2025/26 NFL REGULAR SEASON BETTING STATS
THRU WEEK #11 (Except SNF & MNF)
Home Tms: 85-69-1 SU & 77-78 ATS (Not counting International games)
FAVS: 112-48-1 SU & 85-76 ATS
Road Favs: 42-19 SU & 33-28 ATS
6pt Favs: 38-8-1 SU & 24-23 ATS
10pt Favs: 11-1 SU & 8-4 ATS
B/B RG: 16-19-1 SU & 19-17 ATS
3 Gm RT: 2-1 SU & 2-1 ATS
OVERS: 78-68
COMBOS:
FAV/OVER: 37…. FAV/UNDER: 43
DOG/OVER: 38…. DOG/UNDER: 29
$$$
WEEK 11
Home Tms: 6-6 SU & 7-5 ATS
FAVS: 9-4 SU & 6-7 ATS
RFavs: 4-2 SU & 2-4 ATS
6pt Favs: 3-0 SU & 1-2 ATS
10pt Favs: 1-0 SU & 1-0 ATS
B/B RG: 1-0 SU & 0-1 ATS
3 ST RG: 1-0 SU & 0-1 ATS
O/U: 5-8
COMBOS:
Fav/Over: 3 Fav/Under: 3
Dog/Over: 2 Dog/Under: 5
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WEEK #11
NFC: 28-26 SU & 30-21 ATS vs. AFC
$$$$$$$$
WEEK #11
SUNDAY
3-7 WASHINGTON vs. 3-7 MIAMI -2.5 47.5pts (Spain)
Backup QB Over 26-9 this season
WASH: Marcus Mariota 12-21-2 ATS as favorite
WASH: Marcus Mariota 31-47-3 ATS 1st half
WASH: 18-13 OVER
MIA: Mike McDaniel 32-32 ATS
MIA: 13-18 ATS run
MIA: haven’t won a playoff game since 2000 – 3rd-longest in 4 major US sports.
MIA: haven’t won the AFC East in 16 seasons
MIA: 7-20 SU & 11-16 ATS vs..500/winning teams vs. 27-15 vs. losing teams
MIA: 2-14 RG w/ a back up QB
MIA: Mike McDaniel 3-8 SU & 4-7 ATS w/out Tua Tags @ QB
MIA: When Tua faces an opposing offense averaging 21 PPG or less..20-4 SU last 24
MIA: Tua Tags 15-20-1 ATS RG
MIA: Tua Tags 25-12 SU & 22-15 ATS vs. losing teams
$
5-5 CAROLINA @ 3-6 ATLANTA -3.5 42.5pts
ATL: off an International Series game with no rest next week: 19-12 SU & 16-15 ATS next game
ATL: 57-83-1 ATS in regular season (worst-NFL)
ATL: UNDER 28-20
ATL: H/C Raheem Morris 14-27 ATS @ Hm inc: 8-14 ATS after a loss
CAR: 2-67 in games when trailing by 9 pts or more (Won 2x this season)
CAR: Bryce Young is 12-26 SU
CAR: Bryce Young 4-15 SU & 8-11 ATS on road (3-0 run)
CAR: 6-17 SU & 7-16 ATS on the road
CAR: Bryce Young 13-25 ATS 1st half (Worst in NFL)
$
6-3 TAMPA BAY @ 6-3 BUFFALO -5.5 49.5pts
BUF: Josh Allen off d/d loss: 7-3 SU/ATS next game**
BUF: 21-2 last 22 when leading entering 4th Qtr.
BUF: Josh Allen 90 wins inc: 66 by 7+pts
BUF: 20-9 Team total OVER
BUF: When teams score 21+pts vs Bills: Buffalo 7-27 ATS since 2022
BUF: 23-8 w/ Joe Brady as O/C scoring 30+pts in 16 of 31 games
BUF: as 4+pt favs 16-24-1 ATS
BUF: Josh Allen 25-5 SU, 24-5-1 ATS vs. defenses allowing 20pts or less
BUF: 44-8 SU home games
BUF: After losing as 7+pts favs 82-57-3 ATS since 2015 inc: 23-14 ATS last 3 seasons
TB: 25-21 SU & 27-19 ATS
TB: Baker Mayfield 27-20 ATS as a Buc
TB: 18-9 OVER
TB: Baker Mayfield 17-7 ATS on road w/ TB (he’s 21-3 in 6pt teaser).
