2025/26 NFL REGULAR SEASON BETTING STATS
THRU WEEK #2
Home Tms: 16-15 SU & 12-19 ATS (Not counting Brazil gm)
FAVS: 24-8 SU & 17-15 ATS
Road Favs: 10-2 SU & 8-4 ATS
6pt Favs: 8-0 SU & 5-3 ATS
10pt Favs: 1-0 SU & ATS
B/B RG: 1-2 SU & 3-0 ATS
3 Gm RT:
OVERS: 14-18
COMBOS:
FAV/OVER: 1…. FAV/UNDER: 8
DOG/OVER: 3…. DOG/UNDER: 6
$$$
WEEK 2:
Home Tms: 7-9 SU & 6-10 ATS
FAVS: 11-5 SU & 9-7 ATS
RFavs: 5-1 SU & ATS
6pt Favs: 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS
10pt Favs: 1-0 SU & ATS
B/B RG: 0-2 SU & 2-0 ATS
O/U: 10-6
COMBOS: F/O 5 F/U 4
Dog/Over: 5 Dog/Under: 2
####
.

WEEK #3
SUNDAY
2-0 GREEN BAY -8.5 @ 0-2 CLEVELAND 42,5ots
GB: H/C Matt LaFleur 17-3 ATS within first 3 games of the season = best in the NFL
GB: H/C Matt LaFleur 62-45 ATS inc: 37-30 as a favorite
GB: Josh Jacobs scored TD in 11 consecutive games (Christian McCaffrey-17)
GB: Jordan Love 26-12 ATS 2nd half
CLE: Kevin Stefanski Dog: 12-34 SU & 19-25-1 ATS
CLE: Flacco SU/ATS w/ Cleveland…11-4 SU…10-3-2 ATS
CLE: Flacco last 13 starts = 9-4 OVER
CLE: Flacco as Dog of 4+pts 2-22 SU since 2014
CLE: 16-3 Team Total under
CLE: H/C Kevin Stefanski 26-29-1 ATS vs. non-AFC North teams
CLE: 7+pt HD first 9 games of season 37-10-2 ATS since 2020 + 18-1-2 ATS last 3 years**
CLE: 12-5 SU @ Hm vs. winning teams since 2020
$
2-0 INDIANAPOLIS -4.5 @ 0-2 TENNESSEE 43.5pts
IND: 1st team NFL History to not punt in first 2 games of season
IND: 16 drives…scores on 14 of them (0 turnovers)
IND: 4-0 SU & ATS vs. Titans
IND: Daniel Jones 5-14 ATS last 19
IND: Daniel Jones 22-42 SU + 31-33 ATS vs NFL (Except Washington)
TENN: As a dog: 28-42 SU & 33-36-1 ATS
TENN: 3-16 ATS inc: 0-9 at home
TENN: 11-31-2 ATS last 2+ seasons…worst in NFL
TENN: Cam Ward sacked 11 times = most in the NFL
TENN: 23 penalties = most in NFL
Dogs in AFC South gms 11-1 ATS last year + 45-27 ATS since 2019 (best in NFL)
$
2-0 CINCINNATI @ 2-0 MINNESOTA -3 42.5pts
CIN: 6-8 avg. 20pts w/out Joe Burrow
CIN: Jake Browning 4-3 SU as starter.
CIN: H/C Zac Taylor 45-32-1 SU w/ Burrow BUT 8-22 SU w/ other QBs (Ryan Finley, Browning, Brandon Allen, Andy Dalton)
CIN: 19-9-2 ATS as dogs
MINN: 27-9 SU one-score games under Kevin O’Connell inc: 10-1
MINN: Carson Wentz’s last 14 starts Under: 11-3.
MINN: 2023 back up QB’s went 3-6 SU (Nick Mullens, Jaren Hall, Josh Dobbs)
$
1-1 PITTSBURGH -1.5 @ 1-1 NEW ENGLAND 44.5pts
PITT: Tomlin: 18 consecutive non-losing seasons.
PITT: 38-16 SU & 36-18 ATS in one-score games since 2020…best in NFL
PITT: 31-23-1 ATS since Roethlisberger retired
PITT: 1-11 SU when averaging less than 5yds per rush…29-14 when they average at least 5 yards (Pats allow 3yds)
PITT: 5-15 1st qtr spread
PITT: Mike Tomlin Road Unders 88-69-1
PITT: Tomlin 43-32-1 ATS as a road dogs & 34-43-2 ATS as RFavs
PITT: 1-8 SU & 1-7-1 ATS vs. New England since 2013
PITT: haven’t started 0-3 ATS since 2013
PITT: Aaron Rogers needs 1 TD pass to move into 4th place all time
NE: Since Brady left 34-54 SU & 37-48-3 ATS since 2020
NE: 11-31 SU & 13-27-2 ATS run
NE: 3-30 SU + 5-27-1 ATS when trailing by 7+pts (worst in the NFL) (Mike Vrabel 3-16 SU & 5-13-1 ATS w/ Titans)
NE: 11-35 SU as an underdog since 2021
NE: lost 15 straight when allowing 4+ sacks
$
2-0 LA RAMS @ 2-0 PHILADELPHIA -3.5 44.5pts
PHI: Jalen Hurt 40-33-2 ATS career
PHI: Jalen Hurts 27-3 SU @ Hm as favorite vs. winning teams inc: 17-0 SU as favorite
PHI: 18-1 SU last 19 games
PHI: 8-2 SU & ATS vs. playoff teams last year
PHI: 27-2 SU & 19-8-2 ATS when leading by 7+ as home fav.
