce Young
BUF: Josh Allen: 9-1 SU & 6-3-1 ATS next game after 2 game losing streak
BUF: Allen 36-6 SU as a fav of 7+ overall
BUF: Josh Allen 87 wins inc: 63 by 7+pts
BUF: NFL-best 17-8 Team total OVER
BUF: When teams score 21+pts vs Bills: Buffalo 5-26 ATS since 2022
BUF: as 4+pt favs 14-23-1 ATS
BUF: 20-7 w/ Joe Brady as O/C scoring 30+pts in 14 of 25 games
BUF: won turnover battle 25-2-1 tie (0-2-1 last 3)
CAR: Bryce Young 7-10 @ Hm vs. 1-15 on road
CAR: 9-2 OVER HG run
CAR: 1-65 in games when trailing by 9 pts or more
CAR: Bryce Young is 10-25 SU
CAR: Bryce Young 12-23 ATS 1st half (Worst in NFL)
CAR: 6-1 vs 4th qtr spread
CAR: Over .500 1st time since Oct. 2021
CAR: First 9 games of season: 40-11-2 ATS 7+ home dogs since 2020
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4-2 CHICAGO @ 1-5 BALTIMORE RAVENS -6.5 49.5pts
BAL: 74-32 including playoffs w/ Lamar Jackson (28ppg) vs. 4-12 w/out LJ (15ppg) since 2018
CHI: 1-20 road Sunday games
CHI: 6-22 last 28 road games inc: 2-0
CHI: Williams 2-9 1H ATS on the road
CHI: 3-28 when trailing entering the 4th qtr
CHI: 5-7 night games & 14-31 in day games since 2022
CHI: 6-0 OVER team total (only undefeated team in the NFL)
BALT: 19-6 Over inc: 5-1 TYr
BALT: 26-14 OVER Team total last 2 years (Best in NFL)
BALT: 4-12 SU & 9-7 ATS w/out Lamar Jackson starting
BALT: 24-7 SU & 21-10 ATS as a fav
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SAN FRANCISCO @ HOUSTON TEXANS -1.5
HOU: Led @ half 18 last 23 gms (3-3 TYr)
HOU: 6-0 ATS 4th Qtr
HOU: 16-9 Under run
HOU: CJ Stroud 9-12 ATS as a fav + 11-9 as Dog
HOU: 19-9 UNDER at home
SF: Kyle Shanahan 30-23 SU/ATS w/ backup QB
SF: Games Christian McCaffrey starts 49ers 31-11 SU & 21-20 ATS
SF: 4-20 ATS 2nd half (worst in NFL)
SF: 6-18 against the 3rd qtr ATS inc: 0-7 3Q ATS this season**
SF: Under Kyle Shanahan 49ers 0-45 when trailing by 8+pts in the 4th qtr.
SF: Kyle Shanahan 3-42 when trailing by 3+pts entering the 4th qtr.
SF: 13-42 SU & ATS when trailing at the half under Kyle Shanahan.
SF: Since 2020 13 losses when leading by 10+pts = most in NFL
SF: 9-19 ATS inc: 5-11
SF: 0 INT’s this season
SF: after a win since Christmas of 2023, 1-13 ATS
SF: vs. a defense allowing 17 PPG or less: 1-8 ATS
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5-2 TAMPA BAY -5.5 @ 1-6 NEW ORLEANS 48.5pts
TB: 25-18 SU & 26-17 ATS
TB: Todd Bowles 10-29 SU after scoring under 20 pts in a loss inc: 4-9 SU w/ TBay
TB: Baker Mayfield 26-18 ATS as a Buc inc: 10-9 as a Favs.
TB: 16-8 OVER
TB: Baker Mayfield 16-6 ATS on the road w/ TB (he’s 20-2 in 6pt teaser).