TB: Baker Mayfield off a loss: 15-5 ATS
$
4-5 HOUSTON -7.5 @ 1-8 TENNESSEE 39.5pts
HOU: 8-2 ATS 4th Qtr
HOU: 19-10 Under run
HOU: CJ Stroud 10-13 ATS as a fav + 11-9 as Dog
TENN: 3-13 ATS vs. AFC South
TENN: 15-35-2 ATS inc: 5-18
TENN: 2-11 ATS at home
TENN: 1-9 ATS after an ATS win
TENN: As a dog: 29-49 SU & 36-41-1 ATS
TENN: 9-27-1 ATS last 2+ seasons inc: 4-6 TYr
$
6-3 CHICAGO @ 4-5 MINNESOTA -3.5 48.5pts
CHI: Best TO differential at +15 (NFL best 15 INT’s)
CHI: 2-27 when trailing by 10+pts*
CHI: 4-29 when trailing entering the 4th qtr
CHI: 7-3 OVER team total
CHI: 11-3 as favs vs. NFC teams vs 7-33 SU as Dogs
CHI: 8-25 SU vs. NFC North inc: 2-7 w/ Caleb Williams
MINN: 29-13 SU one-score games under Kevin O’Connell inc: 12-5
$
5-2 GREEN BAY -7.5 @ 2-8 NY GIANTS 44.5pts
NYG: Coaches Fired System: 10-14 SU & 11-12-1 ATS next game
NYG: 30-13-1 UNDER at home
NYG: UNDER 60-34-2 run—Best in NFL
NYG: 3-20 SU & 7-15-1 ATS streak
NYG: 42-99 last 8+yrs = worst mark in NFL
NYG: 2-4 SU this season when leading by 10+ pts
GB: H/C Matt LaFleur 63-50-1 ATS inc: 38-35-1 as a favorite
GB: 0-5-1 ATS this season when favored by 4 pts
GB: Jordan Love 28-17 ATS 2nd half
GB: 4-10-1 ATS after a loss w/ Jordan Love
GB: 8-14-1 ATS as 7+pt favs inc: 1-4-1 ATS w/ Jordan Love
GB: H/C Matt LaFleur 18-2 SU & 10-9-1 ATS vs a backup QB
$
3-6 CINCINNATI @ 5-4 PITTSBURGH -5.5 50.5pts
CIN: 5-6 when scoring 30+pts. Rest of NFL 149-17**
CIN: 2-4 when scoring 35+pts. Rest of NFL 84-6**
CIN: 21-14-2 ATS as dogs
CIN: H/C Zac Taylor 45-32-1 SU w/ Burrow BUT 9-29 SU w/ other QB
PITT: 41-17 SU & 39-19 ATS in one-score games since 2020…best in NFL
PITT: 36-26-1 ATS since Roethlisberger retired
PITT: 10-18 1st qtr spread
PITT: Tomlin: 18 consecutive non-losing seasons.
PITT: Tomlin 26-12-1 ATS vs. Bengals (most profitable opponent ATS)
PITT: Rodgers 58-37 ATS in Division games
PITT: Mike Tomlin favorite of 4+pts: 14-27-1 ATS since 2017
$
7-2 LA CHARGERS -2.5 @ 5-4 JACKSONVILLE 43.5pts
LAC: Teams 3-16 SU game after beating Pittsburgh
LAC: 27-18 UNDER
LAC: Jim Harbaugh: 64-34-1 SU & 56-40-3 ATS
LAC: Herbert 35-23 UNDER
LAC: 2-11 SU in games decided by 3pts or fewer
LAC: Justin Herbert: Underdog: 15-11-1 ATS & Fav: 31-30-1 ATS
LAC: Justin Herbert 46-45 SU & 47-42-2 ATS (21-22 ATS @ Hm + 26-20 ATS Rd)
LAC: Justin Herbert: 24pts
When his defense allows 24 pts or LESS: 39-12 SU & 37-12-2 ATS
When his defense allows 24 pts or MORE: 8-32 SU & 10-30 ATS
LAC: Justin Herbert: 20-27-1 ATS in games 3pt or less spread
LAC: Justin Herbert 13-9 ATS games played in EST
LAC: Justin Herbert 26-21 ATS on road inc: 14-14 as RF’s
JACK: 2-7 ATS 4th Qtr
JACK: Trevor Lawrence: 34-37 ATS inc: 8-5
JACK: Trevor Lawrence 39-32 UNDER
JACK: 15-9 ATS vs Winning teams
$
7-2 SEATTLE @ 7-2 LA RAMS -2.5 48.5pts
SEA: 7-3 SU & 8-2 ATS
SEA: 13-2 SU on road
SEA: Sam Darnold 42-43 SU & 40-43-2 ATS (20-29 SU as a dog + 22-14 SU as fav)
SEA: H/C Mike Macdonald 15-10 SU & 12-12-1 ATS
LAR: 8-2 vs. Seattle
LAR: Sean McVay 12-6 ATS vs. Seattle inc: 11-3 ATS since 2019
LAR: 14-4 SU & 14-4 ATS run
LAR: 34-9 SU as favs vs 9-19 SU as Dogs
LAR: H/C Sean McVay 31-21-1 ATS vs. NFC West
LAR: Matt Stafford 40-72 SU & 46-64-2 ATS vs. winning teams inc: 17-14 SU & 16-15 ATS w/LA
$
6-4 SAN FRANCISCO -2.5 @ 3-6 ARIZONA 49.5pts
ARI: 5-18 w/out Kyler Murray inc: 2-17 since 2022
ARI: 2-25 SU allowing 3+ sacks since 2022
ARI: 3-7 ATS 4th Qtr
SF: Christian McCaffrey 8-2 OVER receiving yards over
SF: Games Christian McCaffrey starts 49ers 33-13 SU & 23-22 ATS
SF: 6-22 ATS 2nd half (worst in NFL)
SF: 8-20 3rd qtr ATS inc: 2-9 this season**
SF: Under Kyle Shanahan 49ers 0-47 when trailing by 8+pts in the 4th qtr.
SF: Kyle Shanahan 3-44 when trailing by 3+pts entering the 4th qtr.
SF: 13-44 SU & ATS when trailing at the half under Kyle Shanahan.