PHI: 9-1 SU vs. LA Rams
LAR: 8-2 SU & 9-1 ATS last 10 games
LAR: 29-8 SU as favs vs 9-18 SU as Dogs
LAR: 18-8-2 SU & 19-9 ATS on East Coast
LAR: Matt Stafford 36-70 SU…43-61-2 ATS vs. winning teams inc: 13-13 SU and 13-13 ATS w/LA
PST teams playing on East Coast since 2019: 59-34-4 ATS
$
0-2 NY JETS @ 2-0 TAMPA BAY -6.5 44.5pts
TB: 2-0 for 5th straight season
TB: Baker Mayfield 20-31-1 ATS as a fav
TB: 22-16 SU & 24-14 ATS
TB: Baker Mayfield 24-15 ATS as a Buc
TB: Baker Mayfield 17-2 SU as a 6+pt favorite
TB: 12-7 OVER
TB: Teams winning by 3pts or less in Weeks 1 & 2: 4-11 SU/ATS next game since 2020
NYJ: 28-49-4 ATS on road since 2015
NYJ: 1-20 SU & 2-19 ATS in game after facing the Bills since 2012**
NYJ: 28-42-1 ATS
NYJ: 14 year playoff draught = tied with Buffalo Sabres (NHL) longest active playoff drought
NYJ: Justin Fields 0-23 SU + 6-16-1 ATS when his opponent scores 20+pts
NYJ: Justin Fields opponent scores 20 pts or less: 12-8 SU + 11-9 ATS
NYJ: Justin Fields 12-31 SU…19-26-1 ATS his career
NYJ: Winless road underdogs cover 59% last two decades, inc: 15-5 ATS since LYr
$
(1-1) LA RAIDERS @ 1-1 WASHINGTON COMMANDERS -3.5 44.5pts
LV: Since moving to Vegas: Road: 18-26 SU + 19-24 ATS (Home 19-23 SU & 23-18-1 ATS)
LV: trailed by d/d in 15 of 18 games (1-1 TYr)
LV: Geno Smith 12-17-4 ATS as a favorite…25-23-3 ATS as an underdog
LV: TWO trips to the East coast in the first 3 weeks of the season**
WASH: Cardiac Kids…5 of last 7 wins final play of game
WASH: Jayden Daniels 13-8-1 ATS
WASH: 13-9 OVER
WASH: Under @ home: 24-18-1 since 2020
WASH: Marcus Mariota 11-20-2 ATS as favorite
WASH: Marcus Mariota 28-45-3 ATS 1st half (3rd-worst in NFL)
$
(1-1) ATLANTA FALCONS -5.5 @ (0-2) CAROLINA PANTHERS 43.5pts
ATL: 53-79-1 ATS in regular season (worst-NFL)
ATL: UNDER 24-16
ATL: 10-21-1 ATS after a win
ATL: H/C Raheem Morris 21-17-1 ATS on road
CAR: 7-1 OVER HG run
CAR: lost 64 straight games when trailing by 9 pts or more**
CAR: Bryce Young 10-20 ATS 1st half (Worst in NFL)
$
(0-2) HOUSTON TEXANS @ 1-1 JACKSONVILLE -1.5 43.5pts
JACK: Trevor Lawrence: 31-33 ATS inc: 5-1
JACK: Trevor Lawrence 35-29 UNDER
JACK: Trevor Lawrence: 11-11 SU as a favorite
JACK: Trevor Lawrence 5-8 ATS @ homes
JACK: Trevor Lawrence 9-17 ATS vs. losing teams
HOU: 12-2 SU & 10-4 ATS RG/Neutral site vs Jags
HOU: Led @ half 16 last 19 gms (1-1 TYr)
HOU: CJ Stroud 7-12 ATS as a fav + 11-7 as Dog
HOU: 0-3 scoring TD in red Zone this season
HOU: Winless road Dogs cover 59% last two decades inc: 15-5 ATS since LYr
$
1-1 DENVER @ (2-0) LA CHARGERS -2.5 43.5pts
DEN: 12-8 ATS
DEN: Bo Nix started 11-3 ATS…1-5 ATS since
DEN: Sean Payton 83-63-3 ATS on road inc: 33-19-1 ATS run
DEN: Sean Payton 57-39-2 ATS as an underdog
LAC: 34-51-3 ATS at home
LAC: 22-14 UNDER
LAC: Jim Harbaugh: 59-30-1 SU & 53-34-3 ATS**
LAC: Herbert 30-19 UNDER inc: 20-10 run
LAC: 0-11 SU in games decided by 3pts or fewer
LAC: Justin Herbert 19-9-1 ATS vs. AFC West
LAC: Justin Herbert: Underdog: 15-11-1 ATS Fav: 28-24-1 ATS
LAC: Justin Herbert 41-41 SU & 44-36-2 ATS (18-20 ATS @ Hm + 26-16 ATS Rd)
LAC: Justin Herbert: 17-24-1 ATS in games 3pt or less spread
LAC: Justin Herbert: 24pts
When his defense allows 24 pts or LESS: 35-11 SU & 34-10-2 ATS
When his defense allows 24 pts or MORE: 7-29 SU & 10-26 ATS
$
0-2 NEW ORLEANS @ 1-1 SEATTLE -7 41.5pts
SEA: Sam Darnold 35-41 SU & 32-42-2 ATS (20-28 SU as a dog + 15-13 SU as a fav) inc: 17-23 SU on the road
