2025/26 NFL REGULAR SEASON FINAL BETTING STATS
Home Tms: 146-125-1 SU & 133-132 ATS (Not counting International games)
FAVS: 178-93-1 SU & 131-138-3 ATS
Road Favs: 72-40-1 SU & 55-58 ATS
6pt Favs: 78-16-1 SU & 50-45 ATS
10pt Favs: 26-2 SU & 17-11 ATS
B/B RG: 32-38-1 SU & 38-33 ATS
3 Gm RT: 2-1 SU & 2-1 ATS
OVERS: 142-127-3
FAV/OVER: 68… FAV/UNDER: 65
DOG/OVER: 74…. DOG/UNDER: 62
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NFL PLAYOFF NOTES
2025/26 Regular season: 272 games…146 were one score games
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Playoff Underdogs 60-38 ATS since 2017 inc: 27-15 in WildCard round
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Playoff Teams from last year vs. non playoff teams from last year: 33-16-1 ATS
(LA Rams, GB, Philly, LA Chargers, Buffalo)
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SB champ has been a top 3 seed last 12 seasons
(Seahawks, Rams, Broncos, Eagles, Bills & Pats)
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Outdoor Wild Card games: 49-23 Under since 2004 inc: 42-14 at 41+pts
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SATURDAY
9-7-1 GREEN BAY-1.5 @ 11-6 CHICAGO BEARS
GB: Lost 4 straight
GB: 6-11 ATS TYr vs. Chicago 10-6-1 ATS
GB: 12-2 SU & 11-3 ATS vs. Chicago inc: 1-1 TYr
GB: 28-13 ATS vs Chicago
GB: 12-2 SU & 11-3 ATS vs. Bears…17-3 SU vs. Chicago**
GB: Favored to beat Chicago 30 of 34 games
GB: H/C Matt LaFleur 34-22 ATS vs. winning teams
CHI: 9-27 SU vs. NFC North inc: 3-9 w/ Caleb Williams
CHI: 11-6 SU & 9-7-1 ATS TYr
CHI: Best TO differential
CHI: 3-29 trailing by 10+pts*
CHI: 5-31 trailing entering the 4th qtr
CHI: 13-4 OVER team total
CHI: Lost 3 straight playoff games…NEVER lost 4 straight in franchise history
CHI: 12-4 as favs vs. NFC teams vs 7-35 SU as Dogs
CHI: QBs 1st playoff start vs QBs w/ playoff experience: 20-40 SU * 20-39-1 ATS since 2002 inc: 12-21 SU & ATS @ Hm
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SUNDAY
12-5 BUFFALO -1.5 @ 13-4 JACKSONVILLE 51.5pts
Totals of 51+pts in outdoor playoff games 19-8-1 UNDER since 2004
JACK: 8-0 SU & ATS run
JACK: Scored 25+pts in 9 of 10 gms + Allow less than 20pts in 6 straight**
JACK: Yet to allow a 75+yd rusher**
JACK: Trevor Lawrence: 41-37 ATS inc: 15-5
JACK: Trevor Lawrence 41-37 UNDER
JACK: 13-4 Over Team Total (Best in NFL)
JACK: 4-0 SU & ATS vs. teams allowing 4+yds per rush
BUF: 5-1 ATS vs. winning teams TYR
BUF: 23-2 when leading entering 4th Qtr.
BUF: Josh Allen Road: 9 TD passes, 6 INT, 87.7 pass rating
BUF: Josh Allen 5-8 ATS in post season
BUF: 0-8 RD Playoffs inc: 0-4 SU & ATS w/ Josh Allen**
BUF: Josh Allen 94 wins inc: 68 by 7+pts
BUF: 24-11 Team total OVER
BUF: When teams score 21+pts vs Bills: Buffalo 9-28 ATS since 2022
BUF: 27-10 w/ Joe Brady as O/C
12-4 SAN FRAN @ 12-5 PHILADELPHIA
PHI: 1-6 SU when starting QB passes for 230+yds & 10-0 SU when he doesn’t
PHI: Jalen Hurts 31-5 SU as HFav inc: 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in playoffs
PHI: 14-5 SU & ATS vs. playoff teams
PHI: 26-7 SU run
PHI: 121-62-1 SU OL Lane Johnson plays + 17-28 SU when he doesn’t
SF: 6-1 SU & ATS since Brock Purdy returned
SF: Brock Purdy 0-4 SU & ATS as a dog in his career
SF: Since 2020 13 losses when leading by 10+pts = most in NFL
SF: 10-24 ATS 2nd half (worst in NFL)
SF: 10-0 SU when leading @ the half this season
SF: 12-22 3rd qtr ATS inc: 6-11 this season**
SF: Under Kyle Shanahan 49ers 0-48 when trailing by 8+pts in the 4th qtr.
SF: Kyle Shanahan 3-45 when trailing by 3+pts entering the 4th qtr.
SF: 13-45 SU & ATS when trailing at the half under Kyle Shanahan.