TB: Baker Mayfield 21-32-1 ATS as a fav
TB: Baker Mayfield Division games 5-12 ATS at home & 11-10 on the road
NO: 14-22 SU @ home last 3 seasons
NO: 26-39 ATS @ hm since 2018 (2nd-worst ATS mark @ hm ahead of Atlanta) (34-22-1 ATS away)
NO: 30-20 UNDER run
NO: Spencer Rattler 1-12 SU & 2-11 ATS
NO: 0-7 ATS 1st Qtr (outscored 68-16)
NO: 0-23 SU & 3-20 ATS entering the 4th qtr trailing since 2023
NO: as home underdog since 2020: 4-16 SU & 5-15 ATS (Worst in NFL)
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3-3-1 DALLAS @ 5-2 DENVER -2.5 48.5pts
DAL: 6-13 ATS after winning by 20+pts inc: 3-12 ATS last 15
DAL: Dak Prescott 24-31-1 SU…21-35 ATS vs. winning teams
DAL: Dak Prescott 39-47-2 ATS vs. everyone but NFC East (30-13 ATS vs. NFC East)
DAL: 13-17 ATS run
DAL: No turnovers in 4 straight games, 1st time in franchise history**
DEN: UNDER 51-36-1 at home inc: 20-17 last 4 years
DEN: 15-14 ATS home games
DEN: 15-10 ATS
DEN: Bo Nix started 11-3 ATS…4-7 ATS since
DEN: Bo Nix 12-1 SU as a favorite
DEN: Bo Nix started 4 games w/ over/under 45+pts = 0-4 SU/ATS
DEN: Bo Nix Nix 23-2 in 6pt teasers
DEN: 8 straight home wins…longest active streak in NFL
$
1-6 TENNESSEE @ 6-1 INDIANAPOLIS -14.5 45.5pts
IND: 5-0 SU & ATS vs. Titans
IND: Daniel Jones UNDER 26-12-1 @ home
IND: Daniel Jones 26-43 SU + 34-35 ATS vs NFL (Except gms vs. Washington)
IND: 20-10 ATS in September, October & November under h/c Shane Steichen
TENN: As a dog: 29-46 SU & 34-40-1 ATS
TENN: 7-26-1 ATS last 2+ seasons inc: 2-5 TYr
TENN: Cam Ward sacked NFL high 30x
TENN: 2-12 ATS vs. their own division. (Worst in NFL)
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SUNDAY NIGHT
4-1-1 GREEN BAY -3.5 @ 4-2 PITTSBURGH 43.5pts
SNF Unders 44-24 inc: 4-3 TYR
GB: H/C Matt LaFleur 62-48 ATS inc: 37-33 as a favorite
GB: Jordan Love 27-15 ATS 2nd half
GB: H/C Matt LaFleur 31-19 ATS vs. winning teams
PITT: 64-39-4 ATS Underdog under Tomlin
PITT: 40-17 SU & 38-19 ATS in one-score games since 2020…best in NFL
PITT: 34-24-1 ATS since Roethlisberger retired
PITT: 4-11 SU when averaging less than 5yds per rush…29-15 when they average at least 5 yards
PITT: 9-15 1st qtr spread
PITT: Aaron Rodgers can become the 5th QB to beat all 32 teams (Brett Favre, Peyton Manning, Tom Brady & Drew Brees)
Underdogs 13-10-1 SU & 16-8 ATS in night games
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MONDAY
3-4 WASHINGTON @ 4-3 KANSAS CITY
WASH: Marcus Mariota 12-20-2 ATS as favorite
WASH: Marcus Mariota 29-46-3 ATS 1st half
WASH: 16-11 OVER
KC: Mahomes 29-7 SU & 19-16-1 ATS vs. NFC
KC: 67-8 when leading after 1st qtr inc: 32-1
KC: 20-6 SU & 11-14-1 ATS
KC: 30-17 UNDER
KC: 2nd-half under 32-15 BUT 6-3 Over run
KC: 4th quarter Unders 32-14
KC: 21-14 SU when trailing at half since 2020. No team has a win % above 40%
KC: Mahomes 52-13 SU at home
KC: Pat Mahomes 34-36-1 ATS & 31-11-1 Under at home
KC: Mahomes 45-50-2 ATS as 3.5+pts favs.
KC: Mahomes 45-49-2 ATS as favs 3.5+Pts. (Other games 25-8-1 ATS)
KC: Favs 6+pts 9-0 SU & 2-6-1 ATS
KC: Mahomes 24-32-3 ATS as favs 7+pts
KC: Since 2020, Mahomes 37-2 SU & 14-24-1 ATS as a 7.5+ Fav
KC: Favorite 10+pts, Mahomes 10-15 ATS
KC: Since 2019, 38-5 SU when they commit under 5 penalties (0 TO’s or penalties vs. Detroit)
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OTHER TRENDS
Underdogs on Thursday 13-31 SU…BUT 3-1 last 4 weeks
Home favorites on a Thursday 100-82-3 ATS last 20 years.