SEA: 1st time in 13 games listed as a favg
SEA: 27-14-2 ATS after a home loss last 20yrs
SEA: 13-22 ATS @ Hm (3rd-worst ahead of Atl/New Orleans inc: 2-8 last 10
SEA: Darnold 3+pt Favs: 10-5 SU & 6-8-1 ATS
NO: 29-16 UNDER run
NO: Spencer Rattler 0-8 SU & 1-7 ATS in his starts
NO: 0-19 SU & 2-18 ATS when entering the 4th qtr trailing since 2023
NO: Winless road underdogs cover 59% last two decades, inc: 14-5 ATS since last year
$
1-1 DALLAS @ 0-2 CHICAGO -1.5 50.5pts
Series: 8-0 Over
DAL: 10-15 ATS run
DAL: 7-15 ATS run as dogs
DAL: Dak Prescott 37-45-2 ATS vs. everyone but NFC East
DAL: Dak Prescott 39-11 SU, 32-16-2 ATS vs. losing teams
CHI: 8-3 as favs vs. NFC teams (6-33 SU as underdogs)
CHI: 1-28 when trailing entering the 4th qtr
CHI: Caleb Williams 0-7 in late starts losing by 11ppg
CHI: You won’t have to punt much” – Caleb Williams
Tory Taylor: 4,177 total punt yds vs. Caleb Williams: 3,751 pass yds
$
2-0 ARIZONA CARDS @ 2-0 SAN FRANCISCO -1.5 45.5pts
ARI: Kyler Murray 31-18-2 ATS as a dog inc: 15-6-2 as 4+pt dogs + 21-7-2 on road
ARI: 6-15 ATS vs NFC West games
ARI: Kyler Murray is 8-20 SU & 11-16-2 ATS against NFC West
ARI: 3 or 4 Sacks from New Orleans?
ARI: 1-11 SU when allowing 4+ sacks + 2-20 SU allowing 3+ sacks since 2022
ARI: Kyler Murray 5-33 SU down 10+pts since 2021
ARI: 2-12 SU after last 14 wins*
SF: Games Christian McCaffrey starts 49ers 28-9 SU & 20-17 ATS
SF: 3-16 ATS 2nd half (worst in NFL)
SF: Shanahan 9-14-1 ATS @ hm vs. NFC West
SF: Under Kyle Shanahan 49ers 0-44 when trailing by 8+pts in the 4th qtr.
SF: Kyle Shanahan 3-40 when trailing by 3+pts entering the 4th qtr.
SF: 13-40 SU & ATS when trailing at the half under Kyle Shanahan.
SF: Since 2020 13 losses when leading by 10+pts = most in NFL
SF: 11-13 SU last 24 games
SF: 3-8 ATS last 11 games
SF: 8-7 SU & 4-11 ATS home game run
SF: Kyle Shanahan 27-23 SU/ATS w/ backup QB inc: 18-9 SU & 15-12 ATS as a fav.
$
SUNDAY NIGHT
0-2 KC CHIEFS -5.5 @ 0-2 NY GIANTS 44.5pts
KC/NYG: 190 0-2 teams since the 2002 NFL division realignment…Only 9 have made the playoffs
KC: Chiefs won AFC West 9 straight seasons = longest active streak of 4 major sports
KC: 64-7 when leading after the first qtr inc: 29-0**
KC: 17-5 SU & 8-13-1 ATS
KC: 28-15 UNDER
KC: 2nd-half under 30-13 BUT 4-1 Over run
KC: 4th quarter Unders 30-12
KC: 21-14 SU when trailing at half since 2020. No team has a win % above 40%
KC: Patrick Mahomes has lost three straight for the first time since his sophomore year at Texas Tech.
KC: Mahomes 28-7 SU & 18-16-1 ATS vs. NFC
KC: Mahomes 18-1 vs. non winning NFC teams on road
KC: Mahomes after a SU loss: 20-5 SU, 12-12-1 ATS
KC: Mahomes 51-14 SU & 39-24-2 ATS RG (50-13 SU at home)
KC: Mahomes 44-49-2 ATS as favs 3.5+Pts.
KC: Mahomes 25-3 SU on the road as a 5+pt favorite
NYG: UNDER 57-29-2 run—Best in NFL
NYG: 1-14 SU & 3-12 ATS streak
NYG: Finished below .500 SU on the road in 13 straight seasons
NYG: 40-93 last 8+yrs = worst mark in NFL
NYG: Giants & Jets combined 4-33 SU @ night since 2019 (NYG 2-19 inc: 1-11 at home)
NYG: 29-10-1 UNDER at home
SNF Unders 41-23 inc: 0-2 TYR
$
MONDAY NIGHT
1-1 DETROIT @ 1-1 BALTIMORE -5.5 51.5
BALT: Lamar is one of 11 QB’s to win multiple MVP’s…he’s on the only one NOT to play in/win a Super Bowl
BALT: 25-11 OVER Team total last 2 years (Best in NFL)
BALT: Lamar Jackson 37-13 SU & 23-27 ATS as home fav.