SF: 16-22 ATS inc: 12-14
SF scored in 26 of 29 last Qtrs (1-3 vs. Sea LWk)
SF: NFC West 24-8 ATS vs. teams outside division (SF 8-3)
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11-6 LA CHARGERS @ 14-3 NEW ENGLAND -3.5
LAC: Jim Harbaugh after a loss: 18-12 SU & 15-13-2 ATS
LAC: Justin Herbert 0-2 SU & ATS in post season (Outscored 49-6 in 2nd halves)
LAC: Justin Herbert 3+pts dog: 13-6-1 ATS
LAC: Justin Herbert 28-21 ATS on road
LAC: Justin Herbert 15-24 SU vs. winning teams inc: 3-3 TYr**
LAC: 31-20 UNDER
LAC: Jim Harbaugh: 68-36-1 SU & 60-42-3 ATS
LAC: Herbert 39-24 UNDER
LAC: 3-11 SU in games decided by 3pts or fewer
LAC: Justin Herbert: Underdog: 17-11-1 ATS & Fav: 33-31-1 ATS
LAC: Justin Herbert 50-46 SU & 51-43-2 ATS (23-23 ATS @ Hm + 28-20 ATS Rd)
LAC: Justin Herbert: 24pts
When his defense allows 24 pts or LESS: 43-12 SU & 41-12-2 ATS
When his defense allows 24 pts or MORE: 8-33 SU & 10-31 ATS
NE: 14-3 SU & 12-5 ATS
NE: 16-1 1st Half ATS
NE: 21-30 SU & 21-28-3 ATS vs. winning teams
NE: 7-32 SU + 8-30-1 ATS when trailing by 7+pts
NE: QBs 1st playoff start (Drake Maye) vs QBs w/ playoff experience(Herbert): 20-40 SU * 20-39-1 ATS since 2002 inc: 12-21 SU & ATS @ Hm
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MONDAY NIGHT
12-5 HOUSTON -3 @ 10-7 PITTSBURGH
HOU: 13-3 ATS 4th Qtr
HOU: 23-12 Under run
HOU: CJ Stroud 11-14 ATS as a fav + 14-9 ATS as Dog
PITT: 44-19 SU & 42-21 ATS one-score games since 2020…best in NFL
PITT: 40-29-1 ATS since Roethlisberger retired
PITT: 13-22 1st qtr spread
PITT: 15-2 OVER 4th Qtr
PITT: Mike Tomlin 21-15 SU & 24-9-3 ATS as home dog
PITT: Super Bowl-winning QBs(Aaron Rogers): 64-25-2 ATS as an underdog in playoffs
PITT: 0-6 SU & ATS in playoff games since 2016/17
PITT: Outscored 73-0 in 1st Qtr in those 6 playoff games
PITT: 69 straight games scoring 7pts or less in the 1st QTr
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13-5 LA RAMS
LAR: Double digit playoff favs: 18-1 SU & 13-6 ATS since 2011***
LAR: 18-6 SU & 17-7 ATS run
LAR: 38-11 SU as favs vs 9-19 SU as Dogs
LAR: Matt Stafford 43-72 SU & 48-65-2 ATS vs. winning teams inc: 20-14 SU & 18-16 ATS w/LA
LAR: 20-9-2 SU & 20-11 ATS on East Coast
LAR: 18-12-2 ATS on East Coast
LAR: NFC West 24-9 ATS vs. teams outside division
LAR: Matthew Stafford playoffs: 6-5 SU and 6-5 ATS
LAR: RF’s 38-10 SU & 28-20 ATS
LAR: 4+RF’s 21-2 SU & 12-11 ATS (19-3-1 in 6pt teaser)
LAR: Sean McVay 20-2 SU 4+pt RFav
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OTHER TRENDS
THANKSGIVING DAY TRENDS
FAVORITES: 51-12 SU & 40-23 ATS since 2004 inc: 0-3 SU & ATS in 2025
RF’s on Thanksgiving: 25-2 SU & 20-7 ATS since 2004**
Night game Favs: 14-5 ATS + 12-7 UNDER since they started the 3-games back in 2006
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Totals 37 or less = UNDER 35-17-1 since 2020
Teams off shut out loss: 36-17-3 ATS inc: 6-0 ATS this season.
Teams off scoring 3ps or less: 90-63-5 ATS since 2014
Home teams on Thursday: 55-67-1 ATS since 2019 inc: 34-45-1 ATS as favs
D/D fav in night games: 51-70-3 ATS last 20yrs
UNDER: 24-12 55+pts totals since 20189
PRIME TIME: Rookie QBs 25-58 SU road games in primetime since 1970
Coaches Fired System: Teams 18-24 SU & 23-19 ATS 1st game following firing since 2003 (0-1)
Eliminated teams vs teams alive final 2 weeks: 118-75-4 ATS since 1990 (8-6 in 2025)
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ARI: 13-4 ATS playing on East coast w/ Kyler Murray as QB
ARI: Kyler Murray Under 28-13-1 on road (2nd-best of 280 QBs since 2003)
ARI: Kyler Murray 1-5 SU/ATS off a bye week
ARI: Kyler Murray 32-20-2 ATS as dog inc: 15-6-2 as 4+pt dogs + 22-7-2 on road
ARI: Kyler Murray 5-35 SU down 10+pts since 2021
ARI: Kyler Murray 7-26 ATS 1st half
ARI: Kyler Murray 28-20 OVER at home
ARI: Kyler Murray 8-24 SU & 12-19-2 ATS against NFC West
ARI: Kyler Murray 6-26 ATS 1st half inc: 1-16 vs. NFC West teams**
ARI: Kyler 9-15 ATS as Home Favs
ARI: Kyler Murray 14-21 ATS as a favorite
ARI: 4-21 SU after facing 49ers
ARI: 5-24 w/out Kyler Murray inc: 2-21 since 2022
ATL: 62-85-1 ATS in regular season
ATL: 2-15 when trailing by 4+pts
ATL: 14-24-1 ATS after a win
ATL: H/C Raheem Morris 16-28 ATS @ Hm
ATL: Kirk Cousins 16-24 ATS at home since 2020
ATL: Kirk Cousins off B/B SU/ATS wins 11-13-1 ATS inc: 5-11-1 ATS since 2017
ATL: 29-44-1 ATS vs. non-NFC South 2019
ATL: Cousins primetime: 21-24-1 SU & 19-27 ATS
ATL: Cousins as dog in PT: 8-16-1 SU & 11-14 ATS
ATL: H/C Raheem Morris 25-20-1 ATS on road
ATL: 13-20 SU outdoors since 2020
BALT: John Harbaugh/Ravens: 17-6 ATS on MNF
BALT: Lamar Jackson as Playoff home Favs: 2-4 SU & ATS (5-1 UNDER)
BALT: UNDER 8-0-1 as home playoff favs since 1995
BALT: Lamar Jackson 25-3 SU & 15-13 ATS vs. NFC teams
BALT: 2-8 ATS as non Division 7+pt HF’s
BALT: Lamar Jackson d/d fav: 17-1 SU & 11-7 ATS
BALT: Lamar Jackson 7+pt fav: 36-8 SU
BALT: LJ 22-8 SU after a loss
BALT: John Harbaugh: 25-14 ATS after an ATS loss last 5 seasons
BALT: 21-9 ATS as an underdog
BALT: Lamar Jackson 38-16 SU & 23-31 ATS as home fav.