SF: Since 2020 13 losses when leading by 10+pts = most in NFL
SF: 11-21 ATS inc: 7-13
SF: 10-3 SU & ATS NFL West road games
SF: Brock Purdy 20-17 ATS when favored by 4+pts
$
4-5 BALTIMORE -8.5 @ 2-7 CLEVELAND 42.5pts
BALT: Lamar Jackson favored by 3+pts: 27-32 ATS
BALT: 19-10 Over inc: 6-4 TYr
BALT: 28-16 OVER Team total last 2 years
BALT: 28-7 SU & 24-11 ATS as a fav
BALT: Lamar Jackson 7+pt fav: 35-7 SU
CLE: 12-22 ATS vs. AFC North w/ Kevin Stefanski inc: 9-8 @ Hm (3-14 ATS on road)
CLE: Kevin Stefanski Dog: 13-39 SU & 21-29-1 ATS
CLE: H/C Kevin Stefanski 28-33-1 ATS vs. non-AFC North teams
CLE: H/C Kevin Stefanski off extended rest: 6-12 ATS = worst in NFL
CLE: 8-21 ATS last 29 games
CLE: 21-6 Team Total under
CLE: After playing Jets 1-8 ATS inc: 19-38 ATS last 4 seasons (worst in the NFL)
$
5-4 KANSAS CITY -3.5 @ 8-2 DENVER 44.5pts
DEN: Sean Payton 60-40-2 ATS as an underdog
DEN: Bo Nix 10-5 ATS as fav & 7-7 ATS as Dog
DEN: 46 sacks
DEN: 18-10 ATS
DEN: Bo Nix Nix 27-2 in 6pt teasers
DEN: UNDER 53-37-1 @ Hm inc: 22-18 last 4 years
DEN: 18-14 ATS home games
DEN: 11 straight home wins…longest active streak in NFL
DEN: Won 8 straight
DEN: trailed in all 11 games this year***
DEN: Punted the most this season of any team
KC: 0-5 SU in one score games this season
KC: Mahomes after a loss: 21-6 SU, 13-13-1 ATS
KC: fumbled 9 times…yet to lose any of them. (No fumbles lost)
KC: last year lost 3 of 10 fumbles…so lost 3 of 19 fumbles last 2 seasons**
KC: 20-10 4th Qtr ATS inc: 8-2 TYr
KC: 11-5 SU & 7-8-1 ATS vs. Playoff teams
KC: 67-8 when leading after 1st qtr inc: 32-1
KC: 21-8 SU & 12-16-1 ATS
KC: 33-17 UNDER
KC: 4th quarter Unders 34-15
KC: 21-15 SU when trailing at half since 2020. No team has a win % above 40%
KC: Mahomes 51-17 SU & 39-27-2 ATS RG (50-13 SU at home)
KC: UNDER 26-10 AFC games
KC: Patrick Mahomes: 13-2 SU & 7-8 ATS vs. Broncos
KC: Chiefs won AFC West 9 straight seasons = longest active streak of 4 major sports
KC: H/C Andy Reid 33-8 SU & 25-16 ATS with an extra week of prep**
KC: Mahomes 17-3 SU & 11-9 ATS AFC West road games
$
SUNDAY NIGHT
6-3 DETROIT @ 6-2 PHILADELPHIA -1.5 48.5pts
DET: Jared Goff: 18-35 SU & 31-23 ATS as a dog
DET: 24-8 ATS after a 6+pt win
DET: Jared Goff 71-39-1 ATS
DET: 52-24-1 ATS run
DET: Jared Goff ATS Indoor: 44-19-1 ATS vs. Outdoors: 42-36-2 ATS
DET: won 30 straight when leading entering the 4th Qtr**
DET: Games starting at 4pm or later: 16-2 SU under Dan Campbell
PHI: 13-3 SU & ATS vs. playoff teams run
PHI: Jalen Hurt 45-35-2 ATS career
PHI: 23-3 SU run
PHI: Jalen Hurts 28-4 SU @ Hm as favorite vs. winning teams inc: 18-1
SNF Unders 45-27 inc: 6-5 TYr
Underdogs 15-13-1 SU & 19-10 ATS in night games
$
MONDAY NIGHT
3-5 DALLAS -3.5 @ 2-7 LV RAIDERS 50.5pts
Underdogs 15-13-1 SU & 19-10 ATS in night games
LV: Geno Smith 6-13-1 ATS at home run
DAL: Dak Prescott 29-16-1 SU & 26-19-1 ATS, including 2-1 ATS this season
DAL: Dak Prescott 25-6 inc: 13-1 SU as favs @ night…18-12-1 ATS
DAL: Dak Prescott 40-14 SU, 33-19-2 ATS vs. losing teams
DAL: Dak Prescott 39-49-2 ATS vs. everyone but NFC East (30-13 ATS vs. NFC East)
DAL: 13-19 ATS run
LV: Since moving to Vegas: Road: 18-30 SU + 20-27 ATS + Home 20-25 SU & 25-19-1 ATS
LV: Geno Smith 14-18-4 ATS as Fav vs. 26-25-3 ATS as Dog
LV: Geno Smith in primetime 4-14 SU = worst mark of 172 QBs since 2003
LV: Geno Smith 3-13 SU as an underdog in primetime
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OTHER TRENDS
Home favorites on Thursday 100-83-3 ATS last 20 years
Home teams on Thursday: 52-64-1 ATS since 2019 inc: 32-42-1 ATS as favs
Underdogs 15-14-1 SU & 20-10 ATS in night games
D/D fav in night games: 51-70-3 ATS last 20yrs
NFC West is 18-7 ATS vs. teams outside the division this year**
Teams after getting shutout: 33-15-3 ATS since 2015 (3-0 this year)
UNDER: 24-12 55+pts totals since 20189
Totals 37 or less = UNDER 33-17-1 since 2020
Teams after scoring 3ps or less: 87-62-5 ATS since 2014
PRIME TIME: Rookie QBs 25-58 SU road games in primetime since 1970
THANKSGIVING DAY TRENDS
FAVORITES: 51-9 SU & 40-20 ATS since 2004 inc: 9-1 ATS as 10+pt favs
7+pt favs: 30-5 SU & 25-10 ATS since 1990