BALT: Lamar Jackson favored by 3+pts: 24-31 ATS**
BALT: Lamar Jackson 7+pt fav: 33-7 SU
BALT: 24-5 SU & 21-8 ATS as a fav
BALT: John Harbaugh/Ravens: 17-5 ATS on MNF
BALT: Lamar Jackson 24-2 SU & 14-12 ATS vs. NFC teams
BALT: Lamar Jackson 20-6 SU at night = best win pct of any QB min. since the merger
DET: Jared Goff most profitable QB ATS last 5+ years: 66-37-1 ATS
DET: 48-21-1 ATS run
DET: Jared Goff ATS Indoor: 42-18-1 ATS vs. Outdoors: 39-35-2 ATS
DET: 19-4 ATS as an underdog of 4+ under Dam Campbell
DET: Jared Goff: 17-34 SU & 30-22 ATS as a dog
DET: Jared Goff 27-15 ATS RG since 2020
DET: 19-5 ATS RG
MNF: 14-9 OVER run inc: 1-2 TYr
#######
$
$
$
.
.
.
.
..
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
$$$$$$$$$$
Thursday home teams: 48-42 SU…40-50 ATS + 28-26 OVER
Totals 37 or less = UNDER 33-15-1 since 2020
Team playing w/out a bye off an International game: 17-9 SU & 15-11 ATS next game
Teams after getting shutout are 30-15-3 ATS since 2015
When both teams are off bye…fav 34-22 SU last 20yrs + 22-11 UNDER
When both teams are on 8+days rest, under 106-48-1 since 2018 inc: 30-6 last year
PRIME TIME: Rookie QBs 25-58 SU road games in primetime since 1970
International Games: Favs 36-12-1 SU & 32-17 ATS + 26-23 UNDER inc: 15-12 at Wembley stadium
THANKSGIVING DAY TRENDS
FAVORITES: 51-9 SU & 40-20 ATS since 2004 inc: 9-1 ATS as 10+pt favs
7+pt favs: 30-5 SU & 25-10 ATS since 1990
Night game Favs: 14-4 ATS + 11-7 UNDER since they started the 3-games back in 2006
Coaches Fired System: Teams 18-23 SU & 23-18 ATS 1st game following firing of h/c since 2003 (2-1 TYr)
Underdogs in playoffs since 2017: 60-39 ATS
.
ARI: Kyler Murray 27-18 OVER at home
ARI: Kyler Murray 14-20 ATS as a favorite
ARI: Kyler Murray 1-5 SU/ATS off a bye week
ARI: 13-4 ATS playing on East coast w/ Kyler Murray as QB
ATL: Kirk Cousins 17-30 ATS indoors inc: 3-13 ATS last 5 years
ATL: Cousins in primetime: 19-24-1 SU & 17-27 ATS inc: 14-20 SU & 14-20 ATS @ night
ATL: Kirk Cousins 14-23 ATS at home since 2020
ATL: Cousins 1-7 after a SU underdog win
ATL: Cousins as a dog in PT: 6-16-1 SU & 9-14 ATS
ATL: Kirk Cousins off back to back SU/ATS wins 9-13-1 ATS inc: 3-11-1 ATS since 2017
ATL: H/C Raheem Morris 12-25 ATS overall at home
ATL: 23-40-1 ATS vs. non-NFC South 2019 = 2nd-worst mark in the NFL
BALT: Lamar Jackson as Playoff home Favs: 2-4 SU & ATS (5-1 UNDER)
BALT: UNDER 8-0-1 as home playoff favs since 1995
BALT: 2-7 ATS as non Division 7+pt HF’s
BALT: Lamar Jackson 3-4 SU & 2-5 ATS vs. Pitt
BALT: 20-7 ATS as an underdog
BALT: Lamar Jackson 20-6 ATS road games on turf
BALT: Lamar Jackson 3pts favs or less or dog 26-9 ATS reg. season vs. favored by 3+pts: 22-31 ATS**
BALT: LJ 21-5 SU after a loss
BALT: Lamar Jackson 8-10 ATS at home vs. AFC North teams
BALT: Lamar Jackson d/d fav: 16-1 SU & 11-6 ATS
BALT: Lamar Jackson 21-4 SU & 14-11 ATS off a loss
BUF: Josh Allen has never won b/b games as an underdog (0-16)
BUF: Josh Allen 86 wins inc: 62 by 7+pts
BUF: NFL-best 17-5 Team total OVER
BUF: When teams score 21+pts vs Bills, Buffalo 5-24 ATS since 2022
BUF: 1 of 3 teams to win 10 games 5 straight years w/out reaching the Super Bowl
BUF: Allen 35-5 SU as a fav of 7+ overall
BUF: As a home favorite of 7+p, Allen is 26-2 SU
BUF: Under Josh Allen 27-2 SU as 8.5+pt fav
BUF: as 4+pt favs 14-20-1 ATS
BUF: 19-5 w/ Joe Brady as O/C scoring 30+pts in 13 of the 22 games
BUF: 41-7 SU home games
BUF: won turnover battle in 25 straight games – (longest streak in NFL history)**
CAR: 10-4 ATS vs. AFC West teams
CAR: 3-16 SU & 4-15 ATS on the road
CHI: 1-8 SU & 2-6-1 ATS after facing GBay
CHI: 1-20 road Sunday games
CHI: 3-18 SU vs. winning teams***
CHI: 4-22 last 26 road games
CHI: 7-25 SU vs. NFC North (only Jets w/ fewer wins vs. own division)
CIN: Joe Burrow 8-1 ATS vs. Mahomes, Josh Allen & Tom Brady
CIN: Joe Burrow 11-18-1 SU & 19-11 ATS as a dog inc: 14-7 ATS on road
CIN: Joe Burrow 3+pt Dog: 9-9-1 SU & 17-3 ATS**
CIN: 15-4 ATS vs. AFC West
CIN: Joe Burrow UNDER 34-32-1
CIN: Joe Burrow 27-10 SU & 28-8-1 ATS run vs. non-divisional teams
CIN: Joe Burrow 46-29-1 ATS inc: 42-23-1 SU + 43-22-1 ATS game 3 on
CIN: Joe Burrow 13-7-1 SU vs NFC inc: 11-2 SU last 13
CIN: Joe Burrow’s 19-9-1 ATS after a loss
CIN: Joe Burrow fav-6 or higher: 7-8 ATS
CIN: 13-23 SU vs. AFC North vs. 33-29-1 SU in non-divisional games
CIN: Joe Burrow in December or later games: 18-5 SU & 16-7 ATS
CLE: 11-21 ATS vs. AFC North w/ Kevin Stefanski inc: 8-8 at home (3-13 ATS on road)
CLE: 1-8 ATS last 8 AFC North road games
CLE: 11-1 SU vs. AFC South
CLE: DeShaun Watson 10-10 SU as a Brown (28-25 as a Texan)
CLE: Deshaun Watson 35-38-2 ATS inc: 14-22-2 ATS as a favorite & 21-16 ATS as an underdog
CLE: Night home games under Kevin Stefanski: 6-2 SU & ATS
CLE: Browns traveled to MST or PST 5-23 SU inc: 0-9 SU since 2019…2-20 SU last 22
CLE: Lost 21 straight games in Pittsburgh. (Last win Oct/2003 w/ Tim Couch)
DAL: Home Dogs 40-50-4 ATS
DAL/WASH: SERIES: last 11 meetings: 9 decided by 10+pt
DAL: Dak Prescott double-digit fav: 12-2 SU & 10-4 ATS.