BALT: Lamar Jackson 8-12 ATS at home vs. AFC North teams
BALT: Lamar Jackson favored by 3+pts: 27-37 ATS
BALT: Lamar Jackson 3pts favs or less or dog 27-11 ATS reg. season
BALT: 31-19 OVER Team total last 2 years
BALT: 30-11 SU & 25-16 ATS as a fav
BALT: Lamar Jackson 21-9 SU at night
BALT: 77-33 w/ Lamar Jackson vs. 6-12 w/out LJ since 2018
BALT: Lamar Jackson 3-6 SU & 2-7 ATS vs. Pitt
BUF: as 4+pt favs 17-27-1 ATS
BUF: 46-9 SU home games
BUF: Josh Allen 24-15 SU & 18-21 ATS in Night games
BUF: 16-3 SU vs. Miami
BUF: Josh Allen has never won b/b games as an underdog (0-16)
BUF: As a home favorite of 7+p, Allen 27-3 SU
BUF: Josh Allen off d/d loss: 7-3 SU/ATS next game**
BUF: After losing as 7+pts favs 82-57-3 ATS since 2015 inc: 23-14 ATS last 3 seasons
BUF: Josh Allen: 29-4 SU as 8.5+pt fav
BUF: Allen 38-7 SU as 7+pt fav
BUF: as double-digit favs: 1-12 ATS
BUF: Josh Allen 26-7 SU & 25-7-1 ATS vs. D’s allowing 20pts or less
CAR: 10-4 ATS vs. AFC West teams
CAR: 0-12 SU ATS as favorite (longest SU losing streak since the 1970 merger)
CAR: 6-18 SU & 7-17 ATS on the road
CAR: Bryce Young 4-16 SU & 8-12 ATS on road (3-1 run)
CAR: Bryce Young 17-28 ATS 1st half
CAR: 2-70 in games trailing by 9+pts (Won 2x in 2025)
CAR: Bryce Young 14-31 SU
CAR: 12-5 OVER HG run
CAR: 9-0 ATS after loss in 2025
CHI: 2-9 SU & 3-7-1 ATS after facing GB
CIN: teams off shut out loss: 36-17-3 ATS inc 6-0 ATS this season
CIN: Joe Burrow’s 20-10-1 ATS after a loss
CIN: Joe Burrow 8-1 ATS vs. Mahomes, Josh Allen & Tom Brady
CIN: 15-4 ATS vs. AFC West
CIN: 22-16-2 ATS as dogs
CIN: Joe Burrow 13-19-1 SU & 21-12 ATS as dog inc: 10-12-1 SU & 19-4 ATS as 3+pt dog
CIN: Joe Burrow 28-10 SU & 29-8-1 ATS run vs. non-divisional teams
CIN: Joe Burrow 14-7-1 SU vs NFC inc: 12-2 run
CIN: 35-31-1 SU non-divisional gms (13-23 SU vs. AFC North)
CIN: Joe Burrow 8-6 SU & 5-9 ATS as 7+pt Favs
CIN: Joe Burrow Dec. or later: 20-7 SU & 18-9 ATS
CIN: 8-6 when scoring 30+pts. Rest of NFL 149-17**
CIN: 3-4 when scoring 35+pts. Rest of NFL 84-6**
CIN: Joe Burrow 49-31-1 ATS inc: 45-25-1 SU + 46-24-1 ATS gm 3 on
CIN: 14-5 OVER @ Hm
CLE: 12-24 ATS last 36 games
CLE: 24-10 Team Total under
CLE: 16-42 SU & 25-31-1 ATS
CLE: 14-22 ATS vs. AFC North
CLE: 17-26 ATS after a win
CLE: 2-9 ATS last 10 AFC North road games
CLE: 2-15 SU & 3-14 ATS on road
CLE: 18-11 OVER RG run
CLE: 6-1 @ Hm vs. Pitt (Lost 22 straight @ Pitt)
CLE: 13-7 SU @ Hm vs. winning teams since 2020 (5-18 on road)
CLE: AFC North 14-23-1 ATS vs teams outside its division
CLE: H/C Kevin Stefanski 30-36-1 ATS vs. non-AFC North teams
CLE: 18-27 ATS as favs inc: 8-16 ATS vs losing teams w/ Kevin Stefanski
CLE: 11-2 SU vs. AFC South
CLE: H/C Kevin Stefanski off extended rest: 6-12 ATS = worst in NFL
CLE: DeShaun Watson 10-10 SU as a Brown (28-25 as a Texan)
CLE: Deshaun Watson 35-38-2 ATS inc: 14-22-2 ATS as a favorite & 21-16 ATS as an underdog
CLE: Browns traveled to MST or PST 5-23 SU inc: 0-9 SU since 2019…2-20 SU last 22
CLE: Lost 22 straight games in Pittsburgh. (Last win Oct/2003 w/ Tim Couch)**
DAL: Dak Prescott double-digit fav: 12-2 SU & 10-4 ATS.