International Games: Favs 39-14-1 SU & 34-20 ATS + 28-25 UNDER
UNDER is 24-12 total of 55+pts since 20189
Totals 37 or less = UNDER 33-17-1 since 2020
Teams after getting shutout: 32-15-3 ATS since 2015 (2-0 this year)
Teams after scoring 3ps or less: 87-62-5 ATS since 2014
Totals 37 or less = UNDER 33-15-1 since 2020
When both teams are off bye…fav 34-22 SU last 20yrs + 22-11 UNDER
When both teams are on 8+days rest, under 106-49-1 since 2018 inc: 0- TYr
PRIME TIME: Rookie QBs 25-58 SU road games in primetime since 1970
THANKSGIVING DAY TRENDS
FAVORITES: 51-9 SU & 40-20 ATS since 2004 inc: 9-1 ATS as 10+pt favs
7+pt favs: 30-5 SU & 25-10 ATS since 1990
Night game Favs: 14-4 ATS + 11-7 UNDER since they started the 3-games back in 2006
Coaches Fired System: Teams 18-24 SU & 23-19 ATS 1st game following firing since 2003 (0-1)
Underdogs in playoffs since 2017: 60-39 ATS
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ARI: Kyler Murray 32-20-2 ATS as dog inc: 15-6-2 as 4+pt dogs + 22-7-2 on road
ARI: Kyler Murray 5-35 SU down 10+pts since 2021
ARI: Kyler Murray 7-26 ATS 1st half
ARI: 4-16 w/out Kyler Murray inc: 2-15 since 2022
ARI: 3 or 4 Sacks
ARI: 1-14 SU when allowing 4+ sacks + 2-24 SU allowing 3+ sacks since 2022
ARI: Kyler Murray 28-20 OVER at home
ARI: Lost 5 straight 4pts or less
ARI: Kyler Murray Under 28-13-1 on road (2nd-best of 280 QBs since 2003)
ARI: Kyler Murray 1-5 SU/ATS off a bye week
ARI: 13-4 ATS playing on East coast w/ Kyler Murray as QB
ARI: 2-13 SU after last 15 wins*
ARI: 4-20 SU after facing 49ers
ARI: Kyler Murray 2-10 SU & 3-9 ATS vs Seattle
ARI: Kyler Murray 8-24 SU & 12-19-2 ATS against NFC West
ARI: Kyler Murray 6-26 ATS 1st half inc: 1-16 vs. NFC West teams**
ARI: Kyler 9-15 ATS as Home Favs
ARI: Kyler Murray 14-21 ATS as a favorite
ATL: 11-23-1 ATS after a win
ATL: teams that won as home Dogs on MNF: 26-44 SU & 30-40 ATS next game
ATL: Kirk Cousins 17-30 ATS indoors inc: 3-13 ATS last 5 years
ATL: Cousins in primetime: 19-24-1 SU & 17-27 ATS inc: 14-20 SU & 14-20 ATS @ night
ATL: Kirk Cousins 14-23 ATS at home since 2020
ATL: Cousins 1-7 after a SU underdog win
ATL: Cousins as a dog in PT: 6-16-1 SU & 9-14 ATS
ATL: Kirk Cousins off back to back SU/ATS wins 9-13-1 ATS inc: 3-11-1 ATS since 2017
ATL: H/C Raheem Morris 21-18-1 ATS on road
BALT: 20-9 ATS as an underdog
BALT: Lamar Jackson 37-14 SU & 23-28 ATS as home fav.
BALT: Lamar Jackson favored by 3+pts: 24-32 ATS
BALT: Lamar Jackson 7+pt fav: 33-7 SU
BALT: John Harbaugh/Ravens: 17-6 ATS on MNF
BALT: Lamar Jackson 24-3 SU & 14-13 ATS vs. NFC teams
BALT: Lamar Jackson 20-7 SU at night
BALT: Lamar Jackson as Playoff home Favs: 2-4 SU & ATS (5-1 UNDER)
BALT: UNDER 8-0-1 as home playoff favs since 1995
BALT: 2-7 ATS as non Division 7+pt HF’s
BALT: Lamar Jackson 3-4 SU & 2-5 ATS vs. Pitt
BALT: Lamar Jackson 8-10 ATS at home vs. AFC North teams
BALT: Lamar Jackson d/d fav: 16-1 SU & 11-6 ATS
BALT: Lamar one of 11 QB’s to win 2+ MVP’s…he’s the only one NOT to play in a Super Bowl
BALT: Lamar Jackson 20-7 ATS road games on turf
BALT: Lamar Jackson 3pts favs or less or dog 26-10 ATS reg. season vs. favored by 3+pts: 22-31 ATS**
BALT: LJ 21-6 SU after a loss
BUF: Josh Allen has never won b/b games as an underdog (0-16)
BUF: as double-digit favs: 1-11 ATS
BUF: As a home favorite of 7+p, Allen 27-3 SU
BUF: Josh Allen: 28-3 SU as 8.5+pt fav
BUF: 42-8 SU home games
CAR: 10-4 ATS vs. AFC West teams
CAR: 1-10 SU ATS as favorite
CAR: Bryce Young 2-15 SU & 6-11 ATS on road
CAR: 4-17 SU & 5-16 ATS on the road
CHI: 1-8 SU & 2-6-1 ATS after facing GBay
CHI: 7-25 SU vs. NFC North (only Jets w/ fewer wins vs. own division)
CHI: 4-18 SU vs. winning teams***
CHI: 10-3 as favs vs. NFC teams (6-33 SU as underdogs)
CIN: Joe Burrow 8-1 ATS vs. Mahomes, Josh Allen & Tom Brady
CIN: Joe Burrow 11-18-1 SU & 19-11 ATS as a dog inc: 14-7 ATS on road
CIN: Joe Burrow 3+pt Dog: 9-9-1 SU & 17-3 ATS**
CIN: 15-4 ATS vs. AFC West
CIN: Joe Burrow UNDER 34-32-1