DAL: 6-13 ATS after winning by 20+pts inc: 3-12 ATS last 15
DAL: 3-19 SU as a dog of 7+pts
DAL: Dak Prescott 24-31 SU…20-35 ATS vs. winning teams
DAL: Dak Prescott +7 dogs 5 of 130 games: 3-3 SU & 5-1 ATS
DAL: Dak Prescott 30-13 ATS vs. NFC East (37-45-2 ATS vs. everyone else)
DAL: Dak Prescott: 25-5 SU + 19-10-1 ATS as 6+pt HFav
DAL: Dak Prescott 37-9 SU & 31-14-1 ATS as 6+pt fav
DAL: 16-1 SU & 12-5 ATS vs. NY inc: 9-0
DEN: UNDER 50-35-1 at home inc: 19-16 last 4 years
DEN: 14-13 ATS home games
DEN: 9-0 SU & 8-1 ATS after facing KC in regular season
DEN: Sean Payton dog of +7pts: 10-5 ATS
DEN: Sean Payton 7-11 ATS in the playoffs
DET: Jared Goff 8-0 ATS vs. Minnesota as a Lion
DET: 9-0 ATS after a loss since November, 2022
DET: Goff as double-digit fav: 11-2 SU & 8-5 ATS
DET: 11-2 ATS as road favs
DET: 10-1 SU as favs in PT…Games starting at 4pm or later: 15-2 SU under Dan Campbell
DET: Jared Goff 28-19 ATS at home since 2020
DET: Jared Goff 19-9 ATS off a loss w/ the Lions
DET: Since 2018 w/ the Lions & Rams, Goff 27-13-1 ATS vs. division teams
DET: 10-0 SU & ATS after their last 10 loses
GB: H/C Matt LaFleur 31-19 ATS vs. winning teams
GB: H/C Matt LaFleur 34-20 ATS at home
GB: Teams after facing Detroit: 7-11 SU & 5-13 ATS + 19-32 ATS last 3yrs = least profitable
GB: 18-12 ATS after a SU loss but only 4-7 ATS w/ Jordan Love
GB: LaFleur 19-4 SU, 13-10 ATS in December games.
GB: 11-1 SU & 10-2 ATS vs. Bears…16-2 SU vs. Chicago
GB: Favored to beat Chicago 29 of 33 games going 30-14-1 ATS last 45 meetings
HOU: 18-9 UNDER at home
IND: 11-1-1 ATS @ Houston
IND: 13-3 ATS as home dogs of 6+ last 30 years
IND: Anthony Richardson: 8-5 ATS
IND: Daniel Jones 1-16 SU & 6-11 ATS at night
IND: Daniel Jones 5-3-1 SU, 6-3 ATS vs. Wash + 20-42 SU, 29-33 ATS vs rest of the NFL
IND: Daniel Jones UNDER 25-11-1 in 37 home starts
JACK: 28-14-2 ATS vs. Colts inc: 17-2-1 since 2015
JACK: 13-7 ATS vs Winning teams
JACK: Trevor Lawrence 9-22 SU + 14-17 ATS on road (least profitable QB since ’21)
KC: Patrick Mahomes 11-4 SU & 12-2-1 ATS as a Dog
KC: 19-6-1 ATS as an underdog
KC: Mahomes 44-49-2 ATS as favs 3.5+Pts. (Other games 25-8-1 ATS)
KC: Favs 6+pts 8-0 SU & 1-6-1 ATS
KC: Mahomes 23-32-3 ATS as favs 7+pts inc: 1-5-1 ATS this season
KC: Favorite 10+pts, Mahomes 9-15 ATS
KC: Patrick Mahomes: 13-1 SU & 7-7 ATS vs. Broncos
KC: H/C Andy Reid d/d underdog 5 times: 1-5 SU & 5-1 ATS since 2007
KC: Pat Mahomes 8-1 SU & ATS when a dog or favorite of less than 3pts in Post season
KC: Pat Mahomes 17-4 SU & 15-6 ATS in Playoffs
KC: Andy Reid 26-17 SU & 25-18 ATS in playoffs
KC: 9-3 SU & 5-6-1 ATS vs. Playoff teams TYr
KC: H/C Andy Reid 33-7 SU & 25-15 ATS with an extra week of prep**
KC: Mahomes 17-2 SU & 11-8 ATS AFC West road games
KC: UNDER 23-8 AFC games
KC: Pat Mahomes 31-36-1 ATS & 29-10-1 Under at home
NYG: 9-27 SU on the road = 3rd-worst win % in the NFL
LAC: Justin Herbert 26-16 ATS on road inc: 14-10 as RF’s
LAC: Herbert 7+pt Fav: 8-1 SU & 7-2 ATS
LAC: Jim Harbaugh after a loss: 16-10 SU & 14-10-2 ATS
LAR: 14-3 SU vs. Arizona
LAR: Sean McVay 14-0 SU as 6+pt RF….18-0 SU 4+pt RFav