DAL: Dak Prescott 11-3 ATS vs. Washington inc: 7-0 SU & 6-1 ATS at home
DAL: Dak Prescott: 22-2 SU & 18-6 ATS @ Hm vs. NFC East inc: 19 straight SU wins
DAL: 3-19 SU as a dog of 7+pts
DAL: Home Dogs 43-50-4 ATS
DAL: Dak Prescott 26-7 @ night inc: 12-6 as dog
DAL: 10-17 ATS run as dogs
DAL: Dak Prescott: 25-6 SU + 19-11-1 ATS as 6+pt HFav
DAL: Dak Prescott 37-10 SU & 31-15-1 ATS as 6+pt fav
DAL: Dak Prescott 26-34-1 SU & 23-38 ATS vs. winning teams
DAL: 18-8 Over at home
DAL: Dak Prescott 41-52-2 ATS vs. everyone but NFC East (30-13 ATS vs. NFCE)
DAL: 16-1 OVER 1st half**
DAL: 16-2 SU & 13-5 ATS vs. NYG
DAL: Dak Prescott 31-14 ATS vs. NFC East
DAL: Dak Prescott 41-16 SU, 34-21-2 ATS vs. losing teams
DAL: Dak Prescott 33-19-1 SU & 29-23-1 ATS
DAL: 16-23 ATS run
DEN: Trailed in 15 of 17 games
DEN: 21-12 ATS
DEN: Bo Nix Nix 31-3 in 6pt teasers
DEN: Bo Nix 11-7 ATS as fav & 8-7 ATS as Dog
DEN: UNDER 54-39-1 @ Hm inc: 23-20 last 4 years
DEN: 20-15 ATS home games
DEN: Bo Nix 17-2 SU & 11-8 ATS as favorite
DEN: Sean Payton 86-67-3 ATS on road inc: 36-23-1 ATS run
DEN: 9-0 SU & 8-1 ATS after facing KC in regular season
DEN: Sean Payton 7-11 ATS in the playoffs
DEN: Sean Payton dog of +7pts: 10-5 ATS
DEN: Sean Payton 61-40-2 ATS as an underdog
DET: 21-7-1 ATS game after failing to cover
DET: Goff/Campbell 20-13-1 SU & 24-10 ATS off a SU loss inc: 16-1 SU & 15-2 ATS
DET: Jared Goff 73-43-1 ATS
DET: 54-28-1 ATS run
DET: Jared Goff ATS Indoor: 45-22-1 ATS vs. Outdoors: 43-37-2 ATS
DET: won 32 straight when leading entering the 4th Qtr**
DET: Games starting at 4pm or later: 18-4 SU under Dan Campbel
DET: Jared Goff 31-17 ATS RG since 2020
DET: Jared Goff: 19-36 SU & 32-24 ATS as a dog
DET: Since 2018, Goff 28-15-1 ATS vs. division teams
DET: 23-6 ATS RG
DET: Jared Goff 31-23 ATS at home since 2020
DET: 5-17 SU & 8-14 ATS last 22 on Thanksgiving
DET: Goff as d/d fav: 12-2 SU & 8-6 ATS
DET: 20-5 ATS as an underdog of 4+ under Dam Campbell
DET: Jared Goff 7-2 SU & 8-1 ATS vs. Minny as a Lion
DET: 20-9 Over @ hm w/ O/U less than 50pts
GB: 4-11-1 ATS after a loss w/ Jordan Love
GB: 2-5-1 ATS this season when favored by 4 pts
GB: Jordan Love 4-5 ATS @ Hm vs. NFC North
GB: 8-14-1 ATS as 7+pt favs inc: 1-4-1 ATS w/ Jordan Love
GB: 5-12-1 ATS vs. Detroit
GB: H/C Matt LaFleur 36-25 ATS at home
GB: H/C Matt LaFleur 18-3 SU & 10-10-1 ATS vs a backup QB
GB: 31-9 SU & 24-16 ATS @ Hm vs. non NFC North teams
GB: H/C Matt LaFleur 66-53-1 ATS inc: 40-37-1 as a fav
GB: Matt LaFluer 21-7 SU & 14-13-1 ATS in December games
GB: H/C LaFleur 21-20 SU & 26-15-1 ATS as a dog.
GB: LaFleur only coach in Super Bowl era with a winning record as a dog
GB: H/C Matt LaFleur 19-7-1 ATS 3pt or more dog
GB: 37-16-1 SU vs. losing teams
HOU: Road teams Saturday regular season 70-46-6 ATS inc: 36-17-2 ATS in division games
HOU: 22-12 UNDER at home
IND: Anthony Richardson: 8-5 ATS
IND: Daniel Jones 1-16 SU & 6-11 ATS at night
IND: 6-0 SU & ATS vs. Titans
IND: Favs 40-15-1 SU & 34-22 ATS inc: 30-10-1 SU & 24-17 ATS as 3+pt favs.
IND: Daniel Jones UNDER 27-13-1 @ home
IND: Favs 40-16-1 SU & 34-23 ATS
IND: 13-5 ATS as home dogs of 6+ last 30 years
IND: 12-2-1 ATS @ Houston**
IND: 22-14 ATS in September, October & November under h/c Shane Steichen
JACK: 18-9 ATS vs Winning teams
JACK: Trevor Lawrence 15-24 SU + 19-20 ATS on road
JACK: 30-14-2 ATS vs. Colts inc: 18-3-1
JACK: 7-7 SU & ATS in International Games
JACK: 5-13 SU & 5-13 ATS playing on West coast
JACK: Trevor Lawrence 13-19 ATS vs. losing teams
JACK: Trevor Lawrence: 17-12 SU as a favorite
KC: 8 losses as a fav (tied for most in 1st 14 gms since 1990)
KC: Mahomes 46-52-2 ATS as favs 3.5+Pts. (Other games 25-8-1 ATS)
KC: 14-5 Under w/ total 50+pts**
KC: 11-7 SU & 7-10-1 ATS vs. Playoff teams
KC: Mahomes after a loss: 22-8 SU, 13-16-1 ATS
KC: UNDER 29-10 AFC games
KC: Pat Mahomes 35-39-1 ATS & 35-11-1 Under at home
KC: Mahomes 51-18 SU & 39-28-2 ATS RG
KC: Mahomes 30-8 SU & 20-17-1 ATS vs. NFC
KC: Mahomes 18-2 vs. non winning NFC teams on road
KC: Favs 6+pts 10-0 SU & 3-6-1 ATS
KC: Mahomes 25-32-3 ATS as favs 7+pts
KC: Since 2020, Mahomes 38-2 SU & 15-24-1 ATS as a 7.5+ Fav
KC: Favorite 10+pts, Mahomes 11-15 ATS
KC: Patrick Mahomes 12-5 SU & 13-3-1 ATS as a Dog
KC: Patrick Mahomes 1-2 SU NFL + 1-7 SU college as a home Dog.