Night game Favs: 14-4 ATS + 11-7 UNDER since they started the 3-games back in 2006
Coaches Fired System: Teams 18-24 SU & 23-19 ATS 1st game following firing since 2003 (0-1)
Underdogs in playoffs since 2017: 60-39 ATS
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ARI: 2-14 SU after last 16 wins*
ARI: Kyler Murray Under 28-13-1 on road (2nd-best of 280 QBs since 2003)
ARI: Kyler Murray 1-5 SU/ATS off a bye week
ARI: Kyler Murray 32-20-2 ATS as dog inc: 15-6-2 as 4+pt dogs + 22-7-2 on road
ARI: Kyler Murray 5-35 SU down 10+pts since 2021
ARI: Kyler Murray 7-26 ATS 1st half
ARI: Kyler Murray 28-20 OVER at home
ARI: 13-4 ATS playing on East coast w/ Kyler Murray as QB
ARI: 4-20 SU after facing 49ers
ARI: Kyler Murray 8-24 SU & 12-19-2 ATS against NFC West
ARI: Kyler Murray 6-26 ATS 1st half inc: 1-16 vs. NFC West teams**
ARI: Kyler 9-15 ATS as Home Favs
ARI: Kyler Murray 14-21 ATS as a favorite
ATL: H/C Raheem Morris 22-19-1 ATS on road
ATL: 26-42-1 ATS vs. non-NFC South 2019
ATL: 11-19 SU outdoors since 2020 inc: 0-3 SU & 1-2 ATS this year
ATL: 11-23-1 ATS after a win
ATL: Kirk Cousins 17-30 ATS indoors inc: 3-13 last 3 years
ATL: Cousins in primetime: 19-24-1 SU & 17-27 ATS inc: 14-20 SU & 14-20 ATS @ night
ATL: Kirk Cousins 14-23 ATS at home since 2020
ATL: Cousins 1-7 after a SU underdog win
ATL: Cousins as a dog in PT: 6-16-1 SU & 9-14 ATS
ATL: Kirk Cousins off back to back SU/ATS wins 9-13-1 ATS inc: 3-11-1 ATS since 2017
BALT: 20-9 ATS as an underdog
BALT: Lamar Jackson 37-14 SU & 23-28 ATS as home fav.
BALT: John Harbaugh/Ravens: 17-6 ATS on MNF
BALT: Lamar Jackson as Playoff home Favs: 2-4 SU & ATS (5-1 UNDER)
BALT: UNDER 8-0-1 as home playoff favs since 1995
BALT: 2-7 ATS as non Division 7+pt HF’s
BALT: Lamar Jackson 3-4 SU & 2-5 ATS vs. Pitt
BALT: Lamar Jackson 8-10 ATS at home vs. AFC North teams
BALT: Lamar Jackson d/d fav: 16-1 SU & 11-6 ATS
BALT: Lamar Jackson 3pts favs or less or dog 26-10 ATS reg. season vs. favored by 3+pts: 22-31 ATS**
BALT: Lamar Jackson 21-7 SU at night
BALT: LJ 21-6 SU after a loss
BALT: Lamar Jackson 25-3 SU & 15-13 ATS vs. NFC teams
BAL: 76-32 w/ Lamar Jackson (28ppg) vs. 5-12 w/out LJ (15ppg) since 2018
BUF: Josh Allen: 28-4 SU as 8.5+pt fav
BUF: Allen 37-7 SU as 7+pt fav
BUF: 16-3 SU vs. Miami
BUF: Josh Allen has never won b/b games as an underdog (0-16)
BUF: as double-digit favs: 1-11 ATS
BUF: As a home favorite of 7+p, Allen 27-3 SU
CAR: 10-4 ATS vs. AFC West teams
CAR: 10-3 OVER HG run
CAR: 0-11 SU ATS as favorite
CHI: 1-8 SU & 2-6-1 ATS after facing GBay
CHI: 4-18 SU vs. winning teams***
CIN: Joe Burrow 8-1 ATS vs. Mahomes, Josh Allen & Tom Brady
CIN: Joe Burrow 11-18-1 SU & 19-11 ATS as a dog inc: 14-7 ATS on road
CIN: Joe Burrow 3+pt Dog: 9-9-1 SU & 17-3 ATS**
CIN: 15-4 ATS vs. AFC West
CIN: Joe Burrow UNDER 34-32-1
CIN: Joe Burrow 27-10 SU & 28-8-1 ATS run vs. non-divisional teams
CIN: Joe Burrow 46-29-1 ATS inc: 42-23-1 SU + 43-22-1 ATS game 3 on
CIN: Joe Burrow 13-7-1 SU vs NFC inc: 11-2 SU last 13
CIN: Joe Burrow’s 19-9-1 ATS after a loss
CIN: Joe Burrow fav-6 or higher: 7-8 ATS
CIN: Joe Burrow in December or later games: 18-5 SU & 16-7 ATS
CIN: 7+ Home dogs: 18-2-2 ATS first 9 games of season since 2022 + 37-11-2 ATS since 2020
CIN: 34-31-1 SU in non-divisional games (13-23 SU vs. AFC North)
CIN: 14-2 OVER at home inc: 5-0 TYr**
CLE: lost 14 straight road games inc: 0-11 ATS run
CLE: 18-8 OVER RG run
CLE: 11-1 SU vs. AFC South
CLE: DeShaun Watson 10-10 SU as a Brown (28-25 as a Texan)
CLE: Deshaun Watson 35-38-2 ATS inc: 14-22-2 ATS as a favorite & 21-16 ATS as an underdog
CLE: Night home games under Kevin Stefanski: 6-2 SU & ATS
CLE: Browns traveled to MST or PST 5-23 SU inc: 0-9 SU since 2019…2-20 SU last 22
CLE: 13-5 SU @ Hm vs. winning teams since 2020
CLE: Flacco SU/ATS w/ Cleveland…12-5 SU…11-4-2 ATS
CLE: Flacco last 15 starts = 9-6 OVER
CLE: Flacco as Dog of 4+pts 3-23 SU since 2014**
CLE: 1-9 ATS last 10 AFC North road games
CLE: 16-25 ATS after a SU win under Kevin Stefanski
CLE: Lost 22 straight games in Pittsburgh. (Last win Oct/2003 w/ Tim Couch)**
DAL: 15-7 Over at home
DAL: Dak Prescott double-digit fav: 12-2 SU & 10-4 ATS.