LAR: H/C Sean McVay 30-19-1 ATS vs. NFC West
LAR: 7-2 last 9 vs. Seattle inc: 5-1 @ Seattle
LAR: Sean McVay 12-5 ATS vs. Seattle inc: 11-2 ATS since 2019
LAR: 26-17 UNDER at home game run
LAR: Sean McVay 22-5 SU as favorite vs AFC inc: 13-2 on road
LV: As a fav of 4+pts 6-18 ATS last 20 years
LV: 10-3 SU vs. Denver + 12-3 ATS last 15 vs Denver
LV: 3-11 SU & 3-9-2 ATS after facing KC since 2017**
LV: Geno Smith -5 or higher 6 times = 6-1 SU
LV: Geno Smith 3-12 SU as an underdog in primetime
LV: Geno Smith as a favorite of 3+pts: 17-6 SU
LV: Geno Smith 4-12-1 ATS at home run
LV: Geno Smith 13-18-4 ATS after a win
MIA: Tua Tags d/d favorite 6-1 SU & 4-3 ATS
MIA: Tua Tags 13-4 SU vs SB winning head coaches
MIA: Mike McDaniel playing on West Coast after week 1 = 2-4 SU & 1-5 ATS failing to cover the spread by 10+ppg
MIA: Tua 0-5 SU & 1-4 ATS w/ Temps as 40 or below
MIA: Tua Tags 16-1 SU & 13-4 ATS as a 4+pt favorite
MIA: 2-14 RG w/ a back up QB
MIA: Mike McDaniel 3-8 SU & 4-7 ATS w/out Tua Tags @ QB
MIA: 11-30 SU as a franchise in 32° temperatures or colder inc: 0-11 run
MIA: 14-4 SU & 11-6-1 ATS since 2016 vs. NYJ
MIA: 8-2 SU & 9-1 ATS vs. Pats streak** inc: 7-1 SU & ATS by Tua Tags
MIA: When Tua faces an opposing offense averaging 21 PPG or less..18-3 SU last 21
MIA: Tua Tags 23-9 SU & 20-12 ATS vs. losing teams inc: 15-8 ATS at home.
MIA: 43-28-3 ATS since 2016 at home
MIA: Tua Tags 2-15 SU & 5-11-1 ATS on road vs. winning teams
MIA: 2-16 vs. Bills…(1-7 under Mike McDaniel)
MIA: 2-14 SU vs. Josh Allen/Bills
MIA: 3-21 SU as a road dog
MIA: allow points in 13 of 15 full drives
MIA: Tua Tags 13-18-1 ATS RG + (22-12 ATS @ Hm)
MIA: Mike McDaniel 27-29 ATS
MIA: 8-15 ATS run
MIA: haven’t won a playoff game since 2000 – 3rd-longest in 4 major US sports.
MIA: haven’t won the AFC East in 16 seasons
MIA: 5-19 SU & 8-16 ATS vs. .500/winning teams (25-12 vs. losing teams)
MIA: GM Chris Grier 9yrs + 8 months: longest tenured NFL GM w/out a playoff win in NFL history
NE: 24-4 SU vs. NY Jets
NE: 18-29 SU & 18-27-3 ATS vs. winning teams
NYG: 2-23 SU non Sunday games since 2017
NYJ: 1-12 SU on the road vs. AFC East
NYJ: Home dog: 8-17 SU…11-14 ATS
NYJ: 6-18 SU & 9-15 ATS vs. AFC East
NYJ: 7+ Home dogs: 18-1-2 ATS first 9 games of season since 2022 + 37-10-2 ATS since 2020 (if line moves to 7pts)
NO: Saints 9-18-2 ATS off a win
NO: 10-17-2 ATS vs. NFC South
NO: 13-3-1 ATS last 15 as road dogs of 4+pts
NO: 13-21 SU @ home last 3 seasons
NO: 25-38 ATS @ hm since 2018 (2nd-worst ATS mark @ hm ahead of Atlanta) (34-22-1 ATS away)
PHI: Jalen Hurts Road: 17-19-1 ATS inc: playoffs
PHI: 0-6 ATS as d/d favs
PHI: 12-0 SU & 11-1 ATS vs. Pitt at home**
PHI: Won 12 straight at home vs. NYG
PHI: Jalen Hurts 12-16-1 ATS as a Road Fav
PHI: Jalen Hurts 24-13 SU + 24-13 UNDER on road
PITT: Rodgers 56-36 ATS in Division games in his career
PITT: Mike Tomlin vs rookie QB’s: 27-6 SU**
PITT: 16-6-1 ATS off a bye week since 2018
PITT: 5-18 SU & 9-14 ATS on Thursdays inc: 3-15 SU and 5-13 ATS since 1980
PITT: never won a road, divisional TNF game: 0-8 SU & 1-7 ATS
PITT: Mike Tomlin 2-9 SU on the road on TNF.