KC: 20-6-1 ATS as an underdog
KC: H/C Andy Reid d/d underdog 6 times: 2-5 SU & 6-1 ATS since 2007
KC: Pat Mahomes 8-1 SU & ATS when a dog or favorite of less than 3pts in Post season
KC: Pat Mahomes 17-4 SU & 15-6 ATS in Playoffs
KC: Andy Reid 26-17 SU & 25-18 ATS in playoffs
KC: Mahomes 25-3 SU on the road as a 5+pt favorite
KC: Mahomes 17-3 SU & 11-9 ATS AFC West road games
KC: Patrick Mahomes: 13-2 SU & 7-8 ATS vs. Broncos
KC: H/C Andy Reid 33-8 SU & 25-16 ATS with an extra week of rest
KC: 10-19 ATS
KC: 19-4 SU vs. Raiders
KC: 67-9 when leading after 1st qtr inc: 32-2
KC: 22-14 SU & 13-22-1 ATS
KC: 40-18 UNDER
KC: 4th quarter Unders 39-17
KC: 22-18 SU when trailing at half since 2020. No team has a win % above 40%
LAC: Justin Herbert 22-9-1 ATS vs. AFC West
LAC: PST teams playing on East Coast since 2019: 59-36-4 ATS
LAC: Justin Herbert 13-9 ATS games played in EST
LAC: Herbert 7+pt Fav: 10-1 SU & 8-3 ATS
LAC: Justin Herbert: 22-28-1 ATS in games 3pt or less spread
LAC: 39-54-3 ATS at home
LAR: 15-3 SU & 14-4-1 ATS vs. Arizona
LAR: Sean McVay 33-21-1 ATS vs. NFC West
LAR: Sean McVay 25-5 SU as favorite vs AFC inc: 15-2 on road
LAR: 8-2 vs. Seattle
LAR: Sean McVay 12-6 ATS vs. Seattle inc: 11-3 ATS since 2019
LAR: 21-1 SU after a SU loss as 4+pt RFav
LAR: Sean McVay 28-12 SU & 27-12-1 ATS in Dec.
LV: Since moving to Vegas: Road: 18-32 SU + 21-29 ATS + Home: 21-29 SU & 27-22-1 ATS
LV: 1-11 vs AFC WEst
LV: -1 rushing yards inside the 5 this season
LV: 10-6 SU & 13-3 ATS vs. Denver
LV: Geno Smith 14-20-4 ATS as Fav vs. 28-27-3 ATS as Dog
LV: Geno Smith 7-16-1 ATS at home run
LV: Geno Smith in primetime 4-15 SU inc: 3-14 SU as a Dog
LV: Geno Smith 13-19-4 ATS after a win
LV: 7-18 ATS last 21 years as 4+pt Fav
LV: Geno Smith -5 or higher 6 times = 7-1 SU
LV: Geno Smith as a favorite of 3+pts: 18-6 SU
LV: 3-12 SU & 4-9-2 ATS after facing KC since 2017**
MIA: Outscored in the 3rd Qtr this year 140-27
MIA: 7-22 SU & 11-18 ATS vs. winning teams (29-15 vs. losing teams)
MIA: 11-32 SU as a franchise in 32° temperatures inc: 0-14
MIA: 4-24 SU as road dog
MIA: 8-3 SU & 9-2 ATS vs. Pats streak** inc: 7-1 SU & ATS by Tua Tags
MIA: haven’t won the AFC East in 17 seasons
MIA: Mike McDaniel 34-36 ATS
MIA: haven’t won playoff game since 2000 – 3rd-longest 4 major US sports.