CIN: Joe Burrow 27-10 SU & 28-8-1 ATS run vs. non-divisional teams
CIN: Joe Burrow 46-29-1 ATS inc: 42-23-1 SU + 43-22-1 ATS game 3 on
CIN: Joe Burrow 13-7-1 SU vs NFC inc: 11-2 SU last 13
CIN: Joe Burrow’s 19-9-1 ATS after a loss
CIN: Joe Burrow fav-6 or higher: 7-8 ATS
CIN: Joe Burrow in December or later games: 18-5 SU & 16-7 ATS
CIN: 7+ Home dogs: 18-2-2 ATS first 9 games of season since 2022 + 37-11-2 ATS since 2020
CIN: 21-12-2 ATS as dogs
CLE: 11-1 SU vs. AFC South
CLE: DeShaun Watson 10-10 SU as a Brown (28-25 as a Texan)
CLE: Deshaun Watson 35-38-2 ATS inc: 14-22-2 ATS as a favorite & 21-16 ATS as an underdog
CLE: Night home games under Kevin Stefanski: 6-2 SU & ATS
CLE: Browns traveled to MST or PST 5-23 SU inc: 0-9 SU since 2019…2-20 SU last 22
CLE: 7+pt HD first 9 games of season 38-10-2 ATS since 2020 + 19-1-2 ATS last 3 years**
CLE: 13-5 SU @ Hm vs. winning teams since 2020
CLE: Flacco SU/ATS w/ Cleveland…12-5 SU…11-4-2 ATS
CLE: Flacco last 15 starts = 9-6 OVER
CLE: Flacco as Dog of 4+pts 3-23 SU since 2014**
CLE: 11-22 ATS vs. AFC North w/ Kevin Stefanski inc: 8-8 at home (3-14 ATS on road)
CLE: 1-9 ATS last 10 AFC North road games
CLE: Lost 22 straight games in Pittsburgh. (Last win Oct/2003 w/ Tim Couch)**
DAL: Dak Prescott double-digit fav: 12-2 SU & 10-4 ATS.
DAL: 3-19 SU as a dog of 7+pts
DAL: Dak Prescott: 25-5 SU + 19-10-1 ATS as 6+pt HFav
DAL: Dak Prescott 37-9 SU & 31-14-1 ATS as 6+pt fav
DAL: 16-1 SU & 12-5 ATS vs. NYG inc: 9-0
DAL: Dak Prescott 40-13 SU, 33-18-2 ATS vs. losing teams
DAL: Dak Prescott 11-3 ATS vs. Washington inc: 7-0 SU & 6-1 ATS at home
DAL: 8-16 ATS run as dogs
DAL: Home Dogs 41-50-4 ATS
DEN: Sean Payton 58-40-2 ATS as an underdog
DEN: 9-0 SU & 8-1 ATS after facing KC in regular season
DEN: Sean Payton 7-11 ATS in the playoffs
DEN: Sean Payton dog of +7pts: 10-5 ATS
DEN: Sean Payton 85-64-3 ATS on road inc: 35-20-1 ATS run
DET: 20-4 ATS as an underdog of 4+ under Dam Campbell
DET: Jared Goff 8-0 ATS vs. Minnesota as a Lion
DET: 9-0 ATS after a loss since November, 2022
DET: Goff as double-digit fav: 11-2 SU & 8-5 ATS
DET: 10-1 SU as favs in PT…Games starting at 4pm or later: 15-2 SU under Dan Campbell
DET: 24-7 ATS after a 6+pt win
DET: Jared Goff 29-16 ATS RG since 2020
DET: Jared Goff: 18-35 SU & 31-23 ATS as a dog
DET: 21-6 ATS RG inc: 13-2 as Road Favs
DET: Jared Goff 30-19 ATS at home since 2020
DET: Jared Goff 20-9 ATS off a loss w/ the Lions
DET: Since 2018 w/ the Lions & Rams, Goff 27-13-1 ATS vs. division teams
DET: 11-0 SU & ATS after their last 11 loses
DET: Jared Goff 70-38-1 ATS
DET: 51-23-1 ATS run
DET: Jared Goff ATS Indoor: 44-18-1 ATS vs. Outdoors: 41-36-2 ATS
GB: 17-2 SU & 10-9 ATS facing a backup QB under Matt LaFleur
GB: LaFleur 19-4 SU, 13-10 ATS in December games.
GB: 11-1 SU & 10-2 ATS vs. Bears…16-2 SU vs. Chicago
GB: Favored to beat Chicago 29 of 33 games going 30-14-1 ATS last 45 meetings
GB: H/C Matt LaFleur 34-21 ATS at home
GB: 4-9 ATS after a loss w/ Jordan Love
IND: 11-1-1 ATS @ Houston
IND: 13-3 ATS as home dogs of 6+ last 30 years
IND: Anthony Richardson: 8-5 ATS
IND: Daniel Jones 1-16 SU & 6-11 ATS at night
JACK: 28-14-2 ATS vs. Colts inc: 17-2-1 since 2015
JACK: Trevor Lawrence 10-17 ATS vs. losing teams
JACK: 3-13 SU & 4-12 ATS playing on West coast
JACK: Trevor Lawrence: 12-12 SU as a favorite
JACK: Trevor Lawrence: 33-35 ATS inc: 7-3
JACK: Trevor Lawrence 39-29 UNDER
JACK: 14-9 ATS vs Winning teams
JACK: Trevor Lawrence 10-23 SU + 15-18 ATS on road (least profitable QB since ’21)
JACK: 7-7 SU & ATS in International Games
KC: 11-3 SU & 7-6-1 ATS vs. Playoff teams
KC: Mahomes after a SU loss: 21-5 SU, 13-12-1 ATS
KC: Mahomes 51-15 SU & 39-25-2 ATS RG (50-13 SU at home)
KC: Patrick Mahomes: 13-1 SU & 7-7 ATS vs. Broncos
KC: Chiefs won AFC West 9 straight seasons = longest active streak of 4 major sports
KC: Patrick Mahomes 12-5 SU & 13-3-1 ATS as a Dog
KC: Patrick Mahomes 1-2 SU NFL + 1-7 SU college as a home Dog.