DAL: 3-19 SU as a dog of 7+pts
DAL: Dak Prescott: 25-5 SU + 19-10-1 ATS as 6+pt HFav
DAL: Dak Prescott 37-9 SU & 31-14-1 ATS as 6+pt fav
DAL: 16-1 SU & 12-5 ATS vs. NYG inc: 9-0
DAL: Dak Prescott 11-3 ATS vs. Washington inc: 7-0 SU & 6-1 ATS at home
DAL: 8-16 ATS run as dogs
DAL: Home Dogs 41-50-4 ATS
DAL: Dak Prescott 24-32-1 SU…21-36 ATS vs. winning teams
DEN: 9-0 SU & 8-1 ATS after facing KC in regular season
DEN: Sean Payton 7-11 ATS in the playoffs
DEN: Sean Payton dog of +7pts: 10-5 ATS
DEN: Sean Payton 86-64-3 ATS on road inc: 36-20-1 ATS run
DEN: Nix 14-1 SU & 10-5 ATS as a favorite inc: 13-1 as a 2-pt favorite or higher.
DET: Jared Goff 30-16 ATS RG since 2020
DET: 22-6 ATS RG inc: 14-2 as Road Favs
DET: Jared Goff 21-9 ATS off a loss w/ the Lions
DET: 13-0 SU & ATS after their last 12 loses**
DET: Jared Goff 7-2 SU & 8-1 ATS vs. Minny as a Lion
DET: Jared Goff 30-20 ATS at home since 2020
DET: Since 2018, Goff 27-14-1 ATS vs. division teams
DET: 19-8 Over @ hm w/ O/U less than 50pts
DET: 20-4 ATS as an underdog of 4+ under Dam Campbell
DET: Goff as double-digit fav: 11-2 SU & 8-5 ATS
GB: H/C Matt LaFleur 34-23 ATS at home
GB: 31-8 SU & 24-15 ATS @ Hm vs. non NFC North teams
GB: H/C Matt LaFleur 32-20 ATS vs. winning teams
GB: LaFleur 19-4 SU, 13-10 ATS in December games.
GB: 11-1 SU & 10-2 ATS vs. Bears…16-2 SU vs. Chicago
GB: Favored to beat Chicago 29 of 33 games going 30-14-1 ATS last 45 meetings
HOU: 21-10 UNDER at home
IND: Favs 40-14-1 SU & 34-21 ATS inc: 30-9-1 SU & 24-16 ATS as 3+pt favs.
IND: Daniel Jones UNDER 26-13-1 @ home
IND: Daniel Jones 28-43 SU + 35-36 ATS vs NFL (Except gms vs. Washington)
IND: 21-12 ATS in September, October & November under h/c Shane Steichen
IND: 11-1-1 ATS @ Houston
IND: 13-3 ATS as home dogs of 6+ last 30 years
IND: Anthony Richardson: 8-5 ATS
IND: Daniel Jones 1-16 SU & 6-11 ATS at night
IND: 6-0 SU & ATS vs. Titans
JACK: 28-14-2 ATS vs. Colts inc: 17-2-1 since 2015
JACK: Trevor Lawrence: 13-12 SU as a favorite
JACK: Trevor Lawrence 10-19 ATS vs. losing teams
JACK: 7-7 SU & ATS in International Games
JACK: 4-13 SU & 4-13 ATS playing on West coast
JACK: Trevor Lawrence 11-24 SU + 15-20 ATS on road (least profitable QB since ’21)
KC: 14-4 Under w/ total 50+pts**
KC: Mahomes 30-7 SU & 20-16-1 ATS vs. NFC
KC: Mahomes 53-13 SU at home
KC: Pat Mahomes 35-36-1 ATS & 32-11-1 Under at home
KC: Mahomes 46-49-2 ATS as favs 3.5+Pts. (Other games 25-8-1 ATS)
KC: Favs 6+pts 10-0 SU & 3-6-1 ATS
KC: Mahomes 25-32-3 ATS as favs 7+pts
KC: Since 2020, Mahomes 38-2 SU & 15-24-1 ATS as a 7.5+ Fav
KC: Favorite 10+pts, Mahomes 11-15 ATS
KC: Patrick Mahomes 12-5 SU & 13-3-1 ATS as a Dog
KC: Patrick Mahomes 1-2 SU NFL + 1-7 SU college as a home Dog.