PITT: 22-1 SU @ home MNF since 1992
PITT: 3-15 SU & 7-10-1 ATS as an underdog of 7+pts inc: 1-9 SU as 8+pt dogs**
PITT: Lost SU & ATS last 6 playoff games
PITT/BALT: Series: 45pts+ total UNDER is 8-3.
PITT/BALT: Mike Tomlin 21-17 SU & 19-16-3 ATS vs. John Harbaugh inc: 13-4-2 ATS as dogs
PITT: Dog of 4+pts vs. Ravens 8-2 ATS
PITT/BALT: 16 of last 20 meetings decided by 7pts or less
PITT/BALT: Dog 29-12-3 ATS inc: 16-4-1 since 2015
PITT/BALT: when line 3+ the underdog 23-6-3 ATS
PITT: 64-39-4 ATS Underdog under Tomlin inc: 6-4 SU & ATS this season
PITT: Tomlin as a Division dog: 22-18 SU, 27-11-2 ATS
SEA: Sam Darnold 11-7 as a home dog
SF: 7-1 SU & 6-2 ATS vs. Seattle
SF: 8-3 SU & ATS last 10 NFL West road games
SF: On extended prep, Kyle Shanahan only 19-16 SU
SF: RFavs off a bye: 76-51-4 ATS since 2004SF: Brock Purdy 19-17 ATS when favored by 4+pts
SF: vs. Rams 23-10-1 since 2008 inc: 9-3 last 5+yrs,,,but 0-2 last 2 games
TB: Baker Mayfield Division games 5-12 ATS at home & 11-10 on the road
TB: 14-4 ATS on road
TB: Baker Mayfield 15-5 ATS on the road (he’s 19-1 in 6pt teaser)
TENN: 0-9 ATS after a SU win
****
.
.
.
.
2024/25 NFL REGULAR SEASON BETTING STATS
FAVS: 199-86 SU & 149-126-2 ATS
Home Teams: 136-127 SU & 144-126-4 ATS (Not counting International games)
Road Favs: 61-47-2 ATS
6pt Favs: 71-29 SU & 48-52 ATS
10pt Favs: 17-2 SU & 10-9 ATS
B/B RG: 34-37 SU & 33-38 ATS
3 Gm RT: 1-2 SU & 2-1 ATS
OVERS: 150-125-1
COMBOS:
FAV/OVER: 76 …. FAV/UNDER: 63 FAV/PUSH: 1
DOG/OVER: 65 …. DOG/UNDER: 55 PUSH/UNDER: 1
$$$$$
2023/24 NFL SEASON REGULAR SEASON TRENDS
FAVS SU: 185-83 ATS: 136-118-7
6pts Favs: 55-21 SU & 39-37-1 ATS
10pt Favs: 21-4 SU & 14-11 ATS
B/B RG: 28-43 SU & 36-32-3 ATS (Non Bye teams/situations)
3 gm RT: 1-2 SU & 1-2 ATS
OVERS: 109-133

******
NFL 2022/23 REGULAR SEASON TRENDS
FAVS: 179-92-1 SU 124-144-4 ATS
6pts Favs: 71-18 SU 39-50 ATS
10pt Favs: 23-3 9-17 ATS
B/B RG: 28-43 SU 33-35-2 ATS
OVERS: 117-154-1
*************************
2023/24 FREE NFL: 24-26-1
2022/23 FREE NFL: 27-23-1
2021/22 FREE NFL: 35-24-3
2020/21 FREE NFL: 19-23-3
2019/20 FREE NFL: 25-26
2018/19 FREE NFL: 33-16-1
2017/18 FREE NFL: 29-18-5
2016/17 FREE NFL: 24-16-1
******
2021 NFL REGULAR SEASON TOTALS:
FAVS: 166-100-1 SU & 127-139-1 ATS (1 pick)
HM DOGS: 37-68 SU & 52-55 ATS
D/D Favs: 39-7 SU & 29-17-1 ATS
6pt Favs: 96-28-1 SU & 64-57-2 ATS
3pt Favs: 43-46 SU & 38-52 ATS
B/B Road Games: 34-35 SU & 36-33 ATS
3rd Straight RG: 3-1 SU & ATS
O/U: 126-139-2
Combo’s:
Favs/Over: 56 Dog/Over: 69
Favs/Under: 69 Dog/Under: 67
Favs/PUSH: 2 PUSH/UNDER: 1
******
SB PARLAY/REVERSE COMBOS
Favorite/Over: 15 times
Favorite/Under: 12 times
Underdog/Over: 10 times
Underdog/Under: 13 times
(4 games omitted: SB 1 didn’t have a total, three games pushed on either the game or total)
FAV/OVER has it only three times since 2000.