KC: 20-6-1 ATS as an underdog
KC: H/C Andy Reid d/d underdog 6 times: 2-5 SU & 6-1 ATS since 2007
KC: Pat Mahomes 8-1 SU & ATS when a dog or favorite of less than 3pts in Post season
KC: Pat Mahomes 17-4 SU & 15-6 ATS in Playoffs
KC: Andy Reid 26-17 SU & 25-18 ATS in playoffs
KC: H/C Andy Reid 33-7 SU & 25-15 ATS with an extra week of prep**
KC: Mahomes 17-2 SU & 11-8 ATS AFC West road games
KC: Mahomes 18-1 vs. non winning NFC teams on road
KC: Mahomes 25-3 SU on the road as a 5+pt favorite
KC: UNDER 24-10 AFC games
LAC: Jim Harbaugh after a loss: 18-11 SU & 15-12-2 ATS
LAC: 36-53-3 ATS at home
LAC: Justin Herbert: 19-26-1 ATS in games 3pt or less spread
LAC: 26-16 UNDER
LAC: Jim Harbaugh: 62-33-1 SU & 55-38-3 ATS
LAC: Herbert 34-21 UNDER
LAC: 2-11 SU in games decided by 3pts or fewer
LAC: Justin Herbert: Underdog: 15-11-1 ATS Fav: 30-28-1 ATS
LAC: Justin Herbert 44-44 SU & 46-40-2 ATS (20-22 ATS @ Hm + 26-18 ATS Rd)
LAC: Justin Herbert: 24pts
When his defense allows 24 pts or LESS: 37-12 SU & 36-11-2 ATS
When his defense allows 24 pts or MORE: 8-31 SU & 10-29 ATS
LAC: Herbert 7+pt Fav: 8-1 SU & 7-2 ATS
LAC: Justin Herbert 20-9-1 ATS vs. AFC West
LAC: PST teams playing on East Coast since 2019: 59-36-4 ATS
LAC: Justin Herbert 13-7 ATS games played in EST
LAC: Justin Herbert 26-19 ATS on road inc: 14-12 as RF’s
LAR: 4-pt road favs: 17-0 SU & 10-7 ATS under Sean McVay**
LAR: Sean McVay 15-0 SU as 6+pt RF….19-0 SU 4+pt RFav
LAR: 26-19 UNDER at home game run
LAR: H/C Sean McVay 30-20-1 ATS vs. NFC West
LAR: 14-3 SU vs. Arizona
LAR: 7-2 last 9 vs. Seattle inc: 5-1 @ Seattle
LAR: Sean McVay 12-5 ATS vs. Seattle inc: 11-2 ATS since 2019
LAR: 19-9-2 SU & 20-10 ATS on East Coast
LAR: 11-4 SU & 12-3 ATS run
LAR: Sean McVay 25-5 SU as favorite vs AFC inc: 15-2 on road
LAR: 31-9 SU as favs vs 9-19 SU as Dogs
LAR: Matt Stafford 38-72 SU & 45-63-2 ATS vs. winning teams inc: 15-14 SU & 15-14 ATS w/LA
LV: Geno Smith 13-19-4 ATS after a win
LV: Since moving to Vegas: Road: 18-29 SU + 19-27 ATS + Home 20-24 SU & 24-19-1 ATS
LV: trailed by d/d in 18 of 23 games (4-3 TYr)
LV: 10-3 SU vs. Denver + 12-3 ATS last 15 vs Denver
LV: 3-11 SU & 3-9-2 ATS after facing KC since 2017**
LV: Geno Smith 3-12 SU as an underdog in primetime
LV: Geno Smith 13-18-4 ATS as Fav vs. 25-25-3 ATS as Dog
LV: 7-18 ATS last 21 years as 4+pt Fav
LV: Geno Smith -5 or higher 6 times = 7-1 SU
LV: Geno Smith as a favorite of 3+pts: 18-6 SU
LV: Geno Smith 5-13-1 ATS at home run
MIA: 11-17 4Qtr ATS at home inc: 1-2 Tyr
MIA: 45-28-3 ATS since 2016 at home
MIA: Tua Tags d/d favorite 6-1 SU & 4-3 ATS
MIA: Tua Tags 13-4 SU vs SB winning head coaches
MIA: Mike McDaniel playing on West Coast after week 1 = 2-4 SU & 1-5 ATS failing to cover the spread by 10+ppg
MIA: Tua 0-5 SU & 1-4 ATS w/ Temps as 40 or below
MIA: Tua Tags 16-1 SU & 13-4 ATS as a 4+pt favorite
MIA: 2-14 RG w/ a back up QB
MIA: Mike McDaniel 3-8 SU & 4-7 ATS w/out Tua Tags @ QB
MIA: 11-30 SU as a franchise in 32° temperatures or colder inc: 0-11 run
MIA: 8-2 SU & 9-1 ATS vs. Pats streak** inc: 7-1 SU & ATS by Tua Tags
MIA: Tua Tags 2-15 SU & 5-11-1 ATS on road vs. winning teams
MIA: 2-16 vs. Bills…(1-7 under Mike McDaniel)
MIA: 2-14 SU vs. Josh Allen/Bill
MIA: 15-4 SU & 12-6-1 ATS since 2016 vs. NYJ
MIA: Tua Tags 24-11 SU & 21-14 ATS vs. losing teams inc: 5-6 ATS on road