KC: 20-6-1 ATS as an underdog
KC: H/C Andy Reid d/d underdog 6 times: 2-5 SU & 6-1 ATS since 2007
KC: Pat Mahomes 8-1 SU & ATS when a dog or favorite of less than 3pts in Post season
KC: Pat Mahomes 17-4 SU & 15-6 ATS in Playoffs
KC: Andy Reid 26-17 SU & 25-18 ATS in playoffs
KC: Mahomes 18-1 vs. non winning NFC teams on road
KC: Mahomes 25-3 SU on the road as a 5+pt favorite
LAC: 37-53-3 ATS at home
LAC: Jim Harbaugh after a loss: 18-11 SU & 15-12-2 ATS
LAC: Justin Herbert 20-9-1 ATS vs. AFC West
LAC: Herbert 7+pt Fav: 9-1 SU & 7-3 ATS
LAC: PST teams playing on East Coast since 2019: 59-36-4 ATS
LAR: 4-pt road favs: 17-0 SU & 10-7 ATS under Sean McVay**
LAR: Sean McVay 15-0 SU as 6+pt RF….19-0 SU 4+pt RFav
LAR: 14-3 SU vs. Arizona
LAR: 19-9-2 SU & 20-10 ATS on East Coast
LAR: Sean McVay 25-5 SU as favorite vs AFC inc: 15-2 on road
LV: Geno Smith 13-19-4 ATS after a win
LV: 7-18 ATS last 21 years as 4+pt Fav
LV: Geno Smith -5 or higher 6 times = 7-1 SU
LV: Geno Smith as a favorite of 3+pts: 18-6 SU
LV: 3-12 SU & 4-9-2 ATS after facing KC since 2017**
LV: 10-5 SU & 12-3 ATS vs. Denver
MIA: Tua Tags d/d favorite 6-1 SU & 4-3 ATS
MIA: Mike McDaniel playing on West Coast after week 1 = 2-4 SU & 1-5 ATS failing to cover the spread by 10+ppg
MIA: Tua 0-5 SU & 1-4 ATS w/ Temps as 40 or below
MIA: Tua Tags 16-1 SU & 13-4 ATS as a 4+pt favorite
MIA: 11-30 SU as a franchise in 32° temperatures or colder inc: 0-11 run
MIA: 8-2 SU & 9-1 ATS vs. Pats streak** inc: 7-1 SU & ATS by Tua Tags
MIA: Tua Tags 2-15 SU & 5-11-1 ATS on road vs. winning teams
MIA: 15-4 SU & 12-6-1 ATS since 2016 vs. NYJ
MIA: 4-22 SU as a road dog
MIA: Tua Tags 13-22 SU & 15-19-1 ATS on road inc: 2-15 SU & 5-11-1 ATS vs winning teams + 9-6 SU & 7-8 ATS vs. losing teams
MIA: 0-5 SU & 1-4 ATS on Thursday’s under McDaniel
MIA: 0-6 SU allowing 29.2 PPG on short rest
MIA: Tua 1-8 SU as underdog in night primetime games
MIA: Tua Tags 13-5 SU vs SB winning head coaches
MIA: 46-29-3 ATS since 2016 at home
MIA: Tua Tags 27-11 @ Hm & 25-13 ATS
NYG: 3-23 SU non Sunday games since 2017
NYG: Giants & Jets combined 5-33 SU @ night since 2019 (NYG 3-19 inc: 1-11 at home)
NYG: Finished below .500 SU on the road in 13 straight seasons
NYG: 9-31 SU on the road = 3rd-worst win % in the NFL
NYG: allowed 20+pts in 11 straight road games
NYG: Jaxson Dart TD run in 5 straight games
NYG: 5-2 Team total Over w/ J.Dart
NYJ: 1-21 SU & 3-19 ATS in game after facing Bills
NYJ: Home dog: 9-19 SU…12-16 ATS
NYJ: Justin Fields 2-27 SU + 9-19-1 ATS when opponent scores 20+pts
NYJ: Justin Fields opponent scores less than 20pts: 12-10 SU + 12-10 ATS
NYJ: Justin Fields 14-36 SU…22-29-1 ATS career
NYJ: 32-46-1 ATS
NYJ: 14 year playoff draught = tied with Buffalo Sabres (NHL) longest active playoff drought
NYJ: 6-20 SU & 10-16 ATS vs. AFC East
NYJ: 1-14 SU on the road vs. AFC East
NYJ: 2-16 SU @ night since 2019
NYJ: 32-50-4 ATS on road since 2015
NE: 8-0 SU & 6-2 ATS run
NE: 10-1 1st Half ATS
NE: Yet to allow a RB to run for 75+yds
NE: Since Brady left 42-55 SU & 43-51-3 ATS since 2020
NE: 6-31 SU + 7-29-1 ATS when trailing by 7+pts (Mike Vrabel 3-17 SU & 5-14-1 ATS w/ Titans)
NE: 1-16 when allowing 4+ sacks
NE: 18-32 SU & 18-30-2 ATS run
NE: 25-4 SU vs. NY Jets
NE: 20-29 SU & 20-27-3 ATS vs. winning teams
NE: 13-36 SU as an underdog since 2021
NO: allowed 2+ passing TD in 14 of 21 games
NO: 32-21 UNDER run
NO: 1-9 ATS 1st Qtr
NO: 0-25 SU & 3-22 ATS entering the 4th qtr trailing since 2023
NO: 11-17-2 ATS vs. NFC South
NO: Saints 9-19-2 ATS off a win
NO: 14-23 SU @ home last 3 seasons
NO: 26-40 ATS @ hm since 2018 (2nd-worst ATS mark @ hm ahead of Atlanta) (34-22-1 ATS away)
NO: Spencer Rattler 1-13 SU & 2-12 ATS
NO: as home dog since 2020: 4-17 SU & 5-16 ATS (Worst in NFL)
PHI: 0-6 ATS as d/d favs
PHI: Jalen Hurts Road: 27-14 SU & 19-20-1 ATS + 25-16 UNDER on road
PHI: 12-0 SU & 11-1 ATS vs. Pitt at home**
PHI: Jalen Hurts 14-17-1 ATS as Road Fav
PITT: 65-41-4 ATS Underdog under Tomlin
PITT: Mike Tomlin as dog 62-48 ATS inc: 26-15 ATS off a loss
PITT: Tomlin 44-33-1 ATS as road dogs & (35-43-2 ATS as RFavs)
PITT: Mike Tomlin Road Unders 90-70-1
PITT: Mike Tomlin 20-14 SU & 23-8-3 ATS as home dog
PITT: 22-1 SU @ home MNF since 1992
PITT: 3-15 SU & 7-10-1 ATS as an underdog of 7+pts inc: 1-9 SU as 8+pt dogs**
PITT: Mike Tomlin vs rookie QB’s: 28-6 SU**
PITT: Lost SU & ATS last 6 playoff games
PITT/BALT: Series: 45pts+ total UNDER is 8-3.