MIA: Mike McDaniel 4-10 SU & 5-9 ATS w/out Tua Tags @ QB
MIA: Tua Tags 16-21-1 ATS RG
MIA: Tua 0-6 SU & 1-5 ATS w/ Temps as 40 or below
MIA: Tua Tags 14-23 SU & 16-20-1 ATS on road inc: 2-16 SU & 5-12-1 ATS vs winning teams + 10-6 SU & 8-8 ATS vs. losing teams
MIA: Tua vs offense avg 21 PPG or less: 22-5 SU last 27
MIA: Tua 1-9 SU as underdog in night primetime games
MIA: Tua Tags 13-6 SU vs SB winning head coaches
MIA: Tua Tags d/d favorite 6-1 SU & 4-3 ATS
MIA: Mike McDaniel playing on West Coast after week 1 = 2-4 SU & 1-5 ATS failing to cover the spread by 10+ppg
MIA: 0-5 SU & 1-4 ATS on Thursday’s under McDaniel
MIA: Tua Tags 17-1 SU & 13-5 ATS as a 4+pt favorite
MIA: 16-4 SU & 13-6-1 ATS since 2016 vs. NYJ
MIA: Tua Tags 27-12 SU & 23-16 ATS vs. losing teams
MIA: Tua Tagovailoa 7-0 SU & 4-2 ATS vs. Jets
MIA: Tua Tags 17-8-1 ATS vs. AFC East
MIA: Tua Tags 28-11 @ Hm & 25-14 ATS
MIA: 2-14 RG w/ a back up QB
MIA: 16-25 ATS w/ spread of 4 or less
MIA: 47-31-3 ATS since 2016 at home
MINN: After a loss under Kevin O’Connell 9-14-1 ATS
MINN: 30-13 SU one-score games under Kevin O’Connell
LAC: 10-1-1 ATS vs. AFC West last 2 seasons
NYG: 30-15-1 UNDER at home
NYG: 8-2 Over w/ Jaxson Dart @ QB
NYG: UNDER 60-39-2 run BUT 12-5 OVER this year
NYG: 5-23 SU & 10-17-1 ATS streak
NYG: 44-102 last 8+yrs = worst mark in NFL
NYG: 4-5 SU this season when leading by 10+ pts
NYG: 3-24 SU non Sunday games since 2017
NYG: Giants & Jets combined 5-34 SU @ night since 2019 (NYG 3-20 inc: 1-11 at home)
NYG: Finished below .500 SU on the road in 13 straight seasons
NYG: 10-33 SU on road = 3rd-worst win % in the NFL
NYG: allowed 20+pts 13 of last 14 road games
NYJ: 1-21 SU & 3-19 ATS in game after facing Bills
NYJ: 2-16 SU @ night since 2019
NYJ: Justin Fields 2-27 SU + 9-19-1 ATS when opponent scores 20+pts
NYJ: Justin Fields opponent scores less than 20pts: 12-10 SU + 12-10 ATS
NYJ: Justin Fields 14-36 SU…22-29-1 ATS career
NYJ: Home dog: 10-21 SU & 13-18 ATS
NYJ: Tyrod Taylor 37-22-4 ATS inc: 7-1-1 ATS run
NYJ: Tyrod Taylor 17-6-1 ATS playing on losing teams
NYJ: 1-15 SU on the road vs. AFC East
NYJ: 33-51-4 ATS on road since 2015
NYJ: 6-23 SU & 10-19 ATS vs. AFC East
NYJ: forced 4 TO’s = fewest in NFL history through 16 gms**
NYJ: 34-51-1 ATS
NYJ: 15 year playoff draught = tied with Buffalo Sabres (NHL) longest active playoff drought
NYJ:
0 INTs this season
0 400 yard receivers
0 Jet QBs have thrown for 10 TDs for the 5th time in 6 years.
0 Playoff appearances since 2010
4 Recorded defensive turnovers this season
First teams since 1972 to lose by 23+pts in 5 straight games
NE: 26-4 SU v Jets + 12-4 ATS since 2018
NE: d/d favs vs. NYJ: 15-1 SU & 9-7 ATS since 1980
NE: H/C Mike Vrabel 38-11 SU & 31-17-1 ATS vs. losing teams)
NE: 14-37 SU as an underdog since 2021
NO: Spencer Rattler 1-13 SU & 2-12 ATS
NO: as home dog since 2020: 4-17 SU & 5-16 ATS (Worst in NFL)
NO: 15-24 SU @ home last 3 seasons
NO: 27-41 ATS @ hm since 2018 (34-22-1 ATS away)
NO: 5-4 SU & 7-2 ATS Tykler Shough starts (1-7 SU & 2-6 ATS Rattler starts)
NO: 12-22-2 ATS off a win
NO: 43-25 UNDER run inc: 11-2
NO: 17-6-1 ATS on road vs. NFC South inc: 10-0 ATS dog since 2018
NO: 14-18-2 ATS vs. NFC South
NO: 2-15 ATS 1st Qtr** (outscored 116-29)
NO: 13-4 ATS 2nd half
NO: 2-28 SU entering the 4th qtr
PHI: Jalen Hurt 49-37-2 ATS career
PHI: Jalen Hurts Road: 30-16 SU & 21-22-1 ATS + 28-18 UNDER
PHI: 12-0 SU & 11-1 ATS vs. Pitt at home**
PHI: 8-16 ATS off a loss…3-6 ATS off 2 straight loses
PHI: Jalen Hurts 15-18-1 ATS as Road Fav
PHI: 1-6 ATS as d/d favs
PHI: 14-5 SU & 10-7-2 ATS vs. Wash
PITT: Mike Tomlin Road Unders 91-73-1
PITT: Mike Tomlin vs rookie QB’s: 28-7 SU
PITT: Tomlin: 19* consecutive non-losing seasons
PITT: 4-15 SU & 8-10-1 ATS as an underdog of 7+pts
PITT: Tomlin 46-34-1 ATS as road dogs & (35-43-2 ATS as RFavs)
PITT: Mike Tomlin favorite of 4+pts: 15-27-1 ATS since 2017
PITT: 23-1 SU @ home MNF since 1992
PITT: Lost SU & ATS last 6 playoff games
PITT: 19-15-1 SU/ATS with a backup QB since 2015 (Mason Rudolph)
PITT: 5-19 SU & 9-15 ATS on Thursdays inc: 3-16 SU and 5-14 ATS since 1980
PITT: 2-9 SU & 3-8 ATS on Thursday night road games
PITT: Tomlin 26-12-1 ATS vs. Bengals (most profitable opponent ATS)
PITT: Tomlin as a Division dog: 24-18 SU & 29-11-2 ATS
PITT: Rodgers 60-37 ATS in Division games
PITT/BALT: Series: 45pts+ total UNDER is 8-3.
PITT/BALT: 18 of 22 meetings decided by 7pts or less
PITT/BALT: Dog 31-12-3 ATS inc: 18-4-1 since 2015
PITT/BALT: when line 3+ the underdog 25-6-3 ATS
SEA: Sam Darnold 11-7 as a home dog
SEA: 28-14-2 ATS after a home loss last 20yrs
SEA: 10-1 SU and 9-1-1 ATS vs. Arizona
SEA: 17-24 ATS @ Hm
SEA: 20-8-2 ATS playing in EST since 2018
SEA: won 9 straight 1:0pm ET start games
SEA: PST teams playing on East Coast since 2019: 64-35-4 ATS
SEA: NFC West 27-12 ATS vs teams outside division
SEA: 8-3 ATS vs. non NFC West teams
SEA: Sam Darnold 13-0 SU & 10-3 ATS 6+pt favs.