********************
BIG NFL FAVS DON’T LOSE
6+pt Favorites:
2018/19: 84-23 SU & 51-54-2 ATS
2017/18: 86-20 SU & 56-48-2 ATS
2016/17: 63-16-1 SU & 53-32-4 ATS
2015/16: 87-24-1 SU & 52-57-3 ATS
******
2020 NFL VEGAS SEASON AFTER WK #15
Home team: 109-94 SU & 84-113-6 ATS
Favs: 136-71-1 SU & 91-106-7 ATS
D/D favs: 29-6 SU & 14-20-1 ATS
6pts favs: 65-15 SU & 35-42-3 ATS
3pts favs: 37-30-1 SU & 32-32-4 ATS
B/B Road games: 23-21 SU & 25-18-1 ATS
3rd straight RG: 1-0 SU & ATS
HM DOGS: 23-48 SU & 29-39-4 ATS
Over/Unders: 99-107-1
Combos:
Favs/Over: 44 Favs/Under: 44
Favs/Push: 1 Dogs/Over: 51
Dogs/Under 59 Push/Under: 3
Push/Over: 4 Pk/OVER: 1
********************
2017/18 NFL VEGAS STATS REGULAR SEASON:
HOME TMS: 143-108 SU & 127-117-8 ATS (4 Lon/1 Mex)
FAVS: 181-74 SU & 134-102-9 ATS (1 game pick)
D/D FAVS: 27-4 SU & 16-17 ATS
6pt+ FAVS: 86-20 SU & 56-48-2 ATS
3pt/less FAVS: 70-39 SU & 50-42-6 ATS
2nd of B/B ROAD GMS: 33-38 SU & 34-34-3 ATS
HOME DOGS: 34-63 SU & 46-47-4 ATS
OVERS/UNDERS: 116-136-4
COMBINATIONS:
FAVS/OVERS: 53 FAVS/UNDERS: 78
DOGS/OVER: 54 DOGS/UNDER: 60
********************
NFL 2016/17 REGULAR SEASON:
HOME TMS: 151-100-1 SU & 119-122-11 ATS (4 gms N/A)
2nd of B/B ROAD GMS: 28-36-1 SU & 29-33-2 ATS
FAVS: 167-86-2 SU & 122-122-11 ATS (1gm Pick)
D/D FAVS: 11-0 SU & 7-4 ATS
6pt+ FAVS: 63-16-1 SU & 53-32-4 ATS
3pt/less FAVS: 59-38-2 SU & 52-43-4 ATS
HOME DOGS: 30-48 SU & 36-43-4 ATS
OVERS/UNDERS: 134-120-2
FAVS/OVERS: 65 FAVS/UNDERS: 62
DOGS/OVER: 62 DOGS/UNDER: 54
******
2015/16 REGULAR SEASON NFL
HOME TEAMS: 136-117 SU…117-130-6 ATS (3 gms London)
FAVORITES: 157-95 SU & 117-130-6 ATS (3 pickem)
10+PT FAVS: 15-5 SU & 9-11 ATS
3PT Favs or less: 46-47 SU & 38-49-6 ATS
HOME DOGS: 32-53 SU & 42-41-3 ATS
OVERS: 118
UNDERS: 131
PUSH: 4
******
2014/15 NFL REGULAR SEASON>
Home tms: 144-101-1 SU & 114-135-3 ATS (4 neutral)
Home dogs: 26-49 SU & 35-41-1 ATS
Favorites: 169-83-1 SU & 120-130-3 ATS (3 pickem games)
10pt Favs: 21-2 SU & 11-12 ATS
6pt+ Favs: 87-24-1 SU & 52-57-3 ATS
OVERS/UNDERS: 117-137-2
COMBOS
FAVS/OVERS: 54 FAVS/UNDERS: 64
DOGS/OVERS: 59 DOGS/UNDERS: 69
******
2013/14 REGULAR SEASON#’s
HOME TEAMS: 152-101-1 SU & 136-112-6 ATS
FAVORITES*: 179-75-1 SU & 132-115-8 ATS
10pts FAVS: 27-7 SU & 17-16-1 ATS
HOME DOGS: 32-61 SU & 44-47-2 ATS
OVERS/UNDERS: 134-118-4
GAMES DECIDED BY 7pts or less: 123 of 256
COMBOS
FAVS/OVER: 66 FAVS/UNDER: 64
UNDERDOGS/OVER: 61 UNDERDOGS/UNDER: 54
******
NFL 2012/13 regular season
Home Teams: 126-139-4 ATS
Home Dogs: 49-46-1 ATS
Home Favs: 77-88-1 ATS
********************
SUPER BOWL NOTES thru: 23/24
Team with most Total yards is 43-15
Team with most Rushing yards is 43-14 (1 game tied)
SU SB winner is 49-7-2 ATS
Score less than 20pts: 2-25 SU & 4-22-1 ATS
Score 27+pts 31-5 SU & 28-7-1 ATS
Only 16 of the 58 Super Bowls have been decided by 1 score.
***
SB tams that fail to score 21 pts in the SB are 2-22 SU & 4-19-1 ATS.
(Exception..Giants over the Patriots 17-14 in SBXLII & Pats in SB 53 13-3 over Rams)
Super Bowl teams scoring at least 27pts are 27-4 SU & 24-6-1 ATS.
(Exceptions Carolina (29) vs. Pats, SF (31) vs. Balt, Atl 28 vs. Pats, Pats vs. Eagles
********************
2018/19 NFL PLAYOFFS
PLAYING ONLY ONE: 4-1-1
$100 BEST BETS: 4-4-1
$50 OTHER PLAYS: 1-3
$25 IF YOU MUST: 3-1
OVER/UNDER PLAY OF THE DAY: 2-3
EVERY BET/EVERY PLAY: 9-6-1
$100 WIN REVERSE: 3-3 = +540
$100 PARLAYS: 3-3 = +392
$100 PROP PLAYS: 24-21-2 = +500
***************