PITT/BALT: Mike Tomlin 21-17 SU & 19-16-3 ATS vs. John Harbaugh inc: 13-4-2 ATS as dogs
PITT: Dog of 4+pts vs. Ravens 8-2 ATS
PITT/BALT: 16 of last 20 meetings decided by 7pts or less
PITT/BALT: Dog 29-12-3 ATS inc: 16-4-1 since 2015
PITT/BALT: when line 3+ the underdog 23-6-3 ATS
PITT: Tomlin as a Division dog: 22-18 SU, 27-11-2 ATS
PITT: 5-19 SU & 9-15 ATS on Thursdays inc: 3-16 SU and 5-14 ATS since 1980
PITT: road, divisional TNF game: 0-9 SU & 1-8 ATS
PITT: 2-9 SU & 3-8 ATS on Thursday night road games
SEA: Sam Darnold 11-7 as a home dog
SEA: 28-14-2 ATS after a home loss last 20yrs
SEA: 18-8-2 ATS playing in EST since 2018
SEA: Road favs off bye week 80-55-4 ATS since 2004.
SEA: PST teams playing on East Coast since 2019: 62-35-4 ATS
SEA: 17-8 ATS playing in EST since 2018
SEA: 10-1 SU and 9-1-1 ATS vs. Arizona
SEA: 16-23 ATS @ Hm
SEA: Darnold 3+pt Favs: 13-6 SU & 9-9-1 ATS
SF: Shanahan 9-16-1 ATS @ hm vs. NFC West
SF: Kyle Shanahan 31-25 SU/ATS w/ backup QB
SF: 24-11-1 vs. Rams since 2008 inc: 10-4
SF: after a win since Christmas of 2023: 1-15 ATS
SF: vs. a defense allowing 17 PPG or less: 1-10 ATS
SF: 7-1 SU & 6-2 ATS vs. Seattle
SF: On extended prep, Kyle Shanahan only 19-16 SU
SF: RFavs off a bye: 76-51-4 ATS since 2004
SF: 9-9 SU & 4-14 ATS home game run
TB: Baker Mayfield 18-2 SU as a 6+pt favorite
TB: Baker Mayfield Division games 5-12 ATS at home & 12-10 on the road
TB: 20+pts at home in 21 straight games
TB: Baker Mayfield 22-33-1 ATS as a fav
TENN: 0-10 ATS after a SU win
WASH: Under @ home: 25-21-1 since 2020
DAL/WASH: SERIES: last 12 meetings: 10 decided by 10+pt
****
.
.
.
2024/25 NFL REGULAR SEASON BETTING STATS
FAVS: 199-86 SU & 149-126-2 ATS
Home Teams: 136-127 SU & 144-126-4 ATS (Not counting International games)
Road Favs: 61-47-2 ATS
6pt Favs: 71-29 SU & 48-52 ATS
10pt Favs: 17-2 SU & 10-9 ATS
B/B RG: 34-37 SU & 33-38 ATS
3 Gm RT: 1-2 SU & 2-1 ATS
OVERS: 150-125-1
COMBOS:
FAV/OVER: 76 …. FAV/UNDER: 63 FAV/PUSH: 1
DOG/OVER: 65 …. DOG/UNDER: 55 PUSH/UNDER: 1
$$$$$
2023/24 NFL SEASON REGULAR SEASON TRENDS
FAVS SU: 185-83 ATS: 136-118-7
6pts Favs: 55-21 SU & 39-37-1 ATS
10pt Favs: 21-4 SU & 14-11 ATS
B/B RG: 28-43 SU & 36-32-3 ATS (Non Bye teams/situations)
3 gm RT: 1-2 SU & 1-2 ATS
OVERS: 109-133
******
NFL 2022/23 REGULAR SEASON TRENDS
FAVS: 179-92-1 SU 124-144-4 ATS
6pts Favs: 71-18 SU 39-50 ATS
10pt Favs: 23-3 9-17 ATS
B/B RG: 28-43 SU 33-35-2 ATS
OVERS: 117-154-1
*************************
2023/24 FREE NFL: 24-26-1
2022/23 FREE NFL: 27-23-1
2021/22 FREE NFL: 35-24-3
2020/21 FREE NFL: 19-23-3
2019/20 FREE NFL: 25-26
2018/19 FREE NFL: 33-16-1
2017/18 FREE NFL: 29-18-5
2016/17 FREE NFL: 24-16-1
******
2021 NFL REGULAR SEASON TOTALS:
FAVS: 166-100-1 SU & 127-139-1 ATS (1 pick)
HM DOGS: 37-68 SU & 52-55 ATS
D/D Favs: 39-7 SU & 29-17-1 ATS
6pt Favs: 96-28-1 SU & 64-57-2 ATS
3pt Favs: 43-46 SU & 38-52 ATS
B/B Road Games: 34-35 SU & 36-33 ATS
3rd Straight RG: 3-1 SU & ATS
O/U: 126-139-2
Combo’s:
Favs/Over: 56 Dog/Over: 69
Favs/Under: 69 Dog/Under: 67
Favs/PUSH: 2 PUSH/UNDER: 1
******
SB PARLAY/REVERSE COMBOS
Favorite/Over: 15 times
Favorite/Under: 12 times
Underdog/Over: 10 times
Underdog/Under: 13 times
(4 games omitted: SB 1 didn’t have a total, three games pushed on either the game or total)
FAV/OVER has it only three times since 2000.