SEA: Darnold 3+pt Favs: 18-6 SU & 12-11-1 ATS
SEA: 17-2 SU on road
SEA: 13-3 SU & 12-4 ATS
SEA: Sam Darnold 48-43 SU & 45-44-2 ATS (20-29 SU as a dog + 28-14 SU as fav)
SEA: H/C Mike Macdonald 21-10 SU & 16-14-1 ATS
SF: Brock Purdy 19-9 SU @ Hm
SF: 12-10 SU & 7-15 ATS home game run
SF: Kyle Shanahan 31-25 SU/ATS w/ backup QB
SF: Brock Purdy 24-17 ATS when favored by 4+pts
SF: 24-11-1 vs. Rams since 2008 inc: 10-4
SF: vs. a defense allowing 17 PPG or less: 1-10 ATS
SF: 10-3 SU & ATS NFL West road games
SF: On extended prep, Kyle Shanahan 20-16 SU
SF: Shanahan 9-17-1 ATS @ hm vs. NFC West
SF: 7-2 SU & 6-3 ATS vs. Seattle
SF: 9-13 SU & 6-16 ATS after a win
TB: Baker Mayfield 17-10 ATS on road w/ TB (he’s 21-6 in 6pt teaser)
TB: Baker Mayfield 18-4 SU as a 6+pt fav
TB: Baker Mayfield 2-13 SU & 4-11 ATS @ Night
TB: 2-7 SU & 0-9 ATS run** (Franchise worst)
TB: Baker Mayfield off a loss: 16-11 ATS
TB: Baker Mayfield 28-26 ATS as a Buc
TB: 20-14 OVER
TB: Baker Mayfield 23-37-1 ATS as Fav
TB: 20+pts in 25 straight hm games
TB: Baker Mayfield 22-37-1 ATS @ hm (worst of 134 QBs**)
TB: Baker Mayfield Division gms 5-16 ATS @ hm & 12-12 RG
TENN: Lost 9 straight vs. AFC South + 3-15 ATS vs. AFC South
TENN: 5-5 ATS since Brian Callahan firing
TENN: 18-39-2 ATS
TENN: As dog: 30-55 SU & 39-45-1 ATS
TENN: 12-31-1 ATS run inc: 7-10
TENN: 4-13 ATS at home
TENN: 1-12 ATS after an ATS win
TENN: 0-12 ATS after a SU win
WASH: 21-15 OVER
WASH: Dan Quinn 7-5 ATS as home dogs
WASH: Marcus Mariota 12-21-2 ATS as favorite
DAL/WASH: SERIES: last 12 meetings: 10 decided by 10+pt
****
.
.
.
2024/25 NFL REGULAR SEASON BETTING STATS
FAVS: 199-86 SU & 149-126-2 ATS
Home Teams: 136-127 SU & 144-126-4 ATS (Not counting International games)
Road Favs: 61-47-2 ATS
6pt Favs: 71-29 SU & 48-52 ATS
10pt Favs: 17-2 SU & 10-9 ATS
B/B RG: 34-37 SU & 33-38 ATS
3 Gm RT: 1-2 SU & 2-1 ATS
OVERS: 150-125-1
COMBOS:
FAV/OVER: 76 …. FAV/UNDER: 63 FAV/PUSH: 1
DOG/OVER: 65 …. DOG/UNDER: 55 PUSH/UNDER: 1
$$$$$
2023/24 NFL SEASON REGULAR SEASON TRENDS
FAVS SU: 185-83 ATS: 136-118-7
6pts Favs: 55-21 SU & 39-37-1 ATS
10pt Favs: 21-4 SU & 14-11 ATS
B/B RG: 28-43 SU & 36-32-3 ATS (Non Bye teams/situations)
3 gm RT: 1-2 SU & 1-2 ATS
OVERS: 109-133
******
NFL 2022/23 REGULAR SEASON TRENDS
FAVS: 179-92-1 SU 124-144-4 ATS
6pts Favs: 71-18 SU 39-50 ATS
10pt Favs: 23-3 9-17 ATS
B/B RG: 28-43 SU 33-35-2 ATS
OVERS: 117-154-1
*************************
2023/24 FREE NFL: 24-26-1
2022/23 FREE NFL: 27-23-1
2021/22 FREE NFL: 35-24-3
2020/21 FREE NFL: 19-23-3
2019/20 FREE NFL: 25-26
2018/19 FREE NFL: 33-16-1
2017/18 FREE NFL: 29-18-5
2016/17 FREE NFL: 24-16-1
******
2021 NFL REGULAR SEASON TOTALS:
FAVS: 166-100-1 SU & 127-139-1 ATS (1 pick)
HM DOGS: 37-68 SU & 52-55 ATS
D/D Favs: 39-7 SU & 29-17-1 ATS
6pt Favs: 96-28-1 SU & 64-57-2 ATS
3pt Favs: 43-46 SU & 38-52 ATS
B/B Road Games: 34-35 SU & 36-33 ATS
3rd Straight RG: 3-1 SU & ATS
O/U: 126-139-2
Combo’s:
Favs/Over: 56 Dog/Over: 69
Favs/Under: 69 Dog/Under: 67
Favs/PUSH: 2 PUSH/UNDER: 1
******
SB PARLAY/REVERSE COMBOS
Favorite/Over: 15 times
Favorite/Under: 12 times
Underdog/Over: 10 times
Underdog/Under: 13 times
(4 games omitted: SB 1 didn’t have a total, three games pushed on either the game or total)
FAV/OVER has it only three times since 2000.