MINN: 28-11 SU one-score games under Kevin O’Connell inc: 11-3
NE: 24-4 SU vs. NY Jets
NE: 19-29 SU & 19-27-3 ATS vs. winning teams
NE: 12-36 SU as an underdog since 2021
NYG: 3-23 SU non Sunday games since 2017
NYG: Giants & Jets combined 5-33 SU @ night since 2019 (NYG 3-19 inc: 1-11 at home)
NYG: 30-11-1 UNDER at home
NYJ: 1-21 SU & 3-19 ATS in game after facing Bills
NYJ: 6-19 SU & 9-16 ATS vs. AFC East
NYJ: 1-13 SU on the road vs. AFC East
NYJ: 2-15 SU @ night since 2019
NYJ: Home dog: 8-19 SU…11-16 ATS
NYJ: International game with no rest: 15-11 SU & 13-13 ATS next game
NO: Saints 9-19-2 ATS off a win
NO: 10-17-2 ATS vs. NFC South
NO: 14-4-1 ATS as road dogs of 4+pts
PHI: 0-6 ATS as d/d favs
PHI: 12-0 SU & 11-1 ATS vs. Pitt at home**
PHI: 12-3 SU & ATS vs. playoff teams run
PHI: Jalen Hurts Road: 26-14 SU & 18-20-1 ATS
PHI: Jalen Hurts 14-17-1 ATS as Road Fav
PHI: Jalen Hurts 26-14 SU + 24-16 UNDER on road
PHI: Jalen Hurts 28-4 SU @ Hm as favorite vs. winning teams inc: 18-1
PITT: 22-1 SU @ home MNF since 1992
PITT: 3-15 SU & 7-10-1 ATS as an underdog of 7+pts inc: 1-9 SU as 8+pt dogs**
PITT: Tomlin 44-32-1 ATS as a road dogs & (35-43-2 ATS as RFavs)
PITT: Tomlin: 18 consecutive non-losing seasons.
PITT: Mike Tomlin vs rookie QB’s: 28-6 SU**
PITT: Lost SU & ATS last 6 playoff games
PITT/BALT: Series: 45pts+ total UNDER is 8-3.
PITT/BALT: Mike Tomlin 21-17 SU & 19-16-3 ATS vs. John Harbaugh inc: 13-4-2 ATS as dogs
PITT: Dog of 4+pts vs. Ravens 8-2 ATS
PITT/BALT: 16 of last 20 meetings decided by 7pts or less
PITT/BALT: Dog 29-12-3 ATS inc: 16-4-1 since 2015
PITT/BALT: when line 3+ the underdog 23-6-3 ATS
PITT: Tomlin as a Division dog: 22-18 SU, 27-11-2 ATS
PITT: 5-19 SU & 9-15 ATS on Thursdays inc: 3-16 SU and 5-14 ATS since 1980
PITT: road, divisional TNF game: 0-9 SU & 1-8 ATS
PITT: 2-9 SU & 3-8 ATS on Thursday night road games
PITT: Mike Tomlin Road Unders 89-70-1
PITT: Tomlin 25-12-1 ATS vs. Bengals (most profitable opponent ATS)
PITT: Rodgers 57-37 ATS in Division games
PITT: Mike Tomlin favorite of 4+pts: 13-27-1 ATS since 2017 = least profitable coach in the NFL**
SEA: Sam Darnold 11-7 as a home dog
SEA: 9-0 SU and 8-1 ATS vs. Arizona
SEA: PST teams playing on East Coast since 2019: 61-35-4 ATS
SEA: 16-8 ATS playing in EST since 2018
SEA: 28-14-2 ATS after a home loss last 20yrs
SEA: 12-1 SU on road
SEA: NFC 26-12 ATS vs. AFC this season
SEA: 15-23 ATS @ Hm
SEA: H/C Mike Macdonald 14-9 SU & 10-12-1 ATS – inc: 5-8 SU & 4-9 ATS at home
SEA: Darnold 3+pt Favs: 12-6 SU & 8-9-1 ATS
SEA: Sam Darnold 40-42 SU & 37-43-2 ATS (20-28 SU as a dog + 20-14 SU as fav) inc: 20-23 SU on Rd
SF: 7-1 SU & 6-2 ATS vs. Seattle
SF: On extended prep, Kyle Shanahan only 19-16 SU
SF: RFavs off a bye: 76-51-4 ATS since 2004
SF: Brock Purdy 19-17 ATS when favored by 4+pts
SF: Shanahan 9-15-1 ATS @ hm vs. NFC West
SF: 9-8 SU & 4-13 ATS home game run
SF: 9-3 SU & ATS last 12 NFL West road games
SF: 24-10-1 vs. Rams since 2008 inc: 10-3 last 5+yrs
TB: 20+pts at home in 20 straight games
TB: Baker Mayfield 18-2 SU as a 6+pt favorite
TENN: 0-10 ATS after a SU win
TENN: Coaches Fired System 10-13 SU & 11-12 ATS next game)
TENN: 3-18 ATS inc: 0-11 at home
TENN: 0-11 ATS home game run…longest streak since 1970
WASH: Under @ home: 25-19-1 since 2020
WASH: Jayden Daniels 14-10-1 ATS
DAL/WASH: SERIES: last 12 meetings: 10 decided by 10+pt
****
.