********************
BIG NFL FAVS DON’T LOSE
6+pt Favorites:
2018/19: 84-23 SU & 51-54-2 ATS
2017/18: 86-20 SU & 56-48-2 ATS
2016/17: 63-16-1 SU & 53-32-4 ATS
2015/16: 87-24-1 SU & 52-57-3 ATS
******
2020 NFL VEGAS SEASON AFTER WK #15
Home team: 109-94 SU & 84-113-6 ATS
Favs: 136-71-1 SU & 91-106-7 ATS
D/D favs: 29-6 SU & 14-20-1 ATS
6pts favs: 65-15 SU & 35-42-3 ATS
3pts favs: 37-30-1 SU & 32-32-4 ATS
B/B Road games: 23-21 SU & 25-18-1 ATS
3rd straight RG: 1-0 SU & ATS
HM DOGS: 23-48 SU & 29-39-4 ATS
Over/Unders: 99-107-1
Combos:
Favs/Over: 44 Favs/Under: 44
Favs/Push: 1 Dogs/Over: 51
Dogs/Under 59 Push/Under: 3
Push/Over: 4 Pk/OVER: 1
********************
2017/18 NFL VEGAS STATS REGULAR SEASON:
HOME TMS: 143-108 SU & 127-117-8 ATS (4 Lon/1 Mex)
FAVS: 181-74 SU & 134-102-9 ATS (1 game pick)
D/D FAVS: 27-4 SU & 16-17 ATS
6pt+ FAVS: 86-20 SU & 56-48-2 ATS
3pt/less FAVS: 70-39 SU & 50-42-6 ATS
2nd of B/B ROAD GMS: 33-38 SU & 34-34-3 ATS
HOME DOGS: 34-63 SU & 46-47-4 ATS
OVERS/UNDERS: 116-136-4
COMBINATIONS:
FAVS/OVERS: 53 FAVS/UNDERS: 78
DOGS/OVER: 54 DOGS/UNDER: 60
********************
NFL 2016/17 REGULAR SEASON:
HOME TMS: 151-100-1 SU & 119-122-11 ATS (4 gms N/A)
2nd of B/B ROAD GMS: 28-36-1 SU & 29-33-2 ATS
FAVS: 167-86-2 SU & 122-122-11 ATS (1gm Pick)
D/D FAVS: 11-0 SU & 7-4 ATS
6pt+ FAVS: 63-16-1 SU & 53-32-4 ATS
3pt/less FAVS: 59-38-2 SU & 52-43-4 ATS
HOME DOGS: 30-48 SU & 36-43-4 ATS
OVERS/UNDERS: 134-120-2
FAVS/OVERS: 65 FAVS/UNDERS: 62
DOGS/OVER: 62 DOGS/UNDER: 54
******
2015/16 REGULAR SEASON NFL
HOME TEAMS: 136-117 SU…117-130-6 ATS (3 gms London)
FAVORITES: 157-95 SU & 117-130-6 ATS (3 pickem)
10+PT FAVS: 15-5 SU & 9-11 ATS
3PT Favs or less: 46-47 SU & 38-49-6 ATS
HOME DOGS: 32-53 SU & 42-41-3 ATS
OVERS: 118
UNDERS: 131
PUSH: 4
******
2014/15 NFL REGULAR SEASON>
Home tms: 144-101-1 SU & 114-135-3 ATS (4 neutral)
Home dogs: 26-49 SU & 35-41-1 ATS
Favorites: 169-83-1 SU & 120-130-3 ATS (3 pickem games)
10pt Favs: 21-2 SU & 11-12 ATS
6pt+ Favs: 87-24-1 SU & 52-57-3 ATS
OVERS/UNDERS: 117-137-2
COMBOS
FAVS/OVERS: 54 FAVS/UNDERS: 64
DOGS/OVERS: 59 DOGS/UNDERS: 69
******
2013/14 REGULAR SEASON#’s
HOME TEAMS: 152-101-1 SU & 136-112-6 ATS
FAVORITES*: 179-75-1 SU & 132-115-8 ATS
10pts FAVS: 27-7 SU & 17-16-1 ATS
HOME DOGS: 32-61 SU & 44-47-2 ATS
OVERS/UNDERS: 134-118-4
GAMES DECIDED BY 7pts or less: 123 of 256
COMBOS
FAVS/OVER: 66 FAVS/UNDER: 64
UNDERDOGS/OVER: 61 UNDERDOGS/UNDER: 54
******
NFL 2012/13 regular season
Home Teams: 126-139-4 ATS
Home Dogs: 49-46-1 ATS
Home Favs: 77-88-1 ATS
********************
SUPER BOWL NOTES thru: 23/24
Team with most Total yards is 43-15
Team with most Rushing yards is 43-14 (1 game tied)
SU SB winner is 49-7-2 ATS
Score less than 20pts: 2-25 SU & 4-22-1 ATS
Score 27+pts 31-5 SU & 28-7-1 ATS
Only 16 of the 58 Super Bowls have been decided by 1 score.
***
SB tams that fail to score 21 pts in the SB are 2-22 SU & 4-19-1 ATS.
(Exception..Giants over the Patriots 17-14 in SBXLII & Pats in SB 53 13-3 over Rams)
Super Bowl teams scoring at least 27pts are 27-4 SU & 24-6-1 ATS.
(Exceptions Carolina (29) vs. Pats, SF (31) vs. Balt, Atl 28 vs. Pats, Pats vs. Eagles
********************
2018/19 NFL PLAYOFFS
PLAYING ONLY ONE: 4-1-1
$100 BEST BETS: 4-4-1
$50 OTHER PLAYS: 1-3
$25 IF YOU MUST: 3-1
OVER/UNDER PLAY OF THE DAY: 2-3
EVERY BET/EVERY PLAY: 9-6-1
$100 WIN REVERSE: 3-3 = +540
$100 PARLAYS: 3-3 = +392
$100 PROP PLAYS: 24-21-2 = +500
***************
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