********************
BIG NFL FAVS DON’T LOSE
6+pt Favorites:
2018/19: 84-23 SU & 51-54-2 ATS
2017/18: 86-20 SU & 56-48-2 ATS
2016/17: 63-16-1 SU & 53-32-4 ATS
2015/16: 87-24-1 SU & 52-57-3 ATS
******
2020 NFL VEGAS SEASON AFTER WK #15
Home team: 109-94 SU & 84-113-6 ATS
Favs: 136-71-1 SU & 91-106-7 ATS
D/D favs: 29-6 SU & 14-20-1 ATS
6pts favs: 65-15 SU & 35-42-3 ATS
3pts favs: 37-30-1 SU & 32-32-4 ATS
B/B Road games: 23-21 SU & 25-18-1 ATS
3rd straight RG: 1-0 SU & ATS
HM DOGS: 23-48 SU & 29-39-4 ATS
Over/Unders: 99-107-1
Combos:
Favs/Over: 44 Favs/Under: 44
Favs/Push: 1 Dogs/Over: 51
Dogs/Under 59 Push/Under: 3
Push/Over: 4 Pk/OVER: 1
********************
2017/18 NFL VEGAS STATS REGULAR SEASON:
HOME TMS: 143-108 SU & 127-117-8 ATS (4 Lon/1 Mex)
FAVS: 181-74 SU & 134-102-9 ATS (1 game pick)
D/D FAVS: 27-4 SU & 16-17 ATS
6pt+ FAVS: 86-20 SU & 56-48-2 ATS
3pt/less FAVS: 70-39 SU & 50-42-6 ATS
2nd of B/B ROAD GMS: 33-38 SU & 34-34-3 ATS
HOME DOGS: 34-63 SU & 46-47-4 ATS
OVERS/UNDERS: 116-136-4
COMBINATIONS:
FAVS/OVERS: 53 FAVS/UNDERS: 78
DOGS/OVER: 54 DOGS/UNDER: 60
********************
NFL 2016/17 REGULAR SEASON:
HOME TMS: 151-100-1 SU & 119-122-11 ATS (4 gms N/A)
2nd of B/B ROAD GMS: 28-36-1 SU & 29-33-2 ATS
FAVS: 167-86-2 SU & 122-122-11 ATS (1gm Pick)
D/D FAVS: 11-0 SU & 7-4 ATS
6pt+ FAVS: 63-16-1 SU & 53-32-4 ATS
3pt/less FAVS: 59-38-2 SU & 52-43-4 ATS
HOME DOGS: 30-48 SU & 36-43-4 ATS
OVERS/UNDERS: 134-120-2
FAVS/OVERS: 65 FAVS/UNDERS: 62
DOGS/OVER: 62 DOGS/UNDER: 54
******
2015/16 REGULAR SEASON NFL
HOME TEAMS: 136-117 SU…117-130-6 ATS (3 gms London)
FAVORITES: 157-95 SU & 117-130-6 ATS (3 pickem)
10+PT FAVS: 15-5 SU & 9-11 ATS
3PT Favs or less: 46-47 SU & 38-49-6 ATS
HOME DOGS: 32-53 SU & 42-41-3 ATS
OVERS: 118
UNDERS: 131
PUSH: 4
******
2014/15 NFL REGULAR SEASON>
Home tms: 144-101-1 SU & 114-135-3 ATS (4 neutral)
Home dogs: 26-49 SU & 35-41-1 ATS
Favorites: 169-83-1 SU & 120-130-3 ATS (3 pickem games)
10pt Favs: 21-2 SU & 11-12 ATS
6pt+ Favs: 87-24-1 SU & 52-57-3 ATS
OVERS/UNDERS: 117-137-2
COMBOS
FAVS/OVERS: 54 FAVS/UNDERS: 64
DOGS/OVERS: 59 DOGS/UNDERS: 69
******
2013/14 REGULAR SEASON#’s
HOME TEAMS: 152-101-1 SU & 136-112-6 ATS
FAVORITES*: 179-75-1 SU & 132-115-8 ATS
10pts FAVS: 27-7 SU & 17-16-1 ATS
HOME DOGS: 32-61 SU & 44-47-2 ATS
OVERS/UNDERS: 134-118-4
GAMES DECIDED BY 7pts or less: 123 of 256
COMBOS
FAVS/OVER: 66 FAVS/UNDER: 64
UNDERDOGS/OVER: 61 UNDERDOGS/UNDER: 54
******
NFL 2012/13 regular season
Home Teams: 126-139-4 ATS
Home Dogs: 49-46-1 ATS
Home Favs: 77-88-1 ATS
********************
SUPER BOWL NOTES thru: 23/24
Team with most Total yards is 43-15
Team with most Rushing yards is 43-14 (1 game tied)
SU SB winner is 49-7-2 ATS
Score less than 20pts: 2-25 SU & 4-22-1 ATS
Score 27+pts 31-5 SU & 28-7-1 ATS
Only 16 of the 58 Super Bowls have been decided by 1 score.
***
SB tams that fail to score 21 pts in the SB are 2-22 SU & 4-19-1 ATS.
(Exception..Giants over the Patriots 17-14 in SBXLII & Pats in SB 53 13-3 over Rams)
Super Bowl teams scoring at least 27pts are 27-4 SU & 24-6-1 ATS.
(Exceptions Carolina (29) vs. Pats, SF (31) vs. Balt, Atl 28 vs. Pats, Pats vs. Eagles
********************
2018/19 NFL PLAYOFFS
PLAYING ONLY ONE: 4-1-1
$100 BEST BETS: 4-4-1
$50 OTHER PLAYS: 1-3
$25 IF YOU MUST: 3-1
OVER/UNDER PLAY OF THE DAY: 2-3
EVERY BET/EVERY PLAY: 9-6-1
$100 WIN REVERSE: 3-3 = +540
$100 PARLAYS: 3-3 = +392
$100 PROP PLAYS: 24-21-2 = +500
***************