.
.
2024/25 NFL REGULAR SEASON BETTING STATS
FAVS: 199-86 SU & 149-126-2 ATS
Home Teams: 136-127 SU & 144-126-4 ATS (Not counting International games)
Road Favs: 61-47-2 ATS
6pt Favs: 71-29 SU & 48-52 ATS
10pt Favs: 17-2 SU & 10-9 ATS
B/B RG: 34-37 SU & 33-38 ATS
3 Gm RT: 1-2 SU & 2-1 ATS
OVERS: 150-125-1
COMBOS:
FAV/OVER: 76 …. FAV/UNDER: 63 FAV/PUSH: 1
DOG/OVER: 65 …. DOG/UNDER: 55 PUSH/UNDER: 1
$$$$$
2023/24 NFL SEASON REGULAR SEASON TRENDS
FAVS SU: 185-83 ATS: 136-118-7
6pts Favs: 55-21 SU & 39-37-1 ATS
10pt Favs: 21-4 SU & 14-11 ATS
B/B RG: 28-43 SU & 36-32-3 ATS (Non Bye teams/situations)
3 gm RT: 1-2 SU & 1-2 ATS
OVERS: 109-133
******
NFL 2022/23 REGULAR SEASON TRENDS
FAVS: 179-92-1 SU 124-144-4 ATS
6pts Favs: 71-18 SU 39-50 ATS
10pt Favs: 23-3 9-17 ATS
B/B RG: 28-43 SU 33-35-2 ATS
OVERS: 117-154-1
*************************
2023/24 FREE NFL: 24-26-1
2022/23 FREE NFL: 27-23-1
2021/22 FREE NFL: 35-24-3
2020/21 FREE NFL: 19-23-3
2019/20 FREE NFL: 25-26
2018/19 FREE NFL: 33-16-1
2017/18 FREE NFL: 29-18-5
2016/17 FREE NFL: 24-16-1
******
2021 NFL REGULAR SEASON TOTALS:
FAVS: 166-100-1 SU & 127-139-1 ATS (1 pick)
HM DOGS: 37-68 SU & 52-55 ATS
D/D Favs: 39-7 SU & 29-17-1 ATS
6pt Favs: 96-28-1 SU & 64-57-2 ATS
3pt Favs: 43-46 SU & 38-52 ATS
B/B Road Games: 34-35 SU & 36-33 ATS
3rd Straight RG: 3-1 SU & ATS
O/U: 126-139-2
Combo’s:
Favs/Over: 56 Dog/Over: 69
Favs/Under: 69 Dog/Under: 67
Favs/PUSH: 2 PUSH/UNDER: 1
******
SB PARLAY/REVERSE COMBOS
Favorite/Over: 15 times
Favorite/Under: 12 times
Underdog/Over: 10 times
Underdog/Under: 13 times
(4 games omitted: SB 1 didn’t have a total, three games pushed on either the game or total)
FAV/OVER has it only three times since 2000.
********************
BIG NFL FAVS DON’T LOSE
6+pt Favorites:
2018/19: 84-23 SU & 51-54-2 ATS
2017/18: 86-20 SU & 56-48-2 ATS
2016/17: 63-16-1 SU & 53-32-4 ATS
2015/16: 87-24-1 SU & 52-57-3 ATS
******
2020 NFL VEGAS SEASON AFTER WK #15
Home team: 109-94 SU & 84-113-6 ATS
Favs: 136-71-1 SU & 91-106-7 ATS
D/D favs: 29-6 SU & 14-20-1 ATS
6pts favs: 65-15 SU & 35-42-3 ATS
3pts favs: 37-30-1 SU & 32-32-4 ATS
B/B Road games: 23-21 SU & 25-18-1 ATS
3rd straight RG: 1-0 SU & ATS
HM DOGS: 23-48 SU & 29-39-4 ATS
Over/Unders: 99-107-1
Combos:
Favs/Over: 44 Favs/Under: 44
Favs/Push: 1 Dogs/Over: 51
Dogs/Under 59 Push/Under: 3
Push/Over: 4 Pk/OVER: 1
********************
2017/18 NFL VEGAS STATS REGULAR SEASON:
HOME TMS: 143-108 SU & 127-117-8 ATS (4 Lon/1 Mex)
FAVS: 181-74 SU & 134-102-9 ATS (1 game pick)
D/D FAVS: 27-4 SU & 16-17 ATS
6pt+ FAVS: 86-20 SU & 56-48-2 ATS
3pt/less FAVS: 70-39 SU & 50-42-6 ATS
2nd of B/B ROAD GMS: 33-38 SU & 34-34-3 ATS
HOME DOGS: 34-63 SU & 46-47-4 ATS
OVERS/UNDERS: 116-136-4
COMBINATIONS:
FAVS/OVERS: 53 FAVS/UNDERS: 78
DOGS/OVER: 54 DOGS/UNDER: 60
********************
NFL 2016/17 REGULAR SEASON:
HOME TMS: 151-100-1 SU & 119-122-11 ATS (4 gms N/A)
2nd of B/B ROAD GMS: 28-36-1 SU & 29-33-2 ATS
FAVS: 167-86-2 SU & 122-122-11 ATS (1gm Pick)
D/D FAVS: 11-0 SU & 7-4 ATS
6pt+ FAVS: 63-16-1 SU & 53-32-4 ATS
3pt/less FAVS: 59-38-2 SU & 52-43-4 ATS
HOME DOGS: 30-48 SU & 36-43-4 ATS
OVERS/UNDERS: 134-120-2
FAVS/OVERS: 65 FAVS/UNDERS: 62
DOGS/OVER: 62 DOGS/UNDER: 54
******
2015/16 REGULAR SEASON NFL
HOME TEAMS: 136-117 SU…117-130-6 ATS (3 gms London)
FAVORITES: 157-95 SU & 117-130-6 ATS (3 pickem)
10+PT FAVS: 15-5 SU & 9-11 ATS
3PT Favs or less: 46-47 SU & 38-49-6 ATS
HOME DOGS: 32-53 SU & 42-41-3 ATS
OVERS: 118
UNDERS: 131
PUSH: 4
******
2014/15 NFL REGULAR SEASON>
Home tms: 144-101-1 SU & 114-135-3 ATS (4 neutral)
Home dogs: 26-49 SU & 35-41-1 ATS
Favorites: 169-83-1 SU & 120-130-3 ATS (3 pickem games)
10pt Favs: 21-2 SU & 11-12 ATS
6pt+ Favs: 87-24-1 SU & 52-57-3 ATS
OVERS/UNDERS: 117-137-2
COMBOS
FAVS/OVERS: 54 FAVS/UNDERS: 64
DOGS/OVERS: 59 DOGS/UNDERS: 69
******
2013/14 REGULAR SEASON#’s
HOME TEAMS: 152-101-1 SU & 136-112-6 ATS
FAVORITES*: 179-75-1 SU & 132-115-8 ATS
10pts FAVS: 27-7 SU & 17-16-1 ATS
HOME DOGS: 32-61 SU & 44-47-2 ATS
OVERS/UNDERS: 134-118-4
GAMES DECIDED BY 7pts or less: 123 of 256
COMBOS
FAVS/OVER: 66 FAVS/UNDER: 64
UNDERDOGS/OVER: 61 UNDERDOGS/UNDER: 54
******
NFL 2012/13 regular season
Home Teams: 126-139-4 ATS
Home Dogs: 49-46-1 ATS
Home Favs: 77-88-1 ATS
********************
SUPER BOWL NOTES thru: 23/24
Team with most Total yards is 43-15
Team with most Rushing yards is 43-14 (1 game tied)
SU SB winner is 49-7-2 ATS
Score less than 20pts: 2-25 SU & 4-22-1 ATS
Score 27+pts 31-5 SU & 28-7-1 ATS
Only 16 of the 58 Super Bowls have been decided by 1 score.
***
SB tams that fail to score 21 pts in the SB are 2-22 SU & 4-19-1 ATS.
(Exception..Giants over the Patriots 17-14 in SBXLII & Pats in SB 53 13-3 over Rams)
Super Bowl teams scoring at least 27pts are 27-4 SU & 24-6-1 ATS.
(Exceptions Carolina (29) vs. Pats, SF (31) vs. Balt, Atl 28 vs. Pats, Pats vs. Eagles
********************
2018/19 NFL PLAYOFFS
PLAYING ONLY ONE: 4-1-1
$100 BEST BETS: 4-4-1
$50 OTHER PLAYS: 1-3
$25 IF YOU MUST: 3-1
OVER/UNDER PLAY OF THE DAY: 2-3
EVERY BET/EVERY PLAY: 9-6-1
$100 WIN REVERSE: 3-3 = +540
$100 PARLAYS: 3-3 = +392
$100 PROP PLAYS: 24-21-2 = +500